HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Shanghai Henlius Biotech  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The rise of innovative drugs in China is actually in line with the interests of large pharmaceutical companies and MNCs. The only ones get “hurt” are small overseas startups/small biotech.</li>
<li>BeiGene's turnaround from losses to profits has entered the countdown.However, investors may not be happy with the net profit margin brought by single revenue driver Brukinsa based on our calculation.</li>
<li>Fosun has increased its stake in Henlius by acquiring additional shares at HK$24.6/share, bringing its total ownership to 63.43%.This sends positive signals. A falling stock price is a buying opportunity.</li>
</ul>


The rise of innovative drugs in China is actually in line with the interests of large pharmaceutical companies and MNCs. The only ones get “hurt” are small overseas startups/small biotech.
BeiGene's turnaround from losses to profits has entered the countdown.However, investors may not be happy with the net profit margin brought by single revenue driver Brukinsa based on our calculation.
Fosun has increased its stake in Henlius by acquiring additional shares at HK$24.6/share, bringing its total ownership to 63.43%.This sends positive signals. A falling stock price is a buying opportunity.


China Healthcare Weekly (Apr.27)- Flaws Behind BeiGene's Breakeven, Fosun Increased Stake in Henlius

<ul>
<li>Henlius has made a profit for the second year in a row.However, some investors are not satisfied with the quality of net profit growth in 2024 due to concerns behind.</li>
<li>The implementation of H Share Full Circulation has a positive impact on financing ability, shareholder returns, market valuation of Henlius.The next goal is to be included in HK Stock Connect</li>
<li>Lin Lijun’s continuous increase in Henlius holdings is an important reason for shares surge after privatization failure.Lin may keep pushing up share price so as to exit at higher price.</li>
</ul>


Henlius has made a profit for the second year in a row.However, some investors are not satisfied with the quality of net profit growth in 2024 due to concerns behind.
The implementation of H Share Full Circulation has a positive impact on financing ability, shareholder returns, market valuation of Henlius.The next goal is to be included in HK Stock Connect
Lin Lijun’s continuous increase in Henlius holdings is an important reason for shares surge after privatization failure.Lin may keep pushing up share price so as to exit at higher price.


Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) - Thoughts on 2024 Results And the H Share Full Circulation

<ul>
<li>The NewCo model can be considered as an "intermediate state" for Chinese biotech companies when they hopes to enter overseas markets, rather than a real success in internationalization.</li>
<li>After the announcement of Pfizer-Summit cooperation, share price of Summit plunged. Pfizer is clearly the beneficiary. The possibility of Summit being acquired could be reduced, which make investors unhappy.</li>
<li>Shares of Henlius surged. Thanks to Lin Lijun's dissenting vote, investors have the opportunity to profit at a higher price.Next goal is to be included in Hong Kong Stock Connect.</li>
</ul>


The NewCo model can be considered as an "intermediate state" for Chinese biotech companies when they hopes to enter overseas markets, rather than a real success in internationalization.
After the announcement of Pfizer-Summit cooperation, share price of Summit plunged. Pfizer is clearly the beneficiary. The possibility of Summit being acquired could be reduced, which make investors unhappy.
Shares of Henlius surged. Thanks to Lin Lijun's dissenting vote, investors have the opportunity to profit at a higher price.Next goal is to be included in Hong Kong Stock Connect.


China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.2) - NewCo Model, Pfizer-Summit Deal, Henlius to Enter HK Stock Connect

<ul>
<li>LVC increased its holding of Henlius by 1,110,900 shares on January 23, reflecting its high recognition of the Company and optimism on its prospects, despite the biosimilar VBP headwinds.</li>
<li>Even with concerns, LVC still repeatedly invested in Henlius at a valuation far higher than its actual value, offering support with real money during pre-IPO stage.</li>
<li>Lin Lijun’s dissenting vote was a deliberate decision. We are interested to see Lin's next move. Lin should have a very clear understanding of the true value of Henlius.</li>
</ul>


LVC increased its holding of Henlius by 1,110,900 shares on January 23, reflecting its high recognition of the Company and optimism on its prospects, despite the biosimilar VBP headwinds.
Even with concerns, LVC still repeatedly invested in Henlius at a valuation far higher than its actual value, offering support with real money during pre-IPO stage.
Lin Lijun’s dissenting vote was a deliberate decision. We are interested to see Lin's next move. Lin should have a very clear understanding of the true value of Henlius.


Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) - LVC Increased Its Holding of Henlius Again

<ul>
<li>There have been quite a few M&amp;As in the field of TCM, with a clear trend of SOEs taking over TCM enterprises due to strategically significant and advantageous integration.</li>
<li>Whether a drug can be approved does not depend on whether it has entered Phase II/III trials. The areas with clearly unmet medical needs often indicate good investment opportunities.</li>
<li>The privatization of Henlius failed. Lin Lijun's dissenting vote was based on a deliberate decision. We are optimistic about the outlook of Henlius due to its strong fundamentals and internationalization. </li>
</ul>


There have been quite a few M&amp;As in the field of TCM, with a clear trend of SOEs taking over TCM enterprises due to strategically significant and advantageous integration.
Whether a drug can be approved does not depend on whether it has entered Phase II/III trials. The areas with clearly unmet medical needs often indicate good investment opportunities.
The privatization of Henlius failed. Lin Lijun's dissenting vote was based on a deliberate decision. We are optimistic about the outlook of Henlius due to its strong fundamentals and internationalization. 


China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.26) - Key Takeaways from the Failure of Henlius Privatization, TCM M&As

China

Shanghai Henlius Biotech, Inc develops and produces drugs. The Company develops and produces monoclonal antibody biosimilar drugs, bio betters, novel monoclonal antibodys, and other drugs. Shanghai Henlius Biotech throughout China.

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Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)

China Healthcare Weekly (Apr.27)- Flaws Behind BeiGene's Breakeven, Fosun Increased Stake in Henlius

China's rise in innovative drugs benefits MNCs, while small overseas startups may suffer. Investors cautious of BeiGene's profit margin. Fosun's...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.2) - NewCo Model, Pfizer-Summit Deal, Henlius to Enter HK Stock Connect

The NewCo model is just an "intermediate state" for Chinese Biotech. After Pfizer-Summit deal, the possibility of Summit being acquired is reduced....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang