Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Capital Markets

Shanghai MicroPort MedBot Group / Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-microport-medbot-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Shanghai MicroPort MedBot Group (MMG HK)</a> is a surgical robot company which designs, develops and commercialises surgical robots to assist in performing complex surgical procedures. MicroPort’s product line-up includes three flagship products Toumai (Laparoscopic Surgical Robot), DFVision (3D Electronic Laparoscope) and Honghu (orthopaedic surgical robot) and all three are admitted to the NMPA’s innovative medical device special review and approval procedure (known as Green Path). Toumai and Honghu are currently at the registration approval stage while Honghu has received the NMPA approval recently, and these three products should offer immediate revenue opportunity for the company.The company priced its IPO at HK$43.20 per share, at the upper end of the IPO price range of HK$39.60-43.20 per share and raised net proceed of approx. HK$1,457.4m at a market capitalisation of HK$41.2bn and a post-money Enterprise Value of HK$38.5bn. According to the company, both its HK offering, and international offering were significantly oversubscribed by approx. 164x and 16x respectively.In our previous two insights on the company’s IPO, we discussed the company’s core products and product portfolio, outlook, key financials and the company’s IPO valuation.

Shanghai MicroPort MedBot Group (MMG HK) is a surgical robot company which designs, develops and commercialises surgical robots to assist in performing complex surgical procedures. MicroPort’s product line-up includes three flagship products Toumai (Laparoscopic Surgical Robot), DFVision (3D Electronic Laparoscope) and Honghu (orthopaedic surgical robot) and all three are admitted to the NMPA’s innovative medical device special review and approval procedure (known as Green Path). Toumai and Honghu are currently at the registration approval stage while Honghu has received the NMPA approval recently, and these three products should offer immediate revenue opportunity for the company.The company priced its IPO at HK$43.20 per share, at the upper end of the IPO price range of HK$39.60-43.20 per share and raised net proceed of approx. HK$1,457.4m at a market capitalisation of HK$41.2bn and a post-money Enterprise Value of HK$38.5bn. According to the company, both its HK offering, and international offering were significantly oversubscribed by approx. 164x and 16x respectively.In our previous two insights on the company’s IPO, we discussed the company’s core products and product portfolio, outlook, key financials and the company’s IPO valuation.

Microport MedBot IPO:  Thoughts on First Day Trading

MicroTech Medical Hangzhou / Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microtech-medical-hangzhou-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33367:1" rel="noopener">MicroTech Medical Hangzhou (2235 HK)</a> provides diabetes treatment and diabetes monitoring medical devices in China and globally. MicroTech’s core product, a semi-disposable patch insulin pump (known as Equil) is the only patch insulin pump available in China whereas the competitor products are tube insulin pumps. The company also has a CGMS product (Continuous Glucose Monitoring System), AiDEX G7 which is the second commercialised calibration-free real-time CGMS in the world. AiDEX G7 has received the CE Marking in the EU in September 2020 and the product has been certified by the NMPA to be eligible for Special Approval Procedures of Innovative Medical Devices promulgated by the NMPA.MicroTech has priced its IPO at HK$30.50 per share, slightly below the upper end of the indicative IPO price range of HK$27.70-31.15 per share. At the offer price of HK$30.50 per share, the company raised net proceeds of HK$1,815.1m at a market capitalisation of HK$12.9bn and a post-money enterprise value of HK$10.5bn. According to the company, its Hong Kong offering was oversubscribed by about 6.79x while the international offering was oversubscribed by about 4.9x.In our previous two insights on the company’s IPO, we discussed the company’s core products and product portfolio, market potential for its products and the company’s valuation.

MicroTech Medical Hangzhou (2235 HK) provides diabetes treatment and diabetes monitoring medical devices in China and globally. MicroTech’s core product, a semi-disposable patch insulin pump (known as Equil) is the only patch insulin pump available in China whereas the competitor products are tube insulin pumps. The company also has a CGMS product (Continuous Glucose Monitoring System), AiDEX G7 which is the second commercialised calibration-free real-time CGMS in the world. AiDEX G7 has received the CE Marking in the EU in September 2020 and the product has been certified by the NMPA to be eligible for Special Approval Procedures of Innovative Medical Devices promulgated by the NMPA.MicroTech has priced its IPO at HK$30.50 per share, slightly below the upper end of the indicative IPO price range of HK$27.70-31.15 per share. At the offer price of HK$30.50 per share, the company raised net proceeds of HK$1,815.1m at a market capitalisation of HK$12.9bn and a post-money enterprise value of HK$10.5bn. According to the company, its Hong Kong offering was oversubscribed by about 6.79x while the international offering was oversubscribed by about 4.9x.In our previous two insights on the company’s IPO, we discussed the company’s core products and product portfolio, market potential for its products and the company’s valuation.

