Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>GS has bumped terms for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/raksul-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27043:1" rel="noopener">Raksul (4384 JP)</a>. It's not a great bump, but it is "final" it appears. Aspex got rolled in.  Anyone large will get rolled in too. </li>
<li>On <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bluescope-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:207:1" rel="noopener">BlueScope Steel (BSL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sgh-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:803:1" rel="noopener">SGH (SGH AU)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/steel-dynamics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11061:1" rel="noopener">Steel Dynamics (STLD US)</a> need to bolt on scrip; and/or flip to a conditional Offer, with a 50% acceptance hurdle, to gain control. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-sdi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:503:1" rel="noopener">Samsung SDI (006400 KS)</a>announced plans to sell its 15.2% stake in Samsung Display (unlisted). <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener"></a> may be the buyer. </li>
</ul>


GS has bumped terms for Raksul (4384 JP). It's not a great bump, but it is "final" it appears. Aspex got rolled in.  Anyone large will get rolled in too. 
On BlueScope Steel (BSL AU), SGH (SGH AU)/Steel Dynamics (STLD US) need to bolt on scrip; and/or flip to a conditional Offer, with a 50% acceptance hurdle, to gain control. 

Samsung SDI (006400 KS)announced plans to sell its 15.2% stake in Samsung Display (unlisted). Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) may be the buyer. 


Last Week In Event SPACE: Raksul, BlueScope, Samsung SDI, Qube

<ul>
<li>I tally 33 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>Four new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/magnetic-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17051:1" rel="noopener">Magnetic Resources Nl (MAU AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/takara-bio-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10766:1" rel="noopener">Takara Bio Inc (4974 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ajis-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3539:1" rel="noopener">AJIS Co Ltd (4659 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inforich-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46391:1" rel="noopener">Inforich (9338 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sankei-real-estate-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35239:1" rel="noopener">Sankei Real Estate (2972 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maruwn-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18411:1" rel="noopener">Maruwn Corp (9067 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-logisnext-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11662:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. (7105 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 33 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
Four new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: Magnetic Resources Nl (MAU AU), Takara Bio Inc (4974 JP), AJIS Co Ltd (4659 JP), and Inforich (9338 JP).
Key updates/news also took place on: Sankei Real Estate (2972 JP), Maruwn Corp (9067 JP), and Mitsubishi Logisnext Co., Ltd. (7105 JP).


Asia-Pac M&A Weekly Wrap: Inforich, Magnetic Res, Takara Bio, AJIS, Sankei Real Estate, Maruwn

<ul>
<li>Back on the 6th January, Kerry Stokes-backed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sgh-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:803:1" rel="noopener">SGH Limited (SGH AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/steel-dynamics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11061:1" rel="noopener">Steel Dynamics (STLD US)</a><a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20260106/pdf/06tzv9t8w6g7pg.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">submitted</a> an A$0.30/share cash NBIO for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bluescope-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:207:1" rel="noopener">BlueScope Steel (BSL AU)</a>, Australia’s largest steel manufacturer.</li>
<li>BlueScope summarily rejected terms, stating the Offer "very significantly undervalues" the company. SGH/SDI have now <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20260218/pdf/06wflzg212dlgh.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">returned with a $32.35/share</a> (best &amp; final) NBIO - $34/share when including A$1.65/share in dividends.</li>
<li>That's a A$15bn bid. Exclusive due diligence is sought. AusSuper, with 13.5% of shares out, holds the key. No scrip alternative is afforded. My guess is AusSuper is not supportive.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 6th January, Kerry Stokes-backed SGH Limited (SGH AU) and Steel Dynamics (STLD US)submitted an A$0.30/share cash NBIO for BlueScope Steel (BSL AU), Australia’s largest steel manufacturer.
BlueScope summarily rejected terms, stating the Offer "very significantly undervalues" the company. SGH/SDI have now returned with a $32.35/share (best &amp; final) NBIO - $34/share when including A$1.65/share in dividends.
That's a A$15bn bid. Exclusive due diligence is sought. AusSuper, with 13.5% of shares out, holds the key. No scrip alternative is afforded. My guess is AusSuper is not supportive.


