External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>SenseTime reported 1H25 results: total revenue increased by 36% YoY to RMB2.36bn, 6% ahead of our estimate, mainly due to the strong revenue growth of Generative AI business; adjusted net loss narrowed by 50% YoY to RMB1.16bn, thanks to the operating leverage and organizational restructuring, which should be largely in line with our estimate (RMB1.63bn) if excluding other gains of RMB641mn related to disposal of subsidiaries.</li><li>Fuelled by the strong demand for AI compute and AI applications, we forecast total revenue to maintain a solid growth of 25% YoY in 2H25E.</li><li>We revise our FY25/26E adjusted net loss forecast to RMB2.29/0.60bn (previous: RMB2.75bn/0.72bn), given the strong operating leverage and opex control. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SenseTime reported 1H25 results: total revenue increased by 36% YoY to RMB2.36bn, 6% ahead of our estimate, mainly due to the strong revenue growth of Generative AI business; adjusted net loss narrowed by 50% YoY to RMB1.16bn, thanks to the operating leverage and organizational restructuring, which should be largely in line with our estimate (RMB1.63bn) if excluding other gains of RMB641mn related to disposal of subsidiaries.Fuelled by the strong demand for AI compute and AI applications, we forecast total revenue to maintain a solid growth of 25% YoY in 2H25E.We revise our FY25/26E adjusted net loss forecast to RMB2.29/0.60bn (previous: RMB2.75bn/0.72bn), given the strong operating leverage and opex control. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SenseTime (20 HK) - 1H25 Review: Strong Gen AI Revenue Momentum with Improving Margin

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A week after the State Council issued "Several Opinions" (关于加强监管防范风险推动资本市场高质量发展的若干意见》), the CSRC <a href="http://www.csrc.gov.cn/csrc/c100028/c7474875/content.shtml" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> Friday five capital market cooperation measures with HK Connect. The goals are to increase cross-border investor flows.</li>
<li>They include: a broader range of ETFs in Connect, including REITs in both directions, include RMB counters in Southbound, improve mutual recognition of funds, increasing China IPOs in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>RMB Dual Counters Southbound-eligible will take time. They have some homework, but it is on the "To Do" list "as soon as possible and smoothly." Watch impact on H/A Pairs.</li>
</ul>


A week after the State Council issued "Several Opinions" (关于加强监管防范风险推动资本市场高质量发展的若干意见》), the CSRC announced Friday five capital market cooperation measures with HK Connect. The goals are to increase cross-border investor flows.
They include: a broader range of ETFs in Connect, including REITs in both directions, include RMB counters in Southbound, improve mutual recognition of funds, increasing China IPOs in Hong Kong.
RMB Dual Counters Southbound-eligible will take time. They have some homework, but it is on the "To Do" list "as soon as possible and smoothly." Watch impact on H/A Pairs.


RMB Dual Counter Trading Is Coming - This Changes AH Relationships

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Unisound AI Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Unisound AI Technology, a Beijing-based AI solution provider focusing on the sales of conversational AI products and solutions, completed an initial public offering at HK$205/share in June.</li>
<li>The company raised HK$251M in its Hong Kong IPO, including additional net proceeds from the over-allotment shares issued upon the full exercise of the over-allotment option.</li>
<li>The stock peaked at HK$879.00 in September and fell ~41% over the next two months. The company’s early IPO lockup will expire on December 29, 2025.</li>
</ul>


Unisound AI Technology, a Beijing-based AI solution provider focusing on the sales of conversational AI products and solutions, completed an initial public offering at HK$205/share in June.
The company raised HK$251M in its Hong Kong IPO, including additional net proceeds from the over-allotment shares issued upon the full exercise of the over-allotment option.
The stock peaked at HK$879.00 in September and fell ~41% over the next two months. The company’s early IPO lockup will expire on December 29, 2025.


