Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Seres Group is target price of 189.9 CNY which represents a 17% upside from current levels over a 6-12 month period.</li>
<li>Our target P/S multiple of 1.4x is 50% premium to the average valuation multiple of the comps in 2026. </li>
<li>We used a premium valuation multiple for Seres Group due the company's higher sales growth, EBITDA margins, and ROE.</li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Seres Group is target price of 189.9 CNY which represents a 17% upside from current levels over a 6-12 month period.
Our target P/S multiple of 1.4x is 50% premium to the average valuation multiple of the comps in 2026. 
We used a premium valuation multiple for Seres Group due the company's higher sales growth, EBITDA margins, and ROE.


Seres Group Hong Kong IPO Valuation Analysis

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seres-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29951:1" rel="noopener">Seres Group (601127 CH)</a>, a Chinese NEV manufacturer, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.7 billion.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/seres-group-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:206418" rel="noopener">Seres Group H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a></em></strong>.</li>
<li>The proposed AH discount of 24.8% (based on the 24 October A Share price) is attractive, and I would participate in the H Share listing.</li>
</ul>



Seres Group (601127 CH), a Chinese NEV manufacturer, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.7 billion.
I discussed the H Share listing in Seres Group H Share Listing: The Investment Case.
The proposed AH discount of 24.8% (based on the 24 October A Share price) is attractive, and I would participate in the H Share listing.


Seres Group H Share Listing (9927 HK): Valuation Insights

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seres-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29951:1" rel="noopener">Seres Group (601127 CH)</a>, a Chinese NEV manufacturer, aims to raise around US$1.7bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>Seres Group (SG) is principally engaged in the research and development, manufacturing, sales and services of new energy vehicles (NEV) as well as core NEV components.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.</li>
</ul>



Seres Group (601127 CH), a Chinese NEV manufacturer, aims to raise around US$1.7bn in its H-share listing.
Seres Group (SG) is principally engaged in the research and development, manufacturing, sales and services of new energy vehicles (NEV) as well as core NEV components.
We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.


Seres Group A/H IPO Pricing - Thoughts on Valuations

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seres-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29951:1" rel="noopener">Seres Group (601127 CH)</a> could raise up to HK$17.4bn (US$2.24bn) in its H-share listing if the Offer Size Adjustment Option and the Overallotment Option are both exercised.</li>
<li>There is a big allocation to cornerstone investors that is locked up for 6 months. That eliminates the already small possibility of Fast Entry inclusion to global indexes.</li>
<li>Seres (9927 HK) should be added to Southbound Stock Connect from the open of trading on 1 December following the end of the Price Stabilisation period.</li>
</ul>



Seres Group (601127 CH) could raise up to HK$17.4bn (US$2.24bn) in its H-share listing if the Offer Size Adjustment Option and the Overallotment Option are both exercised.
There is a big allocation to cornerstone investors that is locked up for 6 months. That eliminates the already small possibility of Fast Entry inclusion to global indexes.
Seres (9927 HK) should be added to Southbound Stock Connect from the open of trading on 1 December following the end of the Price Stabilisation period.


Seres (9927 HK): Index Inclusion Timeline for a Max Offering of US$2.2bn; Big Discount to A-Shares

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seres-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29951:1" rel="noopener">Seres Group (601127 CH)</a>, a Chinese NEV manufacturer, has filed its PHIP for an H Share listing to raise US$1.5 billion.</li>
<li>The A Shares were listed on 15 June 2016. In May 2021 and June 2022, Seres conducted private placements to raise RMB2,567.9 million and RMB7,058.6 million, respectively.</li>
<li>The investment case rests on solid NEV performance, improving margin profile and strong cash generation.</li>
</ul>



Seres Group (601127 CH), a Chinese NEV manufacturer, has filed its PHIP for an H Share listing to raise US$1.5 billion.
The A Shares were listed on 15 June 2016. In May 2021 and June 2022, Seres conducted private placements to raise RMB2,567.9 million and RMB7,058.6 million, respectively.
The investment case rests on solid NEV performance, improving margin profile and strong cash generation.


Seres Group H Share Listing: The Investment Case

China

Seres Group Co.,ltd. manufactures and distributes automotive and parts. The Company produces sport utility vehicles, new energy vehicles, electric commercial automobiles, engines, and other products. Seres Group markets its products worldwide.

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Seres Group (601127 CH)

Seres Group Hong Kong IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Seres Group is target price of 189.9 CNY which represents a 17% upside from current levels over a 6-12 month period.

Douglas Kim

Seres Group A/H IPO Pricing - Thoughts on Valuations

Seres Group (601127 CH), a Chinese NEV manufacturer, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.

Sumeet Singh

Seres (9927 HK): Index Inclusion Timeline for a Max Offering of US$2.2bn; Big Discount to A-Shares

Seres could raise US$2.2bn in its HK IPO. Inclusion in Southbound Connect from 1 Dec. Global index and FXI inclusions in June and August next year....

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Seres Group Hong Kong IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Seres Group is target price of 189.9 CNY which represents a 17% upside from current levels over a 6-12 month period.

Douglas Kim

Seres Group H Share Listing (9927 HK): Valuation Insights

Seres Group has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.7 billion. The proposed AH discount of 24.8% implied by the H Share offer price is...

Arun George

Seres Group A/H IPO Pricing - Thoughts on Valuations

Seres Group (601127 CH), a Chinese NEV manufacturer, aims to raise around US$2bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.

Sumeet Singh

Seres (9927 HK): Index Inclusion Timeline for a Max Offering of US$2.2bn; Big Discount to A-Shares

Seres could raise US$2.2bn in its HK IPO. Inclusion in Southbound Connect from 1 Dec. Global index and FXI inclusions in June and August next year....

Brian Freitas

Seres Group H Share Listing: The Investment Case

Seres, a Chinese NEV manufacturer, has filed its PHIP for an H Share listing to raise US$1.5 billion. In this note, I discuss the investment case.

Arun George