MicroTech Medical IPO: Thoughts on First Day Trading

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/broncus-holding-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33315:1" rel="noopener">Broncus (2216 HK)</a> is a medical device company focused on the development of interventional pulmonology products. The company offers five interventional therapeutic products and product candidates for lung diseases (including its core products InterVapor and RF-II) and offers six interventional diagnostic medical consumable products including LungPoint. The company was ranked first in China’s interventional pulmonology navigation device market with a market share of 43.2% based on sales volume and ranked second with a market share of 37.5% measured by sales revenue from 2018-2020.The company has priced its IPO at HK$18.70 per share, at the upper end of the IPO price range of HK$17.2-18.7 per share. At the above price, Broncus raised net proceeds of HK$1,552.4m at a market capitalisation of HK$9.9bn and a post-money enterprise value of HK$8.0bn. According to the company, its Hong Kong offering was oversubscribed by about 11.1x while the international offering was oversubscribed by about 4.1x.In our previous two insights on the company’s IPO, we discussed the company’s core products and product portfolio, market potential for its products and the company’s valuation.

Broncus (2216 HK) is a medical device company focused on the development of interventional pulmonology products. The company offers five interventional therapeutic products and product candidates for lung diseases (including its core products InterVapor and RF-II) and offers six interventional diagnostic medical consumable products including LungPoint. The company was ranked first in China’s interventional pulmonology navigation device market with a market share of 43.2% based on sales volume and ranked second with a market share of 37.5% measured by sales revenue from 2018-2020.The company has priced its IPO at HK$18.70 per share, at the upper end of the IPO price range of HK$17.2-18.7 per share. At the above price, Broncus raised net proceeds of HK$1,552.4m at a market capitalisation of HK$9.9bn and a post-money enterprise value of HK$8.0bn. According to the company, its Hong Kong offering was oversubscribed by about 11.1x while the international offering was oversubscribed by about 4.1x.In our previous two insights on the company’s IPO, we discussed the company’s core products and product portfolio, market potential for its products and the company’s valuation.

Broncus IPO: Thoughts on First Day Trading

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Broncus raised HKD 1,552 million (USD 199m) from its global offering and will list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on Friday, September 23rd.
In our previous note, we discussed that the company's core product, InterVapor, is a minimally invasive surgery that uses heated water vapor to treat the chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). In addition to the COPD indication, the company plans to further develop the product for the treatment of lung cancer. Another core product, RF-II uses radio frequency to treat lung cancer. Besides InterVapor and RF-II, the company also has a commercialized lung navigation system which has a leading market share in China. However, we believe the market for the lung navigation system is still in the early stage of development in China and hence the small market size.  We think the company has a strong pre-IPO investor line-up with backing from the founder of VenusMedtech and its management team is experienced. We also provided our thoughts on valuation of Broncus.
In this note, we look at the updates since our last note. We re-iterate our view that the company is fairly valued at the top end and will stay away from the company.

Broncus raised HKD 1,552 million (USD 199m) from its global offering and will list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on Friday, September 23rd.
In our previous note, we discussed that the company's core product, InterVapor, is a minimally invasive surgery that uses heated water vapor to treat the chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). In addition to the COPD indication, the company plans to further develop the product for the treatment of lung cancer. Another core product, RF-II uses radio frequency to treat lung cancer. Besides InterVapor and RF-II, the company also has a commercialized lung navigation system which has a leading market share in China. However, we believe the market for the lung navigation system is still in the early stage of development in China and hence the small market size.  We think the company has a strong pre-IPO investor line-up with backing from the founder of VenusMedtech and its management team is experienced. We also provided our thoughts on valuation of Broncus.
In this note, we look at the updates since our last note. We re-iterate our view that the company is fairly valued at the top end and will stay away from the company.