Unisound AI IPO Lockup (9678.HK): ~US$1.6B Early Lockup Release for Co-Founders

<ul><li>SenseTime reported FY24 results: total revenue was up by 11% YoY to RMB3.77bn, below consensus estimate of RMB4.50bn, mainly due to the decline in Traditional AI business revenue; adjusted net loss narrowed by 21% YoY to RMB4.25bn, but worse than consensus net loss estimate of RMB3.53bn, primarily due to the greater-than-expected R&amp;D investment in AI.</li><li>Supported by its growing computing power and enriching industry solutions, management remains upbeat on the Gen AI revenue growth in FY25E.</li><li>We forecast total revenue to grow by 27% YoY in FY25E, driven by the Gen AI business.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SenseTime reported FY24 results: total revenue was up by 11% YoY to RMB3.77bn, below consensus estimate of RMB4.50bn, mainly due to the decline in Traditional AI business revenue; adjusted net loss narrowed by 21% YoY to RMB4.25bn, but worse than consensus net loss estimate of RMB3.53bn, primarily due to the greater-than-expected R&amp;D investment in AI.Supported by its growing computing power and enriching industry solutions, management remains upbeat on the Gen AI revenue growth in FY25E.We forecast total revenue to grow by 27% YoY in FY25E, driven by the Gen AI business.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SenseTime (20 HK) - Gen AI Business Maintains Momentum on Increased AI Investment

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The December rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights.</li>
<li>The net round-trip trade across all stocks across the five indices is estimated at HK$50bn (US$6.4bn). There is size to trade in a lot of stocks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi (1810 HK)</a> is the biggest buy due to HSIII Index inclusion and capping, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a> is the biggest capping sell.</li>
</ul>


The December rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights.
The net round-trip trade across all stocks across the five indices is estimated at HK$50bn (US$6.4bn). There is size to trade in a lot of stocks.

Xiaomi (1810 HK) is the biggest buy due to HSIII Index inclusion and capping, while Alibaba (9988 HK) is the biggest capping sell.


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSBIO Index Rebalance: US$6.4bn of Flows Post Capping (Dec 2025)

China

SenseTime Group Inc. offers information technology services. The Company develops artificial intelligence software products, computer vision software products, and other products. SenseTime Group provides its services throughout China.

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SenseTime Group (20 HK)

SenseTime (20 HK) - 1H25 Review: Strong Gen AI Revenue Momentum with Improving Margin

We roll forward our valuation window to FY26E and raise our target price to HK$2.45 based on 12x FY26E EV/sales (previous: HK$1.85 on 10.5x FY25E...

CMB International

RMB Dual Counter Trading Is Coming - This Changes AH Relationships

1 year+ after the CSRC said it was working towards expanding HKD RMB dual counter trading in HK, making RMB counters eligible, last month through...

Travis Lundy

Unisound AI IPO Lockup (9678.HK): ~US$1.6B Early Lockup Release for Co-Founders

Beijing-based Unisound AI Technology completed an initial public offering at HK$205/share, raising HK$251M of net proceeds. The company's early...

Andrei Zakharov

SenseTime (20 HK) - Gen AI Business Maintains Momentum on Increased AI Investment

We lower our target price to HK$1.85, which translates into 10.5x FY25E EV/sales in tune with AI-related sector valuation re-rating (previous:...

CMB International

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSBIO Index Rebalance: US$6.4bn of Flows Post Capping (Dec 2025)

The Dec rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSHKBIO indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

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SenseTime (20 HK) - 1H25 Review: Strong Gen AI Revenue Momentum with Improving Margin

We roll forward our valuation window to FY26E and raise our target price to HK$2.45 based on 12x FY26E EV/sales (previous: HK$1.85 on 10.5x FY25E...

CMB International

RMB Dual Counter Trading Is Coming - This Changes AH Relationships

1 year+ after the CSRC said it was working towards expanding HKD RMB dual counter trading in HK, making RMB counters eligible, last month through...

Travis Lundy

Unisound AI IPO Lockup (9678.HK): ~US$1.6B Early Lockup Release for Co-Founders

​Beijing-based Unisound AI Technology completed an initial public offering at HK$205/share, raising HK$251M of net proceeds. The company's early...

Andrei Zakharov

SenseTime (20 HK) - Gen AI Business Maintains Momentum on Increased AI Investment

We lower our target price to HK$1.85, which translates into 10.5x FY25E EV/sales in tune with AI-related sector valuation re-rating (previous:...

CMB International

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSBIO Index Rebalance: US$6.4bn of Flows Post Capping (Dec 2025)

The Dec rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSHKBIO indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the...

Brian Freitas

Beijing-based Unisound AI Technology completed an initial public offering at HK$205/share, raising HK$251M of net proceeds. The company's early...