BlueScope (BSL AU): SGH And SDI's Latest NBIO - What Say You AusSuper?

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bluescope-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:207:1" rel="noopener">Bluescope Steel (BSL AU)</a> has disclosed a revised non-binding proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sgh-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:803:1" rel="noopener">SGH Limited (SGH AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/steel-dynamics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11061:1" rel="noopener">Steel Dynamics (STLD US)</a> at US$32.35. Adjusting for dividends, the equivalent offer is A$34.00. </li>
<li>It is the best and final proposal. The offer does not fully address the Board’s reasons for rejecting the previous offer, but it will pressure the Board to engage. </li>
<li>AustralianSuper, the largest shareholder, holds the key vote. If AustralianSuper does not increase its shareholding in the coming days, it signals that it is supportive.</li>
</ul>



Bluescope Steel (BSL AU) has disclosed a revised non-binding proposal from SGH Limited (SGH AU) and Steel Dynamics (STLD US) at US$32.35. Adjusting for dividends, the equivalent offer is A$34.00. 
It is the best and final proposal. The offer does not fully address the Board’s reasons for rejecting the previous offer, but it will pressure the Board to engage. 
AustralianSuper, the largest shareholder, holds the key vote. If AustralianSuper does not increase its shareholding in the coming days, it signals that it is supportive.


BlueScope Steel (BSL AU): SGH and Steel Dynamics’ Best and Final Offer

<ul>
<li>This morning (9th Feb), leading non-bank lender <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pepper-money-ltd-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24157:1" rel="noopener">Pepper Money (PPM AU)</a>  <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20260209/pdf/06w2xl642f3455.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">confirmed</a> KKR and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/challenger-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16870:1" rel="noopener">Challenger Ltd (CGF AU)</a> have submitted an NBIO by way of a Scheme.</li>
<li>KKR/CGF are offering A$2.60/share, a 47.7% premium to undisturbed. And ~1.49x P/B (based on 1H25 numbers). KKR currently holds <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20250411/pdf/06hncksdd9ldxh.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">60.34%</a>.  </li>
<li>CGF announced it would hold no more than 25% in Pepper Money, if delisted. CGF is down 3.6%. </li>
</ul>


This morning (9th Feb), leading non-bank lender Pepper Money (PPM AU)  confirmed KKR and Challenger Ltd (CGF AU) have submitted an NBIO by way of a Scheme.
KKR/CGF are offering A$2.60/share, a 47.7% premium to undisturbed. And ~1.49x P/B (based on 1H25 numbers). KKR currently holds 60.34%.  
CGF announced it would hold no more than 25% in Pepper Money, if delisted. CGF is down 3.6%. 


Pepper Money (PPM AU): KKR/Challenger's NBIO

Australia

SGH Limited operates as a diversified operating and investment company. The Company focuses on businesses across construction and mining equipment distribution, industrial services, energy, and media. SGH serves customers worldwide.

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SGH Limited (SGH AU)

Last Week In Event SPACE: Raksul, BlueScope, Samsung SDI, Qube

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac M&A Weekly Wrap: Inforich, Magnetic Res, Takara Bio, AJIS, Sankei Real Estate, Maruwn

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

BlueScope (BSL AU): SGH And SDI's Latest NBIO - What Say You AusSuper?

Revised terms are close to SDI's NBIO last year, which was rejected. BlueScope has zero net debt. The USA ops are undervalued. And structurally...

David Blennerhassett

BlueScope Steel (BSL AU): SGH and Steel Dynamics’ Best and Final Offer

The offer does not fully address the Board’s reasons for rejecting the previous offer, but it will pressure the Board to engage. AustralianSuper...

Arun George

Pepper Money (PPM AU): KKR/Challenger's NBIO

Indicative terms are solid. KKR knows this company inside and out. Trading at gross spread of 17%. Despite the non-binding nature, if not in, I'd...

David Blennerhassett

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