Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Shanghai United Imaging Health / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Two thirds of the way through the review period, we see 14 potential index changes at the December rebalance that will be implemented at the close on 8 December.</li>
<li>We estimate a one-way turnover of 1.98% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 5.32bn.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> over the last five months, though there is some near-term underperformance.</li>
</ul>


Two thirds of the way through the review period, we see 14 potential index changes at the December rebalance that will be implemented at the close on 8 December.
We estimate a one-way turnover of 1.98% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 5.32bn.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) over the last five months, though there is some near-term underperformance.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Early Look at Potential Changes in December

<ul>
<li>The FRTIB benchmark switch from the EAFE Index to the ACWI IMI ex-USA ex-China ex-Hong Kong Index will result in a round trip trade of around US$56bn.</li>
<li>The changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50</a> and a bunch of other mainland China indices will be announced after market close on Friday.</li>
<li>Relatively quiet week for ETF flows with no major creations or redemptions during the week.</li>
</ul>


The FRTIB benchmark switch from the EAFE Index to the ACWI IMI ex-USA ex-China ex-Hong Kong Index will result in a round trip trade of around US$56bn.
The changes for the CSI 300, CSI 500, STAR50, SSE50 and a bunch of other mainland China indices will be announced after market close on Friday.
Relatively quiet week for ETF flows with no major creations or redemptions during the week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: FRTIB, Japan, CSI300, CSI500, STAR50, WuXi XDC, Asahi

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

Jiangxi Rimag Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Jiangxi Rimag Group, a China-based medical imaging center operator and provider of Rimag cloud services, set terms for an IPO and plans to raise ~HK$280M (~$36M) in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>The IPO is expected to be between HK$14.60 and HK$16.80. At the midpoint of the range, Jiangxi Rimag will have a market value of ~HK$5.6B based on 356.3M outstanding shares.</li>
<li>CITIC Securities is leading the offering. CMB International and Huatai International act as joint global coordinators, joint bookrunners and joint lead managers.</li>
</ul>


Jiangxi Rimag Group, a China-based medical imaging center operator and provider of Rimag cloud services, set terms for an IPO and plans to raise ~HK$280M (~$36M) in Hong Kong.
The IPO is expected to be between HK$14.60 and HK$16.80. At the midpoint of the range, Jiangxi Rimag will have a market value of ~HK$5.6B based on 356.3M outstanding shares.
CITIC Securities is leading the offering. CMB International and Huatai International act as joint global coordinators, joint bookrunners and joint lead managers.


Jiangxi Rimag IPO (2522.HK): Global Offering and Valuation Update

<ul>
<li>Jiangxi Rimag Group, China's largest medical group with focus on medical imaging services, updated its PHIP and may enter the public market in June.</li>
<li>Terms of an IPO have not yet been set. The expected price range and the size of the offering were not disclosed in the company’s filings. </li>
<li>I’m positive on Jiangxi Rimag Group given the fast-growing TAM: third-party medical imaging center market accounts only for ~1% of the PRC medical imaging service market today.</li>
</ul>


Jiangxi Rimag Group, China's largest medical group with focus on medical imaging services, updated its PHIP and may enter the public market in June.
Terms of an IPO have not yet been set. The expected price range and the size of the offering were not disclosed in the company’s filings. 
I’m positive on Jiangxi Rimag Group given the fast-growing TAM: third-party medical imaging center market accounts only for ~1% of the PRC medical imaging service market today.


Jiangxi Rimag IPO: FCF Generation and Margin Expansion. Expect ~30 New Imaging Centers By 2026

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. / Equity Bottom-Up

Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.

<ul>
<li>The National Health Commission and eight other departments issued “<em>Opinions on strengthening the capacity building of critical care medical services</em>”. New policy catalysts in the medical device sector arrives.</li>
<li>Current valuations of weight-loss drug companies have “large bubble”, which have basically priced in all the potential of GLP-1s even based on optimistic assumptions. We advise investors to be rational.</li>
<li>The price of core raw materials is showing a continuous upward trend, which will inevitably cause certain difficulties for Pientzehuang’s performance growth in 2024. Valuation has more downside ahead.</li>
</ul>


The National Health Commission and eight other departments issued “Opinions on strengthening the capacity building of critical care medical services”. New policy catalysts in the medical device sector arrives.
Current valuations of weight-loss drug companies have “large bubble”, which have basically priced in all the potential of GLP-1s even based on optimistic assumptions. We advise investors to be rational.
The price of core raw materials is showing a continuous upward trend, which will inevitably cause certain difficulties for Pientzehuang’s performance growth in 2024. Valuation has more downside ahead.


China Healthcare Weekly (May12)-Policy Catalyst in Medical Device, GLP-1 Overvaluation, Pientzehuang

China

Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and distributes medical imaging systems and equipment. The Company produces computed tomography scanners, mobile medical devices, molecular imaging instruments, magnetic resonance equipment, and others. Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare also offers equipment leasing services.

Shanghai United Imaging Health (688271 CH)

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Shanghai United Imaging Health (688271 CH)

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Early Look at Potential Changes in December

We currently have 14 changes for the CSI300 Index in December. Most changes are high probability and the potential adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: FRTIB, Japan, CSI300, CSI500, STAR50, WuXi XDC, Asahi

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Jiangxi Rimag IPO (2522.HK): Global Offering and Valuation Update

I believe that Jiangxi Rimag is the best pure-play way to invest in a third-party medical imaging center market in Mainland China. The company is...

Andrei Zakharov

Jiangxi Rimag IPO: FCF Generation and Margin Expansion. Expect ~30 New Imaging Centers By 2026

Jiangxi Rimag Group restarted Hong Kong IPO and plans to raise capital for expanding medical imaging center network in Mainland China and overseas...

Andrei Zakharov

China Healthcare Weekly (May12)-Policy Catalyst in Medical Device, GLP-1 Overvaluation, Pientzehuang

New policy catalysts in medical device sector arrives.Current valuation of weight-loss drug companies have “big bubble”.Due to China's de...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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