Materials| Industrials |Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

Shandong Gold Mining Co., Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>EBITDA margin is expected to expand to 19% by FY27, with EPS rising from CNY 0.51 to CNY 1.10, supported by operational efficiencies and a favorable gold price environment.</li>
<li>Shandong Gold aims for 70–80 tonnes of self-mined gold by 2027, with FY25–FY27 revenue projected to reach CNY118.8 billion at $3,400/oz gold price, driven by volume growth &amp; higher prices.</li>
<li>Commodity price volatility, geopolitical risks in international ventures (Argentina, Greece), and state ownership influence pose challenges to margins and shareholder value.</li>
</ul>


EBITDA margin is expected to expand to 19% by FY27, with EPS rising from CNY 0.51 to CNY 1.10, supported by operational efficiencies and a favorable gold price environment.
Shandong Gold aims for 70–80 tonnes of self-mined gold by 2027, with FY25–FY27 revenue projected to reach CNY118.8 billion at $3,400/oz gold price, driven by volume growth &amp; higher prices.
Commodity price volatility, geopolitical risks in international ventures (Argentina, Greece), and state ownership influence pose challenges to margins and shareholder value.


Shandong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. (600547.SS, 1787.HK) - Scaling Production and Enhancing Margins

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li><em>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</em></li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND inflow strong but SOEs not leading. Hang Seng down again, A-shares down more. Bank buying minimal. </li>
<li>AH Premia fell 30bp on average. 1% for Liquid names. HK vs A-shares saw an even wider spread (the opposite of last week). SUPER-tight AH premia saw best H outperformance.</li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND inflow strong but SOEs not leading. Hang Seng down again, A-shares down more. Bank buying minimal. 
AH Premia fell 30bp on average. 1% for Liquid names. HK vs A-shares saw an even wider spread (the opposite of last week). SUPER-tight AH premia saw best H outperformance.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 26 Jul 2024): SB Bought, NB Sold, HK/China Markets Weak, Spreads Volatile

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Commodity trends remain bifurcated: gold, copper, and uranium are surging, while iron ore, and coal struggle under oversupply and weak demand.</li>
<li>Top picks: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-mining-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24628:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Mining Group (601899 CH)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-gold-mining-co-ltd-4527fb98-bb5d-4d74-91fe-66f9c0224eb3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27455:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Gold Mining (1787 HK)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsw-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18561:1" rel="noopener">JSW Steel Ltd (JSTL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lloyds-metals-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15467:1" rel="noopener">Lloyds Metals &amp; Energy (LYDM IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paladin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10117:1" rel="noopener">Paladin Energy (PDN AU)</a> </li>
<li>Top shorts: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hindalco-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18490:1" rel="noopener">Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-steel-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:961:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Steel Corporation (5401 JP)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coal-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9117:1" rel="noopener">Coal India Ltd (COAL IN)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20934:1" rel="noopener">Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN)</a> </li>
</ul>


Commodity trends remain bifurcated: gold, copper, and uranium are surging, while iron ore, and coal struggle under oversupply and weak demand.
Top picks: Zijin Mining Group (601899 CH)Shandong Gold Mining (1787 HK)JSW Steel Ltd (JSTL IN), Lloyds Metals &amp; Energy (LYDM IN) , Paladin Energy (PDN AU) 
Top shorts: Hindalco Industries (HNDL IN) , Nippon Steel Corporation (5401 JP)Coal India Ltd (COAL IN)Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN) 


Global Metals & Mining Playbook – July 2025

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Industrial Bank, Satellite Chemical, Zhejiang Nhu, Zhongjin Gold, Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan), Longi Green, Tcl Zhonghuan, Cambricon Technologies.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Industrial Bank, Satellite Chemical, Zhejiang Nhu, Zhongjin Gold, Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan), Longi Green, Tcl Zhonghuan, Cambricon Technologies.


CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Jun): Industrial Bank, Satellite Chemical, Zhejiang Nhu

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 156 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 70.1% as of Jun 27th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.3ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, financials, communication services and offset by information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Shenhua Energy, Bank Of Zhengzhou, Guolian Minsheng Securities, Shenwan Hongyuan, Jiangxi Copper, Cmoc.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 156 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 70.1% as of Jun 27th.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.3ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, financials, communication services and offset by information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Shenhua Energy, Bank Of Zhengzhou, Guolian Minsheng Securities, Shenwan Hongyuan, Jiangxi Copper, Cmoc.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 27th): China Shenhua Energy, Bank Of Zhengzhou, Guolian Minsheng Securities

China

Shandong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. operates gold mining and production businesses. The Company provides gold exploration, processing, and outsourcing gold smelting services. Shandong Gold Mining also conducts gold jewelry purification and non-ferrous metal production businesses.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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Shandong Gold Mining (1787 HK)

Shandong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. (600547.SS, 1787.HK) - Scaling Production and Enhancing Margins

Shandong Gold forecasts significant growth in revenue and EPS by 2027, but faces challenges from commodity price volatility and geopolitical risks.

Rahul Jain

A/H Premium Tracker (To 26 Jul 2024): SB Bought, NB Sold, HK/China Markets Weak, Spreads Volatile

Spreads were volatile this past week. The narrowest AH Premia saw significant H outperformance while the wider spreads saw much more muted...

Travis Lundy

Global Metals & Mining Playbook – July 2025

Commodity trends show gold, copper, and uranium surging, while iron ore and coal struggle. Top picks include Zijin Mining Group, Shandong Gold...

Rahul Jain

CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Jun): Industrial Bank, Satellite Chemical, Zhejiang Nhu

We analyzed CSI 100's consensus for Jun 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Industrial Bank (601166 CH), Satellite Chemical (002648 CH),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 27th): China Shenhua Energy, Bank Of Zhengzhou, Guolian Minsheng Securities

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Shenhua Energy, Bank Of Zhengzhou, Guolian Minsheng...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Shandong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. (600547.SS, 1787.HK) - Scaling Production and Enhancing Margins

​Shandong Gold forecasts significant growth in revenue and EPS by 2027, but faces challenges from commodity price volatility and geopolitical risks.

Rahul Jain

A/H Premium Tracker (To 26 Jul 2024): SB Bought, NB Sold, HK/China Markets Weak, Spreads Volatile

Spreads were volatile this past week. The narrowest AH Premia saw significant H outperformance while the wider spreads saw much more muted...

Travis Lundy

Global Metals & Mining Playbook – July 2025

​Commodity trends show gold, copper, and uranium surging, while iron ore and coal struggle. Top picks include Zijin Mining Group, Shandong Gold...

Rahul Jain

CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (Jun): Industrial Bank, Satellite Chemical, Zhejiang Nhu

We analyzed CSI 100's consensus for Jun 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Industrial Bank (601166 CH), Satellite Chemical (002648 CH),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 27th): China Shenhua Energy, Bank Of Zhengzhou, Guolian Minsheng Securities

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Shenhua Energy, Bank Of Zhengzhou, Guolian Minsheng...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shandong Gold forecasts significant growth in revenue and EPS by 2027, but faces challenges from commodity price volatility and geopolitical risks.

Commodity trends show gold, copper, and uranium surging, while iron ore and coal struggle. Top picks include Zijin Mining Group, Shandong Gold...