Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 149 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 81.5% as of May 23rd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.2ppt week-on-week, led by health care, consumer discretionary, industrials and offset by consumer staples, real estate, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Asymchem Lab, Shanghai Junshi Biosciences, Remegen, Fuyao Glass, Jiangxi Copper.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 149 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 81.5% as of May 23rd.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.2ppt week-on-week, led by health care, consumer discretionary, industrials and offset by consumer staples, real estate, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Asymchem Lab, Shanghai Junshi Biosciences, Remegen, Fuyao Glass, Jiangxi Copper.


A-H Premium Weekly (May 23rd): CATL and Hengrui Listing Lowered Premium

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 149 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 84.2% as of May 9th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.3ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, energy, consumer discretionary and offset by health care.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Datang Intl Power Gen, Beigene, CSSC O&amp;M Engineering, Xinhua Winshare Publishing And Media.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 149 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 84.2% as of May 9th.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.3ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, energy, consumer discretionary and offset by health care.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Datang Intl Power Gen, Beigene, CSSC O&amp;M Engineering, Xinhua Winshare Publishing And Media.


A-H Premium Weekly (May 9th): Datang Intl Power Gen, Beigene, CSSC O&M Engineering

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The vote on Fosun Pharma’s HK$24.60 offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-henlius-biotech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27888:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)</a> is on 22 January. The gross spread has ballooned to 21.8%, which suggests a deal break.</li>
<li>I previously stated that LVC’s trading behaviour over the coming days will indicate its voting intentions. Unfortunately, this behaviour suggests a high likelihood of blocking the vote.</li>
<li>Fosun Pharma has two potential options to secure LVC’s backing: increase the share alternative cap or introduce a rollover option. Both have challenges and are, therefore, not viable options.</li>
</ul>


The vote on Fosun Pharma’s HK$24.60 offer for Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) is on 22 January. The gross spread has ballooned to 21.8%, which suggests a deal break.
I previously stated that LVC’s trading behaviour over the coming days will indicate its voting intentions. Unfortunately, this behaviour suggests a high likelihood of blocking the vote.
Fosun Pharma has two potential options to secure LVC’s backing: increase the share alternative cap or introduce a rollover option. Both have challenges and are, therefore, not viable options.


Henlius (2696 HK): Hurtling Towards a Likely Deal Break

<ul>
<li>The vote on Fosun Pharma’s HK$24.60 offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-henlius-biotech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27888:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)</a> is on 22 January. The gross spread ballooned today due to LVC’s amassing a blocking stake.</li>
<li>There are valid arguments for LVC to block the vote or to support the offer. LVC’s trading behaviour over the coming days will point to its voting intentions. </li>
<li>I continue to believe that LVC will support the offer. At the current price and for a 15 February payment, the gross/annualised spread is 9.1%/160%.</li>
</ul>


The vote on Fosun Pharma’s HK$24.60 offer for Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) is on 22 January. The gross spread ballooned today due to LVC’s amassing a blocking stake.
There are valid arguments for LVC to block the vote or to support the offer. LVC’s trading behaviour over the coming days will point to its voting intentions. 
I continue to believe that LVC will support the offer. At the current price and for a 15 February payment, the gross/annualised spread is 9.1%/160%.


Henlius (2696 HK): Test of Nerves Awaiting LVC’s Next Move

<ul>
<li>The vote on Fosun Pharma’s HK$24.60 offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-henlius-biotech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27888:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)</a> is on 22 January. The gross spread widened after the initial tightening due to the precondition satisfaction.</li>
<li>Several readers have enquired about my thoughts on the widening spread. Our conversations have raised several potential concerns that could explain it.</li>
<li>I think these concerns are unwarranted, and the vote should pass. At the last close and for a 15 February payment, the gross/annualised spread is 4.7%/55.0%.</li>
</ul>


The vote on Fosun Pharma’s HK$24.60 offer for Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) is on 22 January. The gross spread widened after the initial tightening due to the precondition satisfaction.
Several readers have enquired about my thoughts on the widening spread. Our conversations have raised several potential concerns that could explain it.
I think these concerns are unwarranted, and the vote should pass. At the last close and for a 15 February payment, the gross/annualised spread is 4.7%/55.0%.


Henlius (2696 HK): Anxiety Creeping Back Ahead of the 22 January Vote

China

Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of biomedical materials and pharmaceutical products. The company focuses on therapeutic areas including ophthalmology, medical aesthetics and wound care, orthopedics, and anti-adhesion and hemostasis, with key products such as intraocular lenses, hyaluronic acid dermal fillers, and sodium hyaluronate injections. It is headquartered in Shanghai, China, and was founded in 2007.

Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology (6826 HK)

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Shanghai Haohai Biological Technology (6826 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly (May 23rd): CATL and Hengrui Listing Lowered Premium

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Asymchem Lab, Shanghai Junshi Biosciences, Remegen, Fuyao...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (May 9th): Datang Intl Power Gen, Beigene, CSSC O&M Engineering

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Datang Intl Power Gen, Beigene, CSSC O&M Engineering, Xinhua...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Henlius (2696 HK): Hurtling Towards a Likely Deal Break

LVC’s trading behaviour suggests that it is likely to block the vote. Fosun Pharma has two potential options to secure LVC’s backing. Both have...

Arun George

Henlius (2696 HK): Test of Nerves Awaiting LVC’s Next Move

There are valid arguments for LVC to block the vote and support the offer. LVC’s trading behaviour over the coming days will point to its voting...

Arun George

Henlius (2696 HK): Anxiety Creeping Back Ahead of the 22 January Vote

Several readers have enquired about my thoughts on the widening spread. Our conversations have raised several potential concerns that could explain...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)