Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Zhejiang Longsheng Group Co., / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 50 changes a side for the CSI 500 Index at the upcoming rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 9 December.</li>
<li>One-Way turnover at the rebalance is estimated at 12.64% leading to a one-way trade of CNY 9.3bn. The Materials, Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors are net gainers.</li>
<li>9 adds to the CSI 500 Index are deletes from the CSI 300 Index while 7 deletes from the CSI 500 Index are adds to the CSI 300 Index.</li>
</ul>


There are 50 changes a side for the CSI 500 Index at the upcoming rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 9 December.
One-Way turnover at the rebalance is estimated at 12.64% leading to a one-way trade of CNY 9.3bn. The Materials, Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors are net gainers.
9 adds to the CSI 500 Index are deletes from the CSI 300 Index while 7 deletes from the CSI 500 Index are adds to the CSI 300 Index.


CSI 500 Index Rebalance: 50 Changes a Side Leads to 12%+ One-Way Turnover

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 130.7% as of Nov 4th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -4.4ppt weeok on week, led by health care, financials, utilities and offset by consumer staples, real estate, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for First Tractor, Maanshan Iron, Datang Intl, Cansino, Jushi, Fudan Microelectronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 130.7% as of Nov 4th.
The average A-H premium changed by -4.4ppt weeok on week, led by health care, financials, utilities and offset by consumer staples, real estate, consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for First Tractor, Maanshan Iron, Datang Intl, Cansino, Jushi, Fudan Microelectronics.


A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 4th): First Tractor, Maanshan Iron

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 135.0% as of Oct 28th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 7.6ppt weeok on week, led by utilities, financials, information technology and offset by real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Pharmaron, Datang Intl, Shanghai Junshi, Tianqi Lithium.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 135.0% as of Oct 28th.
The average A-H premium changed by 7.6ppt weeok on week, led by utilities, financials, information technology and offset by real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Pharmaron, Datang Intl, Shanghai Junshi, Tianqi Lithium.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 28th): Pharmaron, Datang Intl, Shanghai Junshi, Tianqi Lithium

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 127.4% as of Oct 21st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.8ppt weeok on week, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, energy and offset by financials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, Pharmaron, Flat Glass, Shanghai Fudan, GWM, China Life.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 127.4% as of Oct 21st.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.8ppt weeok on week, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, energy and offset by financials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, Pharmaron, Flat Glass, Shanghai Fudan, GWM, China Life.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 21st): Remegen, Pharmaron, Flat Glass, Shanghai Fudan, GWM, China Life

<ul>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period for the December rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 9 December.</li>
<li>There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 13.67% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 7.53bn.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed over the last 6 months but have given up some of the gains recently as market turned volatile. Expect outperformance as the review period ends.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the end of the review period for the December rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 9 December.
There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 13.67% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 7.53bn.
The potential adds have outperformed over the last 6 months but have given up some of the gains recently as market turned volatile. Expect outperformance as the review period ends.


CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: Positioned for Outperformance

China

Shanghai Junshi Biosciences Co., Ltd. operates as a biopharmaceutical company. The Company develops and sells small molecule drugs, antibody drug conjugates, and other products. Shanghai Junshi Biosciences markets its products worldwide.

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Shanghai Junshi Biosciences (688180 CH)

CSI 500 Index Rebalance: 50 Changes a Side Leads to 12%+ One-Way Turnover

There are 50 adds/deletes for the index in Dec. One-way turnover is 12.6% leading to a one-way trade of CNY 9bn. There are 16 overlaps between the...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 4th): First Tractor, Maanshan Iron

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for First Tractor, Maanshan Iron, Datang Intl, Cansino, Jushi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 28th): Pharmaron, Datang Intl, Shanghai Junshi, Tianqi Lithium

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Pharmaron, Datang Intl, Shanghai Junshi, Tianqi Lithium.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 21st): Remegen, Pharmaron, Flat Glass, Shanghai Fudan, GWM, China Life

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Remegen, Pharmaron, Flat Glass, Shanghai Fudan, GWM, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: Positioned for Outperformance

There could be 50 changes to the index in December. We estimate a one-way turnover of 13.67% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade...

Brian Freitas

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