Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>BYD’s deliveries grew by 68% YoY in November 2024, which provides a positive signal for the whole NEV (New Energy Vehicle) industry.</li>
<li>In November, Seres' sales volume increased by 27% YoY with NEV up by 55% YoY.</li>
<li>Arawana, the top cooking oil producer, finished acquiring 11% of Lihua's stock.</li>
</ul>


BYD’s deliveries grew by 68% YoY in November 2024, which provides a positive signal for the whole NEV (New Energy Vehicle) industry.
In November, Seres' sales volume increased by 27% YoY with NEV up by 55% YoY.
Arawana, the top cooking oil producer, finished acquiring 11% of Lihua's stock.


China Consumption Weekly (9 Dec 2024): BYD, Geely, Li Auto, Seres, Xiaomi, Arawana

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The December 2024 index review results for the SSE 50 and SSE 180 indices were announced after market close on Friday 29th November 2024.</li>
<li>There will be 4 changes for SSE 50 and 18 changes for SSE 180 during the December 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>SSE 50 ADDs and DELs will see large index flows while the SSE 180 flow names have fairly insignificant flow expectations.</li>
</ul>


The December 2024 index review results for the SSE 50 and SSE 180 indices were announced after market close on Friday 29th November 2024.
There will be 4 changes for SSE 50 and 18 changes for SSE 180 during the December 2024 index rebal event.
SSE 50 ADDs and DELs will see large index flows while the SSE 180 flow names have fairly insignificant flow expectations.


Quiddity SSE50/180 Dec 24 Results: All SSE 50 ADDs in the LONGs Basket; Positive Start; More to Come

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are 5 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX)</a> and 18 changes for the SSE180 Index that will be implemented at the close on 13 December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seres-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29951:1" rel="noopener">Seres Group (601127 CH)</a> is an add to both indices, plus the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a>, and passive trackers will need to buy over US$900m of the stock.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes with a lot of the outperformance coming in the last couple of months. Trim positions in the expected adds/deletes and build positions in surprises.</li>
</ul>


There are 5 changes for the SSE50 Index (SSE50 INDEX) and 18 changes for the SSE180 Index that will be implemented at the close on 13 December.

Seres Group (601127 CH) is an add to both indices, plus the CSI 300 Index, and passive trackers will need to buy over US$900m of the stock.
The adds have outperformed the deletes with a lot of the outperformance coming in the last couple of months. Trim positions in the expected adds/deletes and build positions in surprises.


SSE50/SSE180 Index Rebalance: Couple of Surprises; Seres Group's Multiple Inclusions; US$3.2bn Trade

Sichuan Biokin Pharmaceutical / Index Rebalance

Sichuan Biokin Pharmaceutical (688506 CH)

<ul>
<li>The December 2024 index review results for China's CSI 300 and CSI 500 indices were announced after market close on Friday 29th November 2024.</li>
<li>There will be 16 ADDs/DELs for CSI 300 and 50 ADDs/DELs for CSI 500.</li>
<li>The CSI 300 and CSI 500 index rebal events could trigger US$4.5bn and US$3.8bn in one-way flows respectively.</li>
</ul>


The December 2024 index review results for China's CSI 300 and CSI 500 indices were announced after market close on Friday 29th November 2024.
There will be 16 ADDs/DELs for CSI 300 and 50 ADDs/DELs for CSI 500.
The CSI 300 and CSI 500 index rebal events could trigger US$4.5bn and US$3.8bn in one-way flows respectively.


Quiddity CSI 300/​​500 Dec 24 Results: ~90% Hit Rate; Positive Start for the Trade

Sieyuan Electric Co Ltd A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 17 changes at the December rebalance with the Industrials and Materials sectors could gaining 2 spots each and the Information Technology sector losing 3 spots.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover of 3% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 30.2bn (US$4.3bn). There are 14 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last month despite rising markets and a wall of money flowing into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> ETFs.</li>
</ul>


There could be 17 changes at the December rebalance with the Industrials and Materials sectors could gaining 2 spots each and the Information Technology sector losing 3 spots.
Estimated one-way turnover of 3% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 30.2bn (US$4.3bn). There are 14 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last month despite rising markets and a wall of money flowing into Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) ETFs.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Rising Markets and ETF Creations Take Round-Trip Trade to US$8.5bn

China

Seres Group Co.,ltd. manufactures and distributes automotive and parts. The Company produces sport utility vehicles, new energy vehicles, electric commercial automobiles, engines, and other products. Seres Group markets its products worldwide.

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Seres Group (601127 CH)

China Consumption Weekly (9 Dec 2024): BYD, Geely, Li Auto, Seres, Xiaomi, Arawana

BYD’s deliveries grew by 68% YoY in November 2024,. In November, Seres sales volume increased by 27% YoY with NEV up by 55% YoY. Arawana finished...

Ming Lu

Quiddity SSE50/180 Dec 24 Results: All SSE 50 ADDs in the LONGs Basket; Positive Start; More to Come

All five SSE 50 ADDs are in our previous LONGs basket. Since 5th Nov, the LONGs have outperformed the index by 2.7% which was a better return than...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

SSE50/SSE180 Index Rebalance: Couple of Surprises; Seres Group's Multiple Inclusions; US$3.2bn Trade

5/18 changes for the SSE50/180 in Dec. Seres Group is an add to both indices and the CSI300, so plenty to buy there. Couple of other surprises. The...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity CSI 300/500 Dec 24 Results: ~90% Hit Rate; Positive Start for the Trade

The LONGs have outperformed the Index by 2.2% since 5th November. The trade has to be now adjusted for the surprises in the latest index change...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Rising Markets and ETF Creations Take Round-Trip Trade to US$8.5bn

There could be 17 changes in Dec. Estimated 1-way turnover is 3%; 1-way trade is US$4.3bn. There are 14 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade. The adds...

Brian Freitas

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Market Cap (USDm)

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China Consumption Weekly (9 Dec 2024): BYD, Geely, Li Auto, Seres, Xiaomi, Arawana

BYD’s deliveries grew by 68% YoY in November 2024,. In November, Seres sales volume increased by 27% YoY with NEV up by 55% YoY. Arawana finished...

Ming Lu

Quiddity SSE50/180 Dec 24 Results: All SSE 50 ADDs in the LONGs Basket; Positive Start; More to Come

All five SSE 50 ADDs are in our previous LONGs basket. Since 5th Nov, the LONGs have outperformed the index by 2.7% which was a better return than...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

SSE50/SSE180 Index Rebalance: Couple of Surprises; Seres Group's Multiple Inclusions; US$3.2bn Trade

5/18 changes for the SSE50/180 in Dec. Seres Group is an add to both indices and the CSI300, so plenty to buy there. Couple of other surprises. The...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity CSI 300/​​500 Dec 24 Results: ~90% Hit Rate; Positive Start for the Trade

The LONGs have outperformed the Index by 2.2% since 5th November. The trade has to be now adjusted for the surprises in the latest index change...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Rising Markets and ETF Creations Take Round-Trip Trade to US$8.5bn

There could be 17 changes in Dec. Estimated 1-way turnover is 3%; 1-way trade is US$4.3bn. There are 14 stocks with over 2x ADV to trade. The adds...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity CSI 300/500 Dec 24 Results: ~90% Hit Rate; Positive Start for the Trade