Broncus (堃博医疗) IPO Trading: Chilled for a Reason but Mind the Share Concentration

Acotec Scientific Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

Acotec raised HKD 1,529 million (USD 196m) from its global offering and will list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on Tuesday, August 24th.
In our previous note, we looked at two core drug coated balloon products of the company, namely the AcoArt Orchid &amp; Dhalia for the above the knee artery stenosis and AcoArt Tulip &amp; Litos for the below the knee stenosis. Both AcoArt Orchid &amp; Dhalia, and AcoArt Tulip &amp; Litos reported efficacy that could be potentially better than its benchmark product. Thanks to its early mover advantage, the AcoArt Orchid &amp; Dhalia had a dominant market share. The main growth driver of the company's core product will be increasing penetration rate and indication expansion. Besides the DCB products, we think the company's product pipeline is not exciting. The company has a good management team but the pre-IPO investors are overall mediocre.
In this note, we look at the updates since our last note. Similar to HeartCare, the demand for the deal is strong from the retail side but weak on the institution side. We re-iterate our view that the company is fairly valued at the top end.

Acotec raised HKD 1,529 million (USD 196m) from its global offering and will list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on Tuesday, August 24th.
In our previous note, we looked at two core drug coated balloon products of the company, namely the AcoArt Orchid &amp; Dhalia for the above the knee artery stenosis and AcoArt Tulip &amp; Litos for the below the knee stenosis. Both AcoArt Orchid &amp; Dhalia, and AcoArt Tulip &amp; Litos reported efficacy that could be potentially better than its benchmark product. Thanks to its early mover advantage, the AcoArt Orchid &amp; Dhalia had a dominant market share. The main growth driver of the company's core product will be increasing penetration rate and indication expansion. Besides the DCB products, we think the company's product pipeline is not exciting. The company has a good management team but the pre-IPO investors are overall mediocre.
In this note, we look at the updates since our last note. Similar to HeartCare, the demand for the deal is strong from the retail side but weak on the institution side. We re-iterate our view that the company is fairly valued at the top end. 

Acotec (先瑞达) IPO Trading: Expect Poor Debut Performance

China

Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology Corporation Limited develops and manufactures neuro-interventional medical devices. The Company produces ischemic stroke prevention devices, ischemic stroke thrombectomy devices, intracranial stenosis treatment devicies, vacular access devices, and more. Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology conducts business in China.

Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology (6609 HK)

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Shanghai HeartCare Medical Technology (6609 HK)

Microport MedBot IPO: Thoughts on First Day Trading

Microport MedBot priced its IPO at HK$43.20 per share and we believe there is very limited upside to the company's shares as our SOTP valuation...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

MicroTech Medical IPO: Thoughts on First Day Trading

MicroTech priced its IPO at HK$30.50 per share which significantly overvalues the shares. We expect the company's shares to open poorly at its...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Broncus IPO: Thoughts on First Day Trading

Though Broncus priced its IPO at the top-end of its price range, our reverse DCF model suggests that Broncus’ IPO is overvalued. We expect shares...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Acotec (先瑞达) IPO Trading: Expect Poor Debut Performance

We look at the updates of Acotec IPO since our last note. We think the institutional demand is week for the price and we re-iterate our view that...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Microport MedBot IPO: Thoughts on First Day Trading

Microport MedBot priced its IPO at HK$43.20 per share and we believe there is very limited upside to the company's shares as our SOTP valuation...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

MicroTech Medical IPO: Thoughts on First Day Trading

MicroTech priced its IPO at HK$30.50 per share which significantly overvalues the shares. We expect the company's shares to open poorly at its...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Broncus IPO: Thoughts on First Day Trading

Though Broncus priced its IPO at the top-end of its price range, our reverse DCF model suggests that Broncus’ IPO is overvalued. We expect shares...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Broncus (堃博医疗) IPO Trading: Chilled for a Reason but Mind the Share Concentration

We look at the updates since our last note for Broncus IPO. We re-iterate our view that the company is fairly valued at the top end and will stay...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Acotec (先瑞达) IPO Trading: Expect Poor Debut Performance

We look at the updates of Acotec IPO since our last note. We think the institutional demand is week for the price and we re-iterate our view that...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM