HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Event-Driven

Shanghai RAAS Blood Products C / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Geopolitical risks have led to foreign companies planning to withdraw from China.It’s also difficult to allow foreign companies to control China’s core strategic assets.So, Grifols and RAAS’ “breakup” is inevitable.</li>
<li>This acquisition is an important milestone in the development of Haier’s big health industry. RAAS’s valuation also has room to rise further after being acquire by Haier due to synergies.</li>
<li>In the case of slowing growth in the home appliance market, this is a wise move for Haier.However, potential goodwill impairment in GDS is a risk for Haier/RAAS and investors.</li>
</ul>


Geopolitical risks have led to foreign companies planning to withdraw from China.It’s also difficult to allow foreign companies to control China’s core strategic assets.So, Grifols and RAAS’ “breakup” is inevitable.
This acquisition is an important milestone in the development of Haier’s big health industry. RAAS’s valuation also has room to rise further after being acquire by Haier due to synergies.
In the case of slowing growth in the home appliance market, this is a wise move for Haier.However, potential goodwill impairment in GDS is a risk for Haier/RAAS and investors.


Haier Group to Buy $1.8B Stake in Shanghai RAAS from Grifols – A New Chapter Begins

Beijing Tiantan Biological Products / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Guangming District State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Bureau reached a cooperation agreement with China National Biotec to establish a joint venture, which will become the new controlling shareholder of Weiguang.</li>
<li>Since Tiantan is already Sinopharm’s subsidiary, there will be horizontal competition issue in the field of blood product business between Tiantan and Weiguang, mainly due to significant business overlap.</li>
<li>Some spin-offs and integrations are expected between Tiantan and Weiguang. As the reform of SOE enters a new stage, the two companies could end up very different.</li>
</ul>


Guangming District State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Bureau reached a cooperation agreement with China National Biotec to establish a joint venture, which will become the new controlling shareholder of Weiguang.
Since Tiantan is already Sinopharm’s subsidiary, there will be horizontal competition issue in the field of blood product business between Tiantan and Weiguang, mainly due to significant business overlap.
Some spin-offs and integrations are expected between Tiantan and Weiguang. As the reform of SOE enters a new stage, the two companies could end up very different.


Tiantan (600161CH) To Acquire Weiguang (002880CH)- New King Rises in China's Blood Products Industry

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 15th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,746.9 million, led by consumer staples, information technology, and offset by utilities, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Mindray, BYD, Wuliangye, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial, Chongqing Sokon Industry Group Stock, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 15th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,746.9 million, led by consumer staples, information technology, and offset by utilities, real estate.
We highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Mindray, BYD, Wuliangye, Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial, Chongqing Sokon Industry Group Stock, Ping An Insurance.


Northbound Flows (Dec 15th): China Yangtze Power, Mindray, BYD, Wuliangye

Equity Bottom-Up

Beijing Tiantan Biological Products / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Tiantan is a good defensive investment target in unfriendly external environment to control the pullback due to its advantageous background and resources, but its profit margin/efficiency needs to improve. </li>
<li>After a large performance decline in Q1, Tiantan recovered well in Q2, but due to the pandemic and some acquisitions/resource integration, its profit performance declined in Q3. </li>
<li>Tiantan’s performance growth is expected to slow down in 2022, with single-digit YoY revenue growth. Accordingly, the current valuation may have overdrawn certainty.</li>
</ul>


Tiantan is a good defensive investment target in unfriendly external environment to control the pullback due to its advantageous background and resources, but its profit margin/efficiency needs to improve. 
After a large performance decline in Q1, Tiantan recovered well in Q2, but due to the pandemic and some acquisitions/resource integration, its profit performance declined in Q3. 
Tiantan’s performance growth is expected to slow down in 2022, with single-digit YoY revenue growth. Accordingly, the current valuation may have overdrawn certainty.


Beijing Tiantan Biological Products (600161CH)-A Good Defensive Investment Target but May Overvalued

China Resources Pharmaceutical / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The distribution business is stable, but it’s difficult to achieve high growth/profits due to industry trend. Therefore, the valuation of this business is hard to increase.</li>
<li>The performance of pharmaceutical manufacturing business is important, which largely determines the overall profit margin. But it actually depends on what the subsidiaries can contribute, who are facing different challenges.</li>
<li>China Resources Pharmaceutical may need to improve its vision of asset selection and its ability to judge and grasp the long-term trend of the industry. The current valuation isn’t attractive.</li>
</ul>


The distribution business is stable, but it’s difficult to achieve high growth/profits due to industry trend. Therefore, the valuation of this business is hard to increase.
The performance of pharmaceutical manufacturing business is important, which largely determines the overall profit margin. But it actually depends on what the subsidiaries can contribute, who are facing different challenges.
China Resources Pharmaceutical may need to improve its vision of asset selection and its ability to judge and grasp the long-term trend of the industry. The current valuation isn’t attractive.


China Resources Pharmaceutical (3320.HK) - Here Are the Concerns

China

Shanghai RAAS Blood Products Co., Ltd. produces blood products. The Company develops and manufactures human albumin, human immunoglobulin, coagulation factors, tetanus human immunoglobulin, and other products. Shanghai RAAS Blood Products markets its products throughout China.

Shanghai RAAS Blood Products C (002252 CH)

Shanghai RAAS Blood Products C (002252 CH)

Haier Group to Buy $1.8B Stake in Shanghai RAAS from Grifols – A New Chapter Begins

We analyzed the key points/logic behind Haier's decision to acquire Shanghai RAAS from Grifols. Despite potential risks, it is still a wise move...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Tiantan (600161CH) To Acquire Weiguang (002880CH)- New King Rises in China's Blood Products Industry

The change of Weiguang's actual controller will bring about a series of restructuring.As SOE reform enters new stage, investors will have good...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Northbound Flows (Dec 15th): China Yangtze Power, Mindray, BYD, Wuliangye

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for China Yangtze Power, Mindray, BYD, Wuliangye.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Beijing Tiantan Biological Products (600161CH)-A Good Defensive Investment Target but May Overvalued

Tiantan is a good defensive target in unfriendly external macro due to its advantageous background, but performance growth would slow down in 2022....

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Resources Pharmaceutical (3320.HK) - Here Are the Concerns

Pharmaceutical manufacturing business is the key to drive valuation,but the subsidiaries face challenge.CR Pharma should improve its vision of...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang