Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 185 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 76.4% as of Jun 12th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.5ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, health care, utilities and offset by real estate, consumer staples, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, ZTE, Chalco, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 185 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 76.4% as of Jun 12th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.5ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, health care, utilities and offset by real estate, consumer staples, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Remegen, ZTE, Chalco, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 12th): Remegen, ZTE, Chalco, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H

Equity Capital Markets

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics / Equity Capital Markets

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH)

<ul>
<li>Mindray is seeking to raise at least USD500m via a Hong Kong listing. Huatai and JPM are the deal sponsors.</li>
<li>This note covers Mindray's in vitro diagnostics, patient monitoring and life support, medical imaging, and peer valuation.</li>
<li>We also discuss our preliminary thoughts on valuation based on A-H premium.</li>
</ul>


Mindray is seeking to raise at least USD500m via a Hong Kong listing. Huatai and JPM are the deal sponsors.
This note covers Mindray's in vitro diagnostics, patient monitoring and life support, medical imaging, and peer valuation.
We also discuss our preliminary thoughts on valuation based on A-H premium.


Mindray (迈瑞医疗) A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

Global Asset Allocation, Politics & Governance, Ecstrat

John-Paul Smith

Global Asset Allocation, Politics & Governance

Ecstrat

Ecstrat is a consultancy advising on asset allocation between global equity markets, with a focus on the intersection of governments, geopolitics, governance and markets.
 
Over the past few years and more especially since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), investors have become more focused on short-term market movements and real-time returns and have consequently neglected the analysis of the underlying structural themes that underpin longer term performance.
​
More specifically we believe that the evolution of governance-based relationships between investors, controlling shareholders, labour and the state is one of the primary determinants of both relative and absolute performance between individual equity markets.
 
We will endeavour to provide investors with some of the context surrounding governance-related issues which encompass many different disciplines including history, economics and political science, as well as the financial metrics which are the most obvious manifestation of the structural characteristics of each market.
 
We will pay particular attention to the shifts and potential inflection points for governance in individual markets as these are often the best lead indicators for both economic and market performance.

Cross Asset Strategy

On a tactical level, both onshore and offshore listed Chinese equities are starting to appear somewhat oversold and would rally sharply if the US offered any meaningful concessions resulting in some sort of agreement in either one or both of the disputes around trade and technology. Taking a more strategic perspective however, the inexorable shift towards a more Autarkic Governance Regime implies severe costs for both the Chinese economy and equity market(s).

On a tactical level, both onshore and offshore listed Chinese equities are starting to appear somewhat oversold and would rally sharply if the US offered any meaningful concessions resulting in some sort of agreement in either one or both of the disputes around trade and technology. Taking a more strategic perspective however, the inexorable shift towards a more Autarkic Governance Regime implies severe costs for both the Chinese economy and equity market(s).

China: The Shift to a More Autarkic Governance Regime Will Hurt the Economy and Investors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Since autumn of 2014, the HK-Shanghai Connect, and later the HK-Shenzhen Connect mechanisms have provided means for mainland investors to buy Hong Kong-listed stocks. We have been tracking the H/A relationships and the Southbound flows per name on a weekly basis and occasionally writing commentary about it since late 2016. This report provides a brief synopsis of the SOUTHBOUND flows into Hong Kong-listed stocks over the course of 2018, by sector, by average percentage change in mainland ownership of HK shares outstanding subject to the Connect mechanisms, and the top and bottom five names per sector per quarter.

Since autumn of 2014, the HK-Shanghai Connect, and later the HK-Shenzhen Connect mechanisms have provided means for mainland investors to buy Hong Kong-listed stocks. We have been tracking the H/A relationships and the Southbound flows per name on a weekly basis and occasionally writing commentary about it since late 2016. This report provides a brief synopsis of the SOUTHBOUND flows into Hong Kong-listed stocks over the course of 2018, by sector, by average percentage change in mainland ownership of HK shares outstanding subject to the Connect mechanisms, and the top and bottom five names per sector per quarter.

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 15th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, China Mobile, Meituan, PICC P&amp;C, Kuaishou, Petrochina, Zijin Mining, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Xiaomi, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 15th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, China Mobile, Meituan, PICC P&amp;C, Kuaishou, Petrochina, Zijin Mining, Hua Hong Semiconductor, Xiaomi, Ping An Insurance.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 15th): Tencent, China Mobile, Meituan, PICC P&C, Kuaishou, Petrochina

China

Shanghai Pharmaceuticals is a large pharmaceutical group engaged in the research and development, manufacturing, distribution, and retail of pharmaceutical and healthcare products. The company offers a broad portfolio including traditional Chinese and chemical drugs, and provides medical logistics and supply chain solutions. It was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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Shanghai Pharmaceuticals (2607 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 12th): Remegen, ZTE, Chalco, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Remegen, ZTE, Chalco, Shandong Gold Mining Co Lt-H.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Mindray (迈瑞医疗) A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

Mindray is seeking to raise at least USD500m through an A+H listing. The note covers business quality, industry context, peer valuation, and A-H...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China: The Shift to a More Autarkic Governance Regime Will Hurt the Economy and Investors

On a tactical level, both onshore and offshore listed Chinese equities are starting to appear somewhat oversold and would rally sharply if the US...

John-Paul Smith

2018 HK-Connect SouthBound In a Nutshell

Since autumn of 2014, the HK-Shanghai Connect, and later the HK-Shenzhen Connect mechanisms have provided means for mainland investors to buy Hong...

Travis Lundy

HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 15th): Tencent, China Mobile, Meituan, PICC P&C, Kuaishou, Petrochina

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent (700 HK), China Mobile (941 HK), Meituan (3690...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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