Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Television broadcaster and publisher <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-west-media-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:804:1" rel="noopener">Seven West Media (SWM AU)</a> has entered into a Scheme with radio network play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/southern-cross-media-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10374:1" rel="noopener">Southern Cross Media (SXL AU)</a>.</li>
<li>SXL will issue 0.1552 new shares for every SWM. Should the Scheme get up, SXL will hold 50.1% of the combined entity and SWM the remainder.</li>
<li>Kerry Stokes backed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sgh-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:803:1" rel="noopener">SGH Limited (SGH AU)</a> will hold ~20% in the merged entity. But not all shareholders are on board with the Offer. Trading through terms.</li>
</ul>


Television broadcaster and publisher Seven West Media (SWM AU) has entered into a Scheme with radio network play Southern Cross Media (SXL AU).
SXL will issue 0.1552 new shares for every SWM. Should the Scheme get up, SXL will hold 50.1% of the combined entity and SWM the remainder.
Kerry Stokes backed SGH Limited (SGH AU) will hold ~20% in the merged entity. But not all shareholders are on board with the Offer. Trading through terms.


Seven West Media (SWM AU) Enters Scheme With Southern Cross (SXL AU). But Not Everyone Is Happy

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We discussed last week (Feb. 27 Int'l Compass) how both ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 displayed false breakouts, and to look for near-term pullbacks</li>
<li>We said expect pullbacks to range supports at $116 on ACWI-US and 5770-5850 or 5600-5670 on the S&amp;P 500 in the coming weeks, where we would be buyers.</li>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 is testing the 5770-5850 range now, while ACWI-US is testing its 200-day MA at $117. It is possible ACWI-US finds support here. Upgrading Europe to overweight</li>
</ul>


We discussed last week (Feb. 27 Int'l Compass) how both ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 displayed false breakouts, and to look for near-term pullbacks
We said expect pullbacks to range supports at $116 on ACWI-US and 5770-5850 or 5600-5670 on the S&amp;P 500 in the coming weeks, where we would be buyers.
The S&amp;P 500 is testing the 5770-5850 range now, while ACWI-US is testing its 200-day MA at $117. It is possible ACWI-US finds support here. Upgrading Europe to overweight


Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Monitoring U.S. (S&P 500) For a Downgrade; Buy Gold Miners and More

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Nov 22nd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD24.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Amcor, Evolution Mining, ANZ, Seven.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Nov 22nd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD24.5bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Amcor, Evolution Mining, ANZ, Seven.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 22nd): Amcor, Evolution Mining, ANZ, Seven

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Bell Potter Securities

Bell Potter

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Bell Potter Securities

Bell Potter Securities is a leading Australian stockbroking, investment and financial advisory firm that provides a comprehensive offering of financial services to individuals, institutions and corporations. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>With the Boral (BLD) acquisition nearing completion, we revisit our SVW model forecasts, updating our attributable SVW financials, BLD valuation and SVW’s capital structure post-acquisition.</li><li>Key points: Dividend payouts: We incorporate the 26cps fully franked special dividend paid by BLD in late April 2024 and a 30cps fully franked special dividend to be paid by SVW to all new and existing shareholders in FY25.</li><li>Leverage &amp; subsequent de-leveraging: We estimate pro forma net leverage to be 2.7x FY24 EBITDA (including leases).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

With the Boral (BLD) acquisition nearing completion, we revisit our SVW model forecasts, updating our attributable SVW financials, BLD valuation and SVW’s capital structure post-acquisition.Key points: Dividend payouts: We incorporate the 26cps fully franked special dividend paid by BLD in late April 2024 and a 30cps fully franked special dividend to be paid by SVW to all new and existing shareholders in FY25.Leverage &amp; subsequent de-leveraging: We estimate pro forma net leverage to be 2.7x FY24 EBITDA (including leases).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Seven Group Holdings (SVW): Rounding out the portfolio

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jun 7th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Xero, Fortescue, Wisetech Global, BHP, Woodside Energy.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jun 7th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Xero, Fortescue, Wisetech Global, BHP, Woodside Energy.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 7th): Xero, Fortescue, Wisetech Global, BHP, Woodside Energy

Australia

SGH Limited operates as a diversified operating and investment company. The Company focuses on businesses across construction and mining equipment distribution, industrial services, energy, and media. SGH serves customers worldwide.

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SGH Limited (SGH AU)

Seven West Media (SWM AU) Enters Scheme With Southern Cross (SXL AU). But Not Everyone Is Happy

Two illiquid companies merging, possibly with shareholder pushback - not something I'd be actively chasing. Terms have not been declared final...

David Blennerhassett

Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Monitoring U.S. (S&P 500) For a Downgrade; Buy Gold Miners and More

Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Monitoring U.S. $SPX for a Downgrade to Market Weight. $ACWI and $SPX likely bottoming here at 200-day MAs. Bullish...

Vermilion Research

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Nov 22nd): Amcor, Evolution Mining, ANZ, Seven

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Amcor, Evolution Mining, ANZ, Seven.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Seven Group Holdings (SVW): Rounding out the portfolio

With the Boral (BLD) acquisition nearing completion, we revisit our SVW model forecasts, updating our attributable SVW financials, BLD valuation...

Bell Potter

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 7th): Xero, Fortescue, Wisetech Global, BHP, Woodside Energy

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Xero, Fortescue, Wisetech Global, BHP, Woodside...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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