Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>As expected, the index committee has used a 6-month minimum listing history and that results in two changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> in September.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/piotech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36698:1" rel="noopener">Piotech (688072 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hwatsing-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36700:1" rel="noopener">Hwatsing Technology (688120 CH)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzhou-nanomicro-technology-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33272:1" rel="noopener">Suzhou Nanomicro Technology (688690 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhuhai-cosmx-battery-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34667:1" rel="noopener">Zhuhai CosMX Battery (688772 CH)</a> in the index.</li>
<li>One-Way turnover is estimated at 2.83% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 3,562m. There does not appear to be a lot of pre-positioning on the stocks.</li>
</ul>


As expected, the index committee has used a 6-month minimum listing history and that results in two changes to the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) in September.

Piotech (688072 CH) and Hwatsing Technology (688120 CH) will replace Suzhou Nanomicro Technology (688690 CH) and Zhuhai CosMX Battery (688772 CH) in the index.
One-Way turnover is estimated at 2.83% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 3,562m. There does not appear to be a lot of pre-positioning on the stocks.


STAR50 Index Rebalance: Two Changes; Pre-Positioning Appears Light

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance ends today. The changes could be announced on 25 August with the implementation taking place after the close on 8 September.</li>
<li>The upcoming launch of the STAR100 Index could result in the index committee continuing to use a 6-month minimum listing history resulting in two changes to the index.</li>
<li>One way turnover is estimated at 2.3% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 2,658m. The impact on the deletions will be much larger than that on the inclusions.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance ends today. The changes could be announced on 25 August with the implementation taking place after the close on 8 September.
The upcoming launch of the STAR100 Index could result in the index committee continuing to use a 6-month minimum listing history resulting in two changes to the index.
One way turnover is estimated at 2.3% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 2,658m. The impact on the deletions will be much larger than that on the inclusions.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes Playing Catchup

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

WuXi XDC Cayman  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Although WuXi XDC has financing needs, we’re more inclined to view this spin-off listing as another capital operation of WuXi AppTec/WuXi Bio, who may not want to take risks alone.</li>
<li>Global ADC/broader bioconjugate market is at a nascent stage of development, with high R&amp;D risks/commercialization uncertainties. We cannot guarantee whether WuXi XDC will maintain its industry-leading position in the future.</li>
<li>Although high growth can bring good stories, we're not sure how much actual market space WuXi XDC will have in the future,which is the key to determining the valuation ceiling.</li>
</ul>


Although WuXi XDC has financing needs, we’re more inclined to view this spin-off listing as another capital operation of WuXi AppTec/WuXi Bio, who may not want to take risks alone.
Global ADC/broader bioconjugate market is at a nascent stage of development, with high R&amp;D risks/commercialization uncertainties. We cannot guarantee whether WuXi XDC will maintain its industry-leading position in the future.
Although high growth can bring good stories, we're not sure how much actual market space WuXi XDC will have in the future,which is the key to determining the valuation ceiling.


Pre-IPO WuXi XDC - The Beautiful Story and the Truth Behind

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/viva-biotech-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27850:1" rel="noopener">Viva Biotech Holdings (1873 HK)</a> is raising RMB1.06 billion (~$150 million) through offloading ~24% of its equity interest in Viva Shanghai, the primary entity of the company's CRO business.</li>
<li>The consideration implies a revenue ratio and gross profit ratio of 4.90x and 11.04x, respectively. The ratios are at the similar level of the average ratios of other comparable peers.</li>
<li>Going ahead, Viva Biotech is planning to spin off its CRO business for separate listing in the A-shares market. IPO application is expected to be filed by June 30, 2024.</li>
</ul>



Viva Biotech Holdings (1873 HK) is raising RMB1.06 billion (~$150 million) through offloading ~24% of its equity interest in Viva Shanghai, the primary entity of the company's CRO business.
The consideration implies a revenue ratio and gross profit ratio of 4.90x and 11.04x, respectively. The ratios are at the similar level of the average ratios of other comparable peers.
Going ahead, Viva Biotech is planning to spin off its CRO business for separate listing in the A-shares market. IPO application is expected to be filed by June 30, 2024.


Viva Biotech Holdings (1873 HK): Fund Raising Through Offloading Stake in CRO Arm

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance ends 31 July. We expect the changes to be announced 25 August with the implementation taking place after the close on 8 September.</li>
<li>We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history resulting in two changes to the index.</li>
<li>One way turnover is estimated at 3.45% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 3,675m. The impact on the deletions will be larger than that on the inclusions.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance ends 31 July. We expect the changes to be announced 25 August with the implementation taking place after the close on 8 September.
We expect the index committee to continue using a 6-month minimum listing history resulting in two changes to the index.
One way turnover is estimated at 3.45% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 3,675m. The impact on the deletions will be larger than that on the inclusions.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change; One 'It Depends'

China

Shanghai Medicilon Inc. develops pharmaceutical products. The Company produces acquired immune deficiency syndrome drugs, anticancer drug sensitizers, genetic engineering vaccines, biomedical intermediates, and other products. Shanghai Medicilon also provides biological analysis, drug safety evaluation, and other services.

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Shanghai Medicilon (688202 CH)

STAR50 Index Rebalance: Two Changes; Pre-Positioning Appears Light

There are 2 changes for the STAR50 in Sep. The adds/dels were expected and there has been big outperformance over the last few weeks. But,...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes Playing Catchup

Changes will be announced after market close today. The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes by over 10% since the end of the...

Brian Freitas

Pre-IPO WuXi XDC - The Beautiful Story and the Truth Behind

How far WuXi XDC can go in the future depends on the real market space of ADC and the company's performance. But as a capital operation, good story...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Viva Biotech Holdings (1873 HK): Fund Raising Through Offloading Stake in CRO Arm

Viva Biotech is raising $150M through offloading 24% of its equity interest in Viva Shanghai, the company's CRO business. Going ahead, the company...

Tina Banerjee

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change; One 'It Depends'

There could be 2 changes in September if a 6 month minimum listing history is used. Piotech was added to the CSI500 in June and there are multiple...

Brian Freitas

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