HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfang-electric-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1251:1" rel="noopener">Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)</a>'s management update suggested that its outlook remains encouraging. Order backlog of Rmb87.8bn well covers the FY22 revenue at 1.57x.  </li>
<li>It is positive towards pumped storage, alternative power storage and hydrogen energy. Although they may not have significant near-term contribution, DEC is well-positioned in the long term.</li>
<li>While new A-shares issue will dilute EPS, this should lower gearing (including contract liabilities) to 32.1%, from 49.2%, and is positive to H-share holders as book value will be enhanced.</li>
</ul>



Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)'s management update suggested that its outlook remains encouraging. Order backlog of Rmb87.8bn well covers the FY22 revenue at 1.57x.  
It is positive towards pumped storage, alternative power storage and hydrogen energy. Although they may not have significant near-term contribution, DEC is well-positioned in the long term.
While new A-shares issue will dilute EPS, this should lower gearing (including contract liabilities) to 32.1%, from 49.2%, and is positive to H-share holders as book value will be enhanced.


Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Positive Takeaways from Post-Result Presentation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfang-electric-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1251:1" rel="noopener">Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)</a>'s 35.1% increase in FY22 recurring earnings demonstrated its healthy operations. Slowdown in 4Q22 (+14.4% YoY) is more a result of pandemic disruption. </li>
<li>Record new orders of Rmb65.6bn were signed FY22 (+16.3% YoY), and 4Q22 even saw a 25% growth. End-FY22 backlog is estimated to be enough to cover 1.66x FY22 revenue.</li>
<li>DEC targets a 35% growth in power generation equipment production volume in FY23. Power storage, including pumped storage, and hydrogen energy are important engines going forward.</li>
</ul>



Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)'s 35.1% increase in FY22 recurring earnings demonstrated its healthy operations. Slowdown in 4Q22 (+14.4% YoY) is more a result of pandemic disruption. 
Record new orders of Rmb65.6bn were signed FY22 (+16.3% YoY), and 4Q22 even saw a 25% growth. End-FY22 backlog is estimated to be enough to cover 1.66x FY22 revenue.
DEC targets a 35% growth in power generation equipment production volume in FY23. Power storage, including pumped storage, and hydrogen energy are important engines going forward.


Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Heading Towards Another Fruitful Year

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 149 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 95.8% as of Oct 25th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.4ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, information technology, real estate and offset by utilities, consumer discretionary, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for SMIC, ZOOMLION, PICC, FDZJ, FLAT GROUP, INNOCARE.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 149 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 95.8% as of Oct 25th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.4ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, information technology, real estate and offset by utilities, consumer discretionary, financials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for SMIC, ZOOMLION, PICC, FDZJ, FLAT GROUP, INNOCARE.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 25th):SMIC, ZOOMLION, PICC, FDZJ, FLAT GROUP, INNOCARE

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong markets continue to outperform globally this year with short selling declining and mainland buying increasing.  These trends should accelerate going into next year.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-art-retail-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:401:1" rel="noopener">Sun Art Retail (6808 HK)</a>resumed trading after announcing that the company is entertaining one or more potential acquisition plans for the company.  The company also announced strong 1H25 earnings.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-electric-group-company-limited-d542164d-4d5a-4ce0-b33e-5fe6bc34722c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8777:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK) </a>announce a buyback plan for 10% of A and H shares outstanding.  The company also announced the acquisition of the China Fanuc robotics business.
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong markets continue to outperform globally this year with short selling declining and mainland buying increasing.  These trends should accelerate going into next year.

Sun Art Retail (6808 HK)resumed trading after announcing that the company is entertaining one or more potential acquisition plans for the company.  The company also announced strong 1H25 earnings.


Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK) announce a buyback plan for 10% of A and H shares outstanding.  The company also announced the acquisition of the China Fanuc robotics business.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (October 22)

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.3% as of Sep 13th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.3ppt week-on-week, led by energy, utilities, industrials and offset by health care, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for SINOPEC, China Coal Energy, PetroChina, GAC Group, Tigermed, CanSinoBIO, SMIC, Hua Hong Semi, Shanghai Pharma.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.3% as of Sep 13th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.3ppt week-on-week, led by energy, utilities, industrials and offset by health care, consumer staples.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for SINOPEC, China Coal Energy, PetroChina, GAC Group, Tigermed, CanSinoBIO, SMIC, Hua Hong Semi, Shanghai Pharma.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 13th): Sinopec, China Coal Energy, PetroChina, GAC, Tigermed

China

Shanghai Electric Group Company Limited manufactures power generation equipment. The Company produces and sells thermal generator set, nuclear power units, wind power equipment, power transmission and distribution equipment, and other products. Shanghai Electric Group also manufactures environmental protection equipment.

Shanghai Electric Group Company (601727 CH)

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Shanghai Electric Group Company (601727 CH)

Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Positive Takeaways from Post-Result Presentation

Order backlog of Rmb87.8bn well covers the FY22 revenue at 1.57x. New A-shares issue will dilute EPS but this should lower gearing and is positive...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Heading Towards Another Fruitful Year

After a solid FY22, FY23 will still be impressive. Record new orders and healthy backlog will propel growth. We believe DEC has excellent exposure...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 25th):SMIC, ZOOMLION, PICC, FDZJ, FLAT GROUP, INNOCARE

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for SMIC, ZOOMLION, PICC, FDZJ, FLAT GROUP, INNOCARE.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (October 22)

HK out-perform global peers with short selling abating and mainland buying increasing. Sun Art resumed trading as it entertains potential buyout...

David Mudd

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 13th): Sinopec, China Coal Energy, PetroChina, GAC, Tigermed

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for SINOPEC, China Coal Energy, PetroChina, GAC Group, Tigermed,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)