Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robosense-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39903:1" rel="noopener">Robosense Technology (2498 HK)</a> raised around US$126m in its Hong Kong IPO in Jan 2024. The lockup on its shareholders will expire soon.</li>
<li>The company provides LiDAR and perception solutions to its customers. As of March 2024, it had design wins for mass production of LiDAR products with 22 automotive OEMs and suppliers.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Robosense Technology (2498 HK) raised around US$126m in its Hong Kong IPO in Jan 2024. The lockup on its shareholders will expire soon.
The company provides LiDAR and perception solutions to its customers. As of March 2024, it had design wins for mass production of LiDAR products with 22 automotive OEMs and suppliers.
In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.


Robosense IPO Lock-Up Expiry - US$2.8bn Lockup Expiry for 99% of the Stock, CCASS Movement

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We screen the Mainland Securities ahead of the HSCEI review result, due on 20 Nov 2026 after market close.</li>
<li>One ADD and one DELETE are screened as high-conviction calls this cycle.</li>
<li>We also include one mid-conviction ADD and one low-conviction DELETE.</li>
</ul>


We screen the Mainland Securities ahead of the HSCEI review result, due on 20 Nov 2026 after market close.
One ADD and one DELETE are screened as high-conviction calls this cycle.
We also include one mid-conviction ADD and one low-conviction DELETE.


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>SenseTime announced FY25 results: total revenue grew by 33% YoY to RMB5.01bn, 3% ahead of Bloomberg consensus estimate mainly thanks to the strong momentum of Generative AI business.</li><li>Adjusted net loss narrowed by 54% YoY to RMB1.96bn in FY25, also better than consensus estimate of RMB2.29bn, primarily due to the effective control in opex (-11% YoY) and the operating leverage.</li><li>Looking ahead, the company will continue to improve its multimodal capabilities and enhance model cost efficiency to capture the GenAI monetization opportunities. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

SenseTime announced FY25 results: total revenue grew by 33% YoY to RMB5.01bn, 3% ahead of Bloomberg consensus estimate mainly thanks to the strong momentum of Generative AI business.Adjusted net loss narrowed by 54% YoY to RMB1.96bn in FY25, also better than consensus estimate of RMB2.29bn, primarily due to the effective control in opex (-11% YoY) and the operating leverage.Looking ahead, the company will continue to improve its multimodal capabilities and enhance model cost efficiency to capture the GenAI monetization opportunities. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SenseTime (20 HK) - FY25 Results Beat on Solid Gen AI Business and Enhanced Operating Efficiency

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We tracked AI models, infrastructure, and deals this week: Zhipu identified Ox Alpha, OpenAI showed Jalapeno, and Nvidia pursued Hugging Face.</li>
<li>China labs added Qwen, Tencent Hunyuan and Doubao updates, while DeepSeek changed weekend pricing and MiniMax and SenseTime reported results.</li>
<li>Hyperscaler movements covered Nscale, Amazon, Lambda, Volta, Iren, MTN and Yotta. OpenRouter still showed Anthropic ahead in revenue share.</li>
</ul>


We tracked AI models, infrastructure, and deals this week: Zhipu identified Ox Alpha, OpenAI showed Jalapeno, and Nvidia pursued Hugging Face.
China labs added Qwen, Tencent Hunyuan and Doubao updates, while DeepSeek changed weekend pricing and MiniMax and SenseTime reported results.
Hyperscaler movements covered Nscale, Amazon, Lambda, Volta, Iren, MTN and Yotta. OpenRouter still showed Anthropic ahead in revenue share.


This Week in AI (Aug 23-29): Ox Alpha and Jalapeno; Nvidia Eyes Hugging Face

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>With SenseTime Group Limited included in the Non-SDN Chinese Military Industrial Complex Companies List (NS-CMIC List), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a> has been kept out of a global index.</li>
<li>With no updates to the NS-CMIC list, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a> could become eligible for index inclusion at the next rebalance in February.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group</a> is a member of one global index, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> and HSIII indices, and some other indexes. The new inclusion will require passives to buy a large chunk of float.</li>
</ul>


With SenseTime Group Limited included in the Non-SDN Chinese Military Industrial Complex Companies List (NS-CMIC List), SenseTime Group (20 HK) has been kept out of a global index.
With no updates to the NS-CMIC list, SenseTime Group (20 HK) could become eligible for index inclusion at the next rebalance in February.

SenseTime Group is a member of one global index, HSTECH and HSIII indices, and some other indexes. The new inclusion will require passives to buy a large chunk of float.


SenseTime (20 HK): Potential Global Index Inclusion in Feb

China

SenseTime is a leading artificial intelligence software company that researches, develops, and sells AI software platforms. It provides AI technologies across generative AI, traditional AI, and smart auto, enabling digital transformation for enterprises, smart city management, and applications in IoT, Metaverse, smart health, and automotive. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

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SenseTime (20 HK)

Robosense IPO Lock-Up Expiry - US$2.8bn Lockup Expiry for 99% of the Stock, CCASS Movement

The pre-IPO shareholders came out of lockup today, leading to a 67% drop in the share price with an accompanying spike in volumes.

Sumeet Singh

HSCEI Dec 2026 Index Rebalance Forecast

We expect Shenzhou to be deleted below rank 60 and Hua Hong Grace to fill its seat, while a mid-conviction WuXi Bio ADD would also see ZTO deleted.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SenseTime (20 HK) - FY25 Results Beat on Solid Gen AI Business and Enhanced Operating Efficiency

SenseTime announced FY25 results: total revenue grew by 33% YoY to RMB5.01bn, 3% ahead of Bloomberg consensus estimate mainly thanks to the strong...

CMB International

This Week in AI (Aug 23-29): Ox Alpha and Jalapeno; Nvidia Eyes Hugging Face

This week in AI: Ox Alpha is Zhipu's GLM-5.3-Flash; OpenAI tests Jalapeno against GB300; Nvidia eyes Hugging Face as Moonshot talks with US cloud...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SenseTime (20 HK): Potential Global Index Inclusion in Feb

With confirmation of index inclusion, Sensetime (20 HK) is up today. Positioning has picked up in the last few weeks and there will be profit...

Brian Freitas

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