Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the 2Q2025 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.</li>
<li>We estimate that the inflows in 2Q2025 were US$6,431 million and holdings were US$320 billion.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Catl, Moutai, Midea, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine, Wuliangye.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the 2Q2025 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.
We estimate that the inflows in 2Q2025 were US$6,431 million and holdings were US$320 billion.
We highlight flows for Catl, Moutai, Midea, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine, Wuliangye.


Northbound Flows (2Q2025): Catl, Moutai, Midea, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 156 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 69.4% as of Jul 4th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.5ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, real estate, consumer discretionary and offset by utilities, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for ICBC, Angang Steel, Datang Intl Power Gen, CMB, China Zheshang Bank, China Everbright Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 156 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 69.4% as of Jul 4th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.5ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, real estate, consumer discretionary and offset by utilities, financials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for ICBC, Angang Steel, Datang Intl Power Gen, CMB, China Zheshang Bank, China Everbright Bank.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 4th): ICBC, Angang Steel, Datang Intl Power Gen, CMB, China Zheshang Bank

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 155 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 71.7% as of Jun 20th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.5ppt week-on-week, led by energy, health care, utilities and offset by consumer staples, real estate, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Petrochina, Shanghai Junshi Biosciences, China Oilfield Services, Shanghai Petrochemical.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 155 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 71.7% as of Jun 20th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.5ppt week-on-week, led by energy, health care, utilities and offset by consumer staples, real estate, consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Petrochina, Shanghai Junshi Biosciences, China Oilfield Services, Shanghai Petrochemical.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 20th): Petrochina, Shanghai Junshi Biosciences, China Oilfield Services

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Shanghai Haohai Biological Tec / Index Rebalance

Shanghai Haohai Biological Tec (688366 CH)

<ul>
<li>The June 2025 index review results for the CSI Medical Service Index were announced after market close on Friday 30th May 2025.</li>
<li>There will be 6 changes for the CSI Medical Service index.</li>
<li>We expect one-way flows of approximately US$286mn in the June 2025 index rebal event.</li>
</ul>


The June 2025 index review results for the CSI Medical Service Index were announced after market close on Friday 30th May 2025.
There will be 6 changes for the CSI Medical Service index.
We expect one-way flows of approximately US$286mn in the June 2025 index rebal event.


Quiddity CSI Medical Jun25 Results: 6 ADDs/DELs Confirmed; US$286mn One-Way Flows

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>CSI announced the changes for the June rebalance after market close on 30 May and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 13 June.</li>
<li>There are 6 changes for the index and we estimate passive buying of 0.7-2.4x ADV in the adds and passive selling of between 1-4.7x ADV in the deletes.</li>
<li>There will be capping inflows for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-mindray-bio-medic-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28017:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH)</a> and capping outflows for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27092:1" rel="noopener">WuXi AppTec (603259 CH)</a>. </li>
</ul>


CSI announced the changes for the June rebalance after market close on 30 May and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 13 June.
There are 6 changes for the index and we estimate passive buying of 0.7-2.4x ADV in the adds and passive selling of between 1-4.7x ADV in the deletes.
There will be capping inflows for Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH) and capping outflows for WuXi AppTec (603259 CH). 


CSI Medical Service Index Rebalance: Six Changes with Decent Impact

China

Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures absorbable biomedical materials. The Company manufactures and sells intraocular lens, medical sodium hyaluronate, medical chitosan, medical collage sponge, and other products. Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology markets its products worldwide.

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Shanghai Haohai Biological Tec (688366 CH)

Northbound Flows (2Q2025): Catl, Moutai, Midea, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for June and highlighted flows for Catl, Moutai, Midea, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine, Wuliangye.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 4th): ICBC, Angang Steel, Datang Intl Power Gen, CMB, China Zheshang Bank

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for ICBC, Angang Steel, Datang Intl Power Gen, CMB, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 20th): Petrochina, Shanghai Junshi Biosciences, China Oilfield Services

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Petrochina, Shanghai Junshi Biosciences, China Oilfield...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity CSI Medical Jun25 Results: 6 ADDs/DELs Confirmed; US$286mn One-Way Flows

All of our predictions were correct. However, there were some extra changes. We estimate there to be US$286mn in one-way flows in June 2025.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI Medical Service Index Rebalance: Six Changes with Decent Impact

There are 6 changes for the index with estimated passive buying of 0.7-2.4x ADV in the adds and passive selling of between 1-4.7x ADV in the...

Brian Freitas

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