Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 20/Sep, US crude inventories declined by 4.5m barrels, surpassing expectations of a 1.3m barrel drawdown. Gasoline and distillate stockpiles also decreased more than analyst estimates.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories rise 47 Bcf for the week ending 20/Sep, lower than analyst expectations of a 52 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 7.1% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>BP and Shell experienced rating downgrades and target price reductions, while TotalEnergies and Exxon Mobil saw upward revisions in their target prices.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 20/Sep, US crude inventories declined by 4.5m barrels, surpassing expectations of a 1.3m barrel drawdown. Gasoline and distillate stockpiles also decreased more than analyst estimates.
US natural gas inventories rise 47 Bcf for the week ending 20/Sep, lower than analyst expectations of a 52 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 7.1% above the 5-year seasonal average.
BP and Shell experienced rating downgrades and target price reductions, while TotalEnergies and Exxon Mobil saw upward revisions in their target prices.


[ETP 2024/39] WTI Prices Slip as Supply Concerns Ease; Nat-Gas Soars on Strong Demand Expectations

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 13/Sep, US crude inventories dropped by 1.6m barrels, surpassing the expected 0.2m barrel decline. Gasoline stockpiles grew less than forecasted, while distillate inventories rose more.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories rise 58 Bcf for the week ending 13/Sep, more than analyst expectations of a 53 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 8.6% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>Chevron, Occidental Petroleum, and Exxon Mobil see target price cuts. DBS Bank initiated a Buy rating on Schlumberger and Halliburton.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 13/Sep, US crude inventories dropped by 1.6m barrels, surpassing the expected 0.2m barrel decline. Gasoline stockpiles grew less than forecasted, while distillate inventories rose more.
US natural gas inventories rise 58 Bcf for the week ending 13/Sep, more than analyst expectations of a 53 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 8.6% above the 5-year seasonal average.
Chevron, Occidental Petroleum, and Exxon Mobil see target price cuts. DBS Bank initiated a Buy rating on Schlumberger and Halliburton.


[ETP 2024/38] Oil Rises on Fed Rate Cut and Geopolitics; Nat-Gas Gains on Warmer Forecasts

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 30/Aug, US crude inventories fell by 6.9m barrels, surpassing analysts expectations a 600k barrel drawdown. Distillate stocks surprisingly dropped, while gasoline inventories unexpectedly rose.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories rise 13 bcf for the week ending 30/Aug, missing analyst expectations of a 26 bcf buildup. Inventories are 10.7% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>ADNOC to acquire a 35% stake in ExxonMobil’s proposed low-carbon hydrogen facility. BPN Paribas raised the target price on Chevron, while Grupo Santander downgraded TotalEnergies.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 30/Aug, US crude inventories fell by 6.9m barrels, surpassing analysts expectations a 600k barrel drawdown. Distillate stocks surprisingly dropped, while gasoline inventories unexpectedly rose.
US natural gas inventories rise 13 bcf for the week ending 30/Aug, missing analyst expectations of a 26 bcf buildup. Inventories are 10.7% above the 5-year seasonal average.
ADNOC to acquire a 35% stake in ExxonMobil’s proposed low-carbon hydrogen facility. BPN Paribas raised the target price on Chevron, while Grupo Santander downgraded TotalEnergies.


[ETP 2024/36] Oil Slumps as Supply Fears Fade; Nat-Gas Soars on Rising Demand Outlook

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 09/Aug, US crude inventories increased by 1.4 mb for the first time in seven weeks, contrary to analyst expectations of a 1.9 mb drawdown.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories fell by 6 Bcf, its first decline since 04/Apr. However, storage levels are up 6.8% YoY and 13% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>Wells Fargo, UBS, and BMO Capital reduced their target prices on Occidental. BMO Capital lowered its targets on Chevron and Halliburton but raised its target on Exxon Mobil.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 09/Aug, US crude inventories increased by 1.4 mb for the first time in seven weeks, contrary to analyst expectations of a 1.9 mb drawdown.
US natural gas inventories fell by 6 Bcf, its first decline since 04/Apr. However, storage levels are up 6.8% YoY and 13% above the 5-year seasonal average.
Wells Fargo, UBS, and BMO Capital reduced their target prices on Occidental. BMO Capital lowered its targets on Chevron and Halliburton but raised its target on Exxon Mobil.


