Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 149 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 84.2% as of May 9th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.3ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, energy, consumer discretionary and offset by health care.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Datang Intl Power Gen, Beigene, CSSC O&amp;M Engineering, Xinhua Winshare Publishing And Media.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 149 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 84.2% as of May 9th.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.3ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, energy, consumer discretionary and offset by health care.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Datang Intl Power Gen, Beigene, CSSC O&amp;M Engineering, Xinhua Winshare Publishing And Media.


A-H Premium Weekly (May 9th): Datang Intl Power Gen, Beigene, CSSC O&M Engineering

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-junshi-biosciences-co-838d3eb3-3e0d-45f0-a9c5-ab0764709221" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27760:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Junshi Biosciences (1877 HK)</a> reported 32% revenue growth during 1Q25, driven by toripalimab in China. 10 out of total 12 approved indications of the drug were included in NRDL.</li>
<li>Toripalimab was launched in the U.S. in January 2024 and reported ~$19M revenue for 2024. Approvals received in new geographies like India, UK, Singapore, Australia etc.</li>
<li>Loss narrowed to RMB 239M in 1Q25 from RMB 307M in 1Q24 as the company slowly and steadily optimizes the R&amp;D spend.</li>
</ul>



Shanghai Junshi Biosciences (1877 HK) reported 32% revenue growth during 1Q25, driven by toripalimab in China. 10 out of total 12 approved indications of the drug were included in NRDL.
Toripalimab was launched in the U.S. in January 2024 and reported ~$19M revenue for 2024. Approvals received in new geographies like India, UK, Singapore, Australia etc.
Loss narrowed to RMB 239M in 1Q25 from RMB 307M in 1Q24 as the company slowly and steadily optimizes the R&amp;D spend.


Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (1877 HK): Tuoyi Gains Momentum; Losses Narrow; New Geographies Open Up

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 149 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 87.8% as of Apr 25th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.7ppt week-on-week, led by health care, financials, energy and offset by communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Shanghai Petrochemical, Datang Intl Power Gen, Beigene, Maanshan Iron &amp; Steel.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 149 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 87.8% as of Apr 25th.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.7ppt week-on-week, led by health care, financials, energy and offset by communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Shanghai Petrochemical, Datang Intl Power Gen, Beigene, Maanshan Iron &amp; Steel.


A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 25th): Shanghai Petrochemical, Datang Intl Power Gen, Beigene

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-junshi-biosciences-co-838d3eb3-3e0d-45f0-a9c5-ab0764709221" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27760:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Junshi Biosciences (1877 HK)</a> reported 60% revenue growth for toripalimab during 9M24 in China. All 10 indications of the drug are now included in China’s NRDL.</li>
<li>Partner launched toripalimab in U.S. in January 2024 and reported ~$19M revenue for the full-year. The drug is estimated to have U.S. market opportunity of $200M for the approved indication.</li>
<li>Geopolitical tension remains a major overhang and may continue to be a concern for toripalimab’s further indication expansion approvals in the U.S.</li>
</ul>



Shanghai Junshi Biosciences (1877 HK) reported 60% revenue growth for toripalimab during 9M24 in China. All 10 indications of the drug are now included in China’s NRDL.
Partner launched toripalimab in U.S. in January 2024 and reported ~$19M revenue for the full-year. The drug is estimated to have U.S. market opportunity of $200M for the approved indication.
Geopolitical tension remains a major overhang and may continue to be a concern for toripalimab’s further indication expansion approvals in the U.S.


Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (1877 HK): Key Drug on High Trajectory; Geopolitical Tension Spoils Party

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Event-Driven

Ping An Healthcare and Technology / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Increasing revenue without increasing profits is “a big denial” of a company's business model. Unless Zai Lab significantly reduces costs and maintains revenue high growth, its investment value is low.</li>
<li>Junshi's 2024 revenue is likely to return to over RMB1.5 billion due to market share expansion in PD-1. Strict cost control will be the main theme for the future.</li>
<li>If PAGD’s share price is higher than HK$6.12, there would be arbitrage opportunity. If Ping An hopes other shareholders to choose cash dividend, future stock price may fall below HK$6.12.</li>
</ul>


Increasing revenue without increasing profits is “a big denial” of a company's business model. Unless Zai Lab significantly reduces costs and maintains revenue high growth, its investment value is low.
Junshi's 2024 revenue is likely to return to over RMB1.5 billion due to market share expansion in PD-1. Strict cost control will be the main theme for the future.
If PAGD’s share price is higher than HK$6.12, there would be arbitrage opportunity. If Ping An hopes other shareholders to choose cash dividend, future stock price may fall below HK$6.12.


China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.22) - Zai Lab, Junshi, How to Choose PA Good Doctor's Special Dividend?

China

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences Co., Ltd. operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The Company develops and sells small molecule drugs, antibody drug conjugates, and other products. Shanghai Junshi Biosciences markets its products worldwide.

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Shanghai Junshi Biosciences (688180 CH)

A-H Premium Weekly (May 9th): Datang Intl Power Gen, Beigene, CSSC O&M Engineering

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Datang Intl Power Gen, Beigene, CSSC O&M Engineering, Xinhua...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (1877 HK): Tuoyi Gains Momentum; Losses Narrow; New Geographies Open Up

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences sees 32% revenue growth in 1Q25, driven by toripalimab in China. Loss narrowed to RMB 239M in 1Q25 from RMB 307M in...

Tina Banerjee

A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 25th): Shanghai Petrochemical, Datang Intl Power Gen, Beigene

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Shanghai Petrochemical, Datang Intl Power Gen, Beigene,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (1877 HK): Key Drug on High Trajectory; Geopolitical Tension Spoils Party

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences sees strong revenue growth for toripalimab in China. While US launch of the drug was in-line, geopolitical tensions...

Tina Banerjee

China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.22) - Zai Lab, Junshi, How to Choose PA Good Doctor's Special Dividend?

Increasing revenue without increasing profits is a big denial of Zai Lab's business model. Junshi will rebound with strict cost control.There's...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A-H Premium Weekly (May 9th): Datang Intl Power Gen, Beigene, CSSC O&M Engineering

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Datang Intl Power Gen, Beigene, CSSC O&M Engineering, Xinhua...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (1877 HK): Tuoyi Gains Momentum; Losses Narrow; New Geographies Open Up

​Shanghai Junshi Biosciences sees 32% revenue growth in 1Q25, driven by toripalimab in China. Loss narrowed to RMB 239M in 1Q25 from RMB 307M in...

Tina Banerjee

A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 25th): Shanghai Petrochemical, Datang Intl Power Gen, Beigene

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Shanghai Petrochemical, Datang Intl Power Gen, Beigene,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai Junshi Bioscience (1877 HK): Key Drug on High Trajectory; Geopolitical Tension Spoils Party

​Shanghai Junshi Biosciences sees strong revenue growth for toripalimab in China. While US launch of the drug was in-line, geopolitical tensions...

Tina Banerjee

China Healthcare Weekly (Dec.22) - Zai Lab, Junshi, How to Choose PA Good Doctor's Special Dividend?

Increasing revenue without increasing profits is a big denial of Zai Lab's business model. Junshi will rebound with strict cost control.There's...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences sees 32% revenue growth in 1Q25, driven by toripalimab in China. Loss narrowed to RMB 239M in 1Q25 from RMB 307M in...

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences sees strong revenue growth for toripalimab in China. While US launch of the drug was in-line, geopolitical tensions...