Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings Gro / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/compose/insight/203678/What's%20Up%20(&amp;%20Up)%20With%20Shandong%20Hi-Speed%20(412%20HK)" target="_blank" rel="noopener">What's Up (&amp; Up) With Shandong Hi-Speed (412 HK)?</a>, I thought <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-hi-speed-holdings-gro" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10356:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings (412 HK)</a> was a bubble after gaining 190% in the past six months. </li>
<li>My guess was that SDHG's high shareholder concentration was still very much present, and the stock was getting (unjustly) squeezed.</li>
<li>The SFC concurred on the 18th September, and issued a concentration warning. SDHG's shares cratered 76% on the 19th September, before recovering 49%. Quite the ride. </li>
</ul>


In What's Up (&amp; Up) With Shandong Hi-Speed (412 HK)?, I thought Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings (412 HK) was a bubble after gaining 190% in the past six months. 
My guess was that SDHG's high shareholder concentration was still very much present, and the stock was getting (unjustly) squeezed.
The SFC concurred on the 18th September, and issued a concentration warning. SDHG's shares cratered 76% on the 19th September, before recovering 49%. Quite the ride. 


Shandong Hi-Speed (412 HK): Now Overshot To The Downside

Equity Bottom-Up

Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings Gro / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Back on the 18th Feb 2025, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-hi-speed-holdings-gro" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10356:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Hi-Speed (412 HK)</a> (SHS) closed its unconditional Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-hi-speed-new-energy-g" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6927:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy  (1250 HK)</a>. Shortly thereafter, SHS' share price took off.</li>
<li>SHS is now up 190% in the past six months. And ~1800% since Covid.</li>
<li>What gives? It's not index related. And forward earnings do not justify the move. This looks like a bubble. Short interest is on the move.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 18th Feb 2025, Shandong Hi-Speed (412 HK) (SHS) closed its unconditional Offer for Shandong Hi-Speed New Energy  (1250 HK). Shortly thereafter, SHS' share price took off.
SHS is now up 190% in the past six months. And ~1800% since Covid.
What gives? It's not index related. And forward earnings do not justify the move. This looks like a bubble. Short interest is on the move.


What's Up (& Up) With Shandong Hi-Speed (412 HK)?

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>HK$100bn a day of gross SOUTHBOUND activity with US$600mm+ of net buying on average. Net flows continue to be impressive. SOEs/Energy/Financials dominate.</li>
<li>Watch for news on the Dual Counter (RMB) Trading eligibility for SOUTHBOUND near-term. That could up the pace of things.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Southbound Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there - free - for all SK readers.</li>
</ul>


HK$100bn a day of gross SOUTHBOUND activity with US$600mm+ of net buying on average. Net flows continue to be impressive. SOEs/Energy/Financials dominate.
Watch for news on the Dual Counter (RMB) Trading eligibility for SOUTHBOUND near-term. That could up the pace of things.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The Southbound Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there - free - for all SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (Wk To 21 Nov 2025) - BIG Net Buy on Lower Gross Flows. BABA Bought

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows of Alibaba, Horizon Robotics, Meituan, Byd, Xiaomi.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight flows of Alibaba, Horizon Robotics, Meituan, Byd, Xiaomi.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (September): $20bn Inflows

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes just over US$19bn a day this past 5-day week. Big. Quite decent net buying flows too though the market fell. </li>
<li>The recommended name last week was short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a> was +4.65% on the week despite HK being down across the board.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there for all SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes just over US$19bn a day this past 5-day week. Big. Quite decent net buying flows too though the market fell. 
The recommended name last week was short Alibaba (9988 HK) was +4.65% on the week despite HK being down across the board.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there for all SK readers.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 26 Sep 2025); BIG Single Stock Trading Again, Big Net, But Hs Fall

China

Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings Group Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company provides bond investment, equity investment, money lending services, securities brokerage, asset management, financial leasing, and other services. Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings Group also offers internet new media services.

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Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings Gro (412 HK)

Shandong Hi-Speed (412 HK): Now Overshot To The Downside

I'd look to get some exposure here. But I wouldn't chase it. I doubt the days of large share price gyrations are a thing of the past.

David Blennerhassett

What's Up (& Up) With Shandong Hi-Speed (412 HK)?

This looks like a bubble. My guess is that high shareholder conentration is still very much present, and the stock is getting squeezed. SHP is a...

David Blennerhassett

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (Wk To 21 Nov 2025) - BIG Net Buy on Lower Gross Flows. BABA Bought

BIG Net flows - averaging US$1bn a day - as HK shares fall sharply on the week. Alibaba and Info Tech see renewed big inflows. Some ETF buying last...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (September): $20bn Inflows

We estimate that there were inflows of USD 20,828.1 million into HK Stocks in September. We highlight inflows into Alibaba, Horizon Robotics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 26 Sep 2025); BIG Single Stock Trading Again, Big Net, But Hs Fall

SOUTHBOUND saw continued large buying, especially on Alibaba. Net buying on that name has been huge the last few weeks. Was a big gainer this week...

Travis Lundy

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