[ETP 2024/33] Oil Lost Gains to Demand Concerns and Unexpected Build in US Inventories

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Shell's Q2 revenue dipped 0.2% YoY, but net profit increased by 12.2%. Both revenue and EPS surpassed analyst expectations by 7.4% and 5.1%, respectively.</li>
<li>Shell cut total debt by 10.5% YoY to USD 74.5 billion, with net debt down 5% YoY to USD 38.3 billion.</li>
<li>Shell recorded a USD 708 million impairment from selling its Singapore refinery and another USD 783 million from pausing construction on a European biofuel plant.</li>
</ul>


Shell's Q2 revenue dipped 0.2% YoY, but net profit increased by 12.2%. Both revenue and EPS surpassed analyst expectations by 7.4% and 5.1%, respectively.
Shell cut total debt by 10.5% YoY to USD 74.5 billion, with net debt down 5% YoY to USD 38.3 billion.
Shell recorded a USD 708 million impairment from selling its Singapore refinery and another USD 783 million from pausing construction on a European biofuel plant.


[Earnings Review] Shell Surpasses Earnings Forecasts with Strong Upstream and Retail Gains

United Kingdom

Shell PLC explores and refines petroleum products. The Company produces fuels, chemicals, and lubricants. Shell serves clients worldwide.

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Shell PLC (SHEL LN)

[ETP 2024/39] WTI Prices Slip as Supply Concerns Ease; Nat-Gas Soars on Strong Demand Expectations

WTI reversed gains as supply disruptions eased amid persistent demand worries. In contrast, nat-gas prices surged on expectations of strong demand...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/38] Oil Rises on Fed Rate Cut and Geopolitics; Nat-Gas Gains on Warmer Forecasts

Oil prices are rising as demand prospects improve. Natural gas prices recovered due to warmer weather forecasts. TotalEnergies received a target...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/36] Oil Slumps as Supply Fears Fade; Nat-Gas Soars on Rising Demand Outlook

WTI hit a 2024 low on Wednesday as Libyan supply crisis eased & weak manufacturing in China and US fuelled demand concerns. Nat-gas surged on...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/33] Oil Lost Gains to Demand Concerns and Unexpected Build in US Inventories

US crude inventories unexpectedly rose, while natural gas inventories fell for the first time since April. Major brokerages lowered target prices...

Mint Finance

[Earnings Review] Shell Surpasses Earnings Forecasts with Strong Upstream and Retail Gains

Shell's Q2 revenue slightly decreased, but net profit rose significantly. Revenue and EPS surpassed analyst expectations. Net debt was reduced and...

Mint Finance

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[ETP 2024/39] WTI Prices Slip as Supply Concerns Ease; Nat-Gas Soars on Strong Demand Expectations

WTI reversed gains as supply disruptions eased amid persistent demand worries. In contrast, nat-gas prices surged on expectations of strong demand...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/38] Oil Rises on Fed Rate Cut and Geopolitics; Nat-Gas Gains on Warmer Forecasts

Oil prices are rising as demand prospects improve. Natural gas prices recovered due to warmer weather forecasts. TotalEnergies received a target...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/36] Oil Slumps as Supply Fears Fade; Nat-Gas Soars on Rising Demand Outlook

WTI hit a 2024 low on Wednesday as Libyan supply crisis eased & weak manufacturing in China and US fuelled demand concerns. Nat-gas surged on...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/33] Oil Lost Gains to Demand Concerns and Unexpected Build in US Inventories

​US crude inventories unexpectedly rose, while natural gas inventories fell for the first time since April. Major brokerages lowered target prices...

Mint Finance

[Earnings Review] Shell Surpasses Earnings Forecasts with Strong Upstream and Retail Gains

​Shell's Q2 revenue slightly decreased, but net profit rose significantly. Revenue and EPS surpassed analyst expectations. Net debt was reduced and...

Mint Finance

US crude inventories unexpectedly rose, while natural gas inventories fell for the first time since April. Major brokerages lowered target prices...

Shell's Q2 revenue slightly decreased, but net profit rose significantly. Revenue and EPS surpassed analyst expectations. Net debt was reduced and...