Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT Index (HSIII) in June but there will be float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 5.95% and that leads to a round-trip trade of HK$3.2bn (US$410m). There are a few stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>The inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29030:1" rel="noopener">NetEase (9999 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a> and the outflows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuaishou-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bilibili-inc-83a27302-cd7d-4e6a-a1de-bcf93eb022c3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32215:1" rel="noopener">Bilibili (9626 HK)</a> will add to the flows from other indices.</li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT Index (HSIII) in June but there will be float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 5.95% and that leads to a round-trip trade of HK$3.2bn (US$410m). There are a few stocks with over 0.5x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
The inflows to NetEase (9999 HK) and Baidu (9888 HK) and the outflows from Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK) and Bilibili (9626 HK) will add to the flows from other indices.


Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Index is the benchmark index for Hong Kong stocks. It follows a highly-subjective selection process which makes it difficult to predict index changes.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes during the next review in June 2025.</li>
<li>The index changes are expected to be confirmed on 16th May 2025.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Index is the benchmark index for Hong Kong stocks. It follows a highly-subjective selection process which makes it difficult to predict index changes.
In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes during the next review in June 2025.
The index changes are expected to be confirmed on 16th May 2025.


Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Index Jun25: Beigene Is Our Top Pick

<ul>
<li>Most Secondary-listed companies have announced the number of shares that underlie ADRs and are held by the ADR depositaries as of end-March (or around that time).</li>
<li>There are some significant increases in the number of shares held by the ADR depositaries. That changes the free float for the stocks and consequently the estimated flows.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29030:1" rel="noopener">NetEase (9999 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd-23a341d0-4f63-4175-a8c5-ee990906cacd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36424:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com Group (9961 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weibo-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35280:1" rel="noopener">Weibo (9898 HK)</a> will have passives buying, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc-2d526675-c878-4104-840f-87fed1735e85" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35652:1" rel="noopener">NIO (9866 HK)</a> switches to a sell.</li>
</ul>


Most Secondary-listed companies have announced the number of shares that underlie ADRs and are held by the ADR depositaries as of end-March (or around that time).
There are some significant increases in the number of shares held by the ADR depositaries. That changes the free float for the stocks and consequently the estimated flows.

NetEase (9999 HK), Trip.com Group (9961 HK), Baidu (9888 HK) and Weibo (9898 HK) will have passives buying, while NIO (9866 HK) switches to a sell.


Hang Seng Indexes: ADR Depositary Holding Changes; Round-Trip Trade Is US$5.1bn; NetEase Outperforms

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 11th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in China Mobile, Sinopec, Ishares A50, Smic, CNOOC, Meituan, Kuaishou, Tracker Fund.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 11th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in China Mobile, Sinopec, Ishares A50, Smic, CNOOC, Meituan, Kuaishou, Tracker Fund.


HK Short Interest Weekly: China Mobile, Sinopec, Smic, CNOOC, Meituan, Kuaishou

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 3rd.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Tracker Fund, Pop Mart, Beigene, Hscei Etf, Xiaomi.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 3rd.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Tracker Fund, Pop Mart, Beigene, Hscei Etf, Xiaomi.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Pop Mart, Beigene, Xiaomi

China

SenseTime is a leading artificial intelligence software company that researches, develops, and sells AI software platforms. It provides AI technologies across generative AI, traditional AI, and smart auto, enabling digital transformation for enterprises, smart city management, and applications in IoT, Metaverse, smart health, and automotive. The company was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

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SenseTime (20 HK)

Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance: Float & Capping Changes

No constituent changes for the HSIII in June but there will be float and capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 5.95% leading to a round...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Index Jun25: Beigene Is Our Top Pick

We expect the ADDs/DELs and indicative weights for the Hang Seng Index to be publicly confirmed on Friday 16th May 2025. This is a good time to...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Hang Seng Indexes: ADR Depositary Holding Changes; Round-Trip Trade Is US$5.1bn; NetEase Outperforms

ADR depositary holding changes alter FAFs and flows. Estimated round-trip trade is US$5.1bn now. NetEase has outperformed the HSCI by 15.5% since...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: China Mobile, Sinopec, Smic, CNOOC, Meituan, Kuaishou

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 11th and highlight short interest changes in China Mobile, Sinopec,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Pop Mart, Beigene, Xiaomi

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Apr 3rd and highlight short interest changes in Tracker Fund, Pop Mart,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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