Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Cuscaden Peak, the sponsor of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paragon-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP)</a> and 61.5% shareholder, has offered S$0.98/unit, in cash; or S$1.003/unit, a 7% premium to NAV, when including FY24's S$0.0233/unit cash distribution.</li>
<li>The Offer is by way of a Scheme. The Offer price has NOT been declared final. A switch option into a voluntary Offer is afforded should a competing Offer emerge.</li>
<li>Looks pretty clean. Assuming mid-late May payment, pay up to S$0.97/share for a 4%/15% gross/annualised spread. It may trade tighter given the early distribution payment.</li>
</ul>


Cuscaden Peak, the sponsor of Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP) and 61.5% shareholder, has offered S$0.98/unit, in cash; or S$1.003/unit, a 7% premium to NAV, when including FY24's S$0.0233/unit cash distribution.
The Offer is by way of a Scheme. The Offer price has NOT been declared final. A switch option into a voluntary Offer is afforded should a competing Offer emerge.
Looks pretty clean. Assuming mid-late May payment, pay up to S$0.97/share for a 4%/15% gross/annualised spread. It may trade tighter given the early distribution payment.


Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP)'s Privatisation Offer

Mandarin Oriental International / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Concurrent with the sale of 13 floors of OCB to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson (JM SP)</a> is seeking to privatise <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mandarin-oriental-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4773:1" rel="noopener">Mandarin Oriental (MAND SP)</a> at US$3.35/share by way of a Scheme.</li>
<li>The Offer Price is a 52.3% premium to undisturbed, and a 53.7% premium to NAV. Clean deal. And MAND has consistently traded tight to terms. </li>
<li>The <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/Shareholder%20Circular.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=867134" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Scheme Doc is now out</a> for MAND. The Court Meeting is the 8th December. As with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-strategic-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15081:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP)</a>'s 2021 takeover, there is no independent assessment report. </li>
</ul>


Concurrent with the sale of 13 floors of OCB to Alibaba, Jardine Matheson (JM SP) is seeking to privatise Mandarin Oriental (MAND SP) at US$3.35/share by way of a Scheme.
The Offer Price is a 52.3% premium to undisturbed, and a 53.7% premium to NAV. Clean deal. And MAND has consistently traded tight to terms. 
The Scheme Doc is now out for MAND. The Court Meeting is the 8th December. As with Jardine Strategic Holdings (JS SP)'s 2021 takeover, there is no independent assessment report. 


Mandarin Oriental (MAND SP): 8th Dec Vote On Matheson's Offer

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Leads Biolabs initiated Phase 2 clinical study evaluating LBL-024 for the first-line treatment of HCC. Henlius Biotech got FDA approval for Poherdy, as the first interchangeable biosimilar to Roche’s Perjeta.</li>
<li>Otsuka announced positive Phase 3 interim analysis of sibeprenlimab for immunoglobulin A nephropathy. ABL Bio signed technology transfer and joint R&amp;D agreement with Eli Lilly for upfront payment of $40M.</li>
<li>Boryung Pharmaceutical began construction to double its oral penicillin production capacity. Eubiologics published positive result from Phase 3 clinical trial evaluating EuTYPH-C, a typhoid conjugate vaccine.</li>
</ul>


Leads Biolabs initiated Phase 2 clinical study evaluating LBL-024 for the first-line treatment of HCC. Henlius Biotech got FDA approval for Poherdy, as the first interchangeable biosimilar to Roche’s Perjeta.
Otsuka announced positive Phase 3 interim analysis of sibeprenlimab for immunoglobulin A nephropathy. ABL Bio signed technology transfer and joint R&amp;D agreement with Eli Lilly for upfront payment of $40M.
Boryung Pharmaceutical began construction to double its oral penicillin production capacity. Eubiologics published positive result from Phase 3 clinical trial evaluating EuTYPH-C, a typhoid conjugate vaccine.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (November 16) – Leads Bio, Henlius Bio, Otsuka, ABL Bio, Boryung, Eubiologics

Equity Bottom-Up

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dr-reddy-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16406:1" rel="noopener">Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN)</a> reported 14% YoY growth in net profit in Q2FY26, on 10% YoY growth in revenue. Declining contribution from North America is adversely affecting margin.</li>
<li>With lenalidomide benefit fading away, DRL’s North America business revenue has become stagnant. During Q2FY26, North America recorded revenue of INR32B, down 13% YoY and 5% QoQ.</li>
<li>NRT portfolio and domestic business cannot be strong revenue and margin drivers. DRL is relying on semaglutide and abatacept as major drivers, which will be reflected not before FY28.</li>
</ul>



Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN) reported 14% YoY growth in net profit in Q2FY26, on 10% YoY growth in revenue. Declining contribution from North America is adversely affecting margin.
With lenalidomide benefit fading away, DRL’s North America business revenue has become stagnant. During Q2FY26, North America recorded revenue of INR32B, down 13% YoY and 5% QoQ.
NRT portfolio and domestic business cannot be strong revenue and margin drivers. DRL is relying on semaglutide and abatacept as major drivers, which will be reflected not before FY28.


Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Soft US Performance Drags Margin; New Launches to Bring Respite?

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Jingze Biopharmaceutical (Hefei) / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>JZB33 is expected to have more growth potential than JZB30. However, the rhFSH market is highly competitive. JZB30/JZB33 not only need to compete with MNCs but also domestic Big Pharma.</li>
<li>The "inverted pyramid" pipeline distribution leads to a high dependence JZB30, JZB33, JZB05 for Jingze's performance growth in the next 3-5 years, thus lacking sustained innovation and growth momentum.</li>
<li>Post-Money valuation was RMB3.09 billion after Series C+ Financing. We think valuation of Jingze should be lower than Henlius, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chengdu-kanghong-pharmaceutical-group-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24723:1" rel="noopener">Chengdu Kanghong </a>due to the concerns on commercialization outlook/Biosimilar VBP.</li>
</ul>


JZB33 is expected to have more growth potential than JZB30. However, the rhFSH market is highly competitive. JZB30/JZB33 not only need to compete with MNCs but also domestic Big Pharma.
The "inverted pyramid" pipeline distribution leads to a high dependence JZB30, JZB33, JZB05 for Jingze's performance growth in the next 3-5 years, thus lacking sustained innovation and growth momentum.
Post-Money valuation was RMB3.09 billion after Series C+ Financing. We think valuation of Jingze should be lower than Henlius, Chengdu Kanghong due to the concerns on commercialization outlook/Biosimilar VBP.


Pre-IPO Jingze Biopharmaceutical (Hefei) - The Concerns and the Outlook

China

Shanghai Henlius Biotech, Inc develops and produces drugs. The Company develops and produces monoclonal antibody biosimilar drugs, bio betters, novel monoclonal antibodys, and other drugs. Shanghai Henlius Biotech throughout China.

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Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK)

Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP)'s Privatisation Offer

Looks pretty clean. A 7% premium to NAV and a roughly two-year high. If payment on or around late May, I'd pay up to S$0.97/share for a gross...

David Blennerhassett

Mandarin Oriental (MAND SP): 8th Dec Vote On Matheson's Offer

Clean, full Offer. MAND is trading around ~2.1%/10.8% gross/annualised, assuming late Jan 2026 payment. Expect more accretion/recycling to come in...

David Blennerhassett

APAC Healthcare Weekly (November 16) – Leads Bio, Henlius Bio, Otsuka, ABL Bio, Boryung, Eubiologics

Henlius got FDA approval for Perjeta biosimilar. Otsuka reports positive Phase 3 trial result for sibepernlimab. ABL Bio signed deal with Lilly....

Tina Banerjee

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Soft US Performance Drags Margin; New Launches to Bring Respite?

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories sees 14% YoY profit growth in Q2FY26, but faces challenges with declining North America revenue impacting margins. Future...

Tina Banerjee

Pre-IPO Jingze Biopharmaceutical (Hefei) - The Concerns and the Outlook

"Inverted pyramid" pipeline distribution lead to high dependence JZB30/JZB33/JZB05 for Jingze's performance growth, thus lacking sustained...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP)'s Privatisation Offer

Looks pretty clean. A 7% premium to NAV and a roughly two-year high. If payment on or around late May, I'd pay up to S$0.97/share for a gross...

David Blennerhassett

Mandarin Oriental (MAND SP): 8th Dec Vote On Matheson's Offer

Clean, full Offer. MAND is trading around ~2.1%/10.8% gross/annualised, assuming late Jan 2026 payment. Expect more accretion/recycling to come in...

David Blennerhassett

APAC Healthcare Weekly (November 16) – Leads Bio, Henlius Bio, Otsuka, ABL Bio, Boryung, Eubiologics

Henlius got FDA approval for Perjeta biosimilar. Otsuka reports positive Phase 3 trial result for sibepernlimab. ABL Bio signed deal with Lilly....

Tina Banerjee

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (DRRD IN): Soft US Performance Drags Margin; New Launches to Bring Respite?

​Dr. Reddy's Laboratories sees 14% YoY profit growth in Q2FY26, but faces challenges with declining North America revenue impacting margins. Future...

Tina Banerjee

Pre-IPO Jingze Biopharmaceutical (Hefei) - The Concerns and the Outlook

"Inverted pyramid" pipeline distribution lead to high dependence JZB30/JZB33/JZB05 for Jingze's performance growth, thus lacking sustained...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories sees 14% YoY profit growth in Q2FY26, but faces challenges with declining North America revenue impacting margins. Future...