Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The upcoming Johor Bahru-Singapore Rapid Transit System and the ease of cross-border movements could impact Singapore’s retail sector as more consumers may choose to spend across the border.</li>
<li>DFI Retail CEO cited this as rationale for exiting Singapore based grocery retail business under Cold Storage and Giant's brands. Sheng Siong group said it will carefully monitor this development.</li>
<li>Singapore retail prices for branded consumer discretionary and staples are between 30%-50% higher than in Malaysia. With greater ease of commute and shipping, this price differential may not be sustainable.</li>
</ul>


The upcoming Johor Bahru-Singapore Rapid Transit System and the ease of cross-border movements could impact Singapore’s retail sector as more consumers may choose to spend across the border.
DFI Retail CEO cited this as rationale for exiting Singapore based grocery retail business under Cold Storage and Giant's brands. Sheng Siong group said it will carefully monitor this development.
Singapore retail prices for branded consumer discretionary and staples are between 30%-50% higher than in Malaysia. With greater ease of commute and shipping, this price differential may not be sustainable.


Singapore Retail Sector: Will It Be Impacted by Improved Connectivity with Malaysia?

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sheng-siong-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6824:1" rel="noopener">Sheng Siong (SSG SP)</a> reported steady revenues/profits in Q2 2024, up 1.2%/4.7% YoY. In H1 2024, revenues/profits were up 3.4%/6.8% YoY due to same-store sales growth of 6.4%.</li>
<li>The company expanded its footprint by two stores to 71 in H1 FY24 in Singapore. Two additional stores will open in July 2024, <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/SSG%20-%201HFY2024%20-%20Results%20Announcement.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=813322" target="_blank" rel="noopener">followed by ten tender results in H2</a>. </li>
<li>The stock trades at a 16.3x PE, has a 4.3% dividend yield, and holds 16% of the market cap in net cash. Opportunities for higher growth are on the horizon.  </li>
</ul>



Sheng Siong (SSG SP) reported steady revenues/profits in Q2 2024, up 1.2%/4.7% YoY. In H1 2024, revenues/profits were up 3.4%/6.8% YoY due to same-store sales growth of 6.4%.
The company expanded its footprint by two stores to 71 in H1 FY24 in Singapore. Two additional stores will open in July 2024, followed by ten tender results in H2. 
The stock trades at a 16.3x PE, has a 4.3% dividend yield, and holds 16% of the market cap in net cash. Opportunities for higher growth are on the horizon.  


Sheng Siong Group (SSG SP) Q2 2024: Steady - Opportunities To Grow in H2

<ul>
<li>Q1 FY24 revenues/profits were up 5.5%/9.3% YoY as inflationary pressure in Singapore force consumers to adopt cost-cutting measures like eating at home and shopping in supermarkets with value for money.</li>
<li>Cash continued to pile on the balance sheet with &gt;350 mn SGD ( now almost 15% of market capitalization). Capital allocation (besides a 70% pay out ratio) is key now. </li>
<li>Trading at 16.5x PE with ROEs consistently over 25% and a dividend yield of 4.3%, this is one of the rare quality companies in Singapore worth exploring </li>
</ul>


Q1 FY24 revenues/profits were up 5.5%/9.3% YoY as inflationary pressure in Singapore force consumers to adopt cost-cutting measures like eating at home and shopping in supermarkets with value for money.
Cash continued to pile on the balance sheet with &gt;350 mn SGD ( now almost 15% of market capitalization). Capital allocation (besides a 70% pay out ratio) is key now. 
Trading at 16.5x PE with ROEs consistently over 25% and a dividend yield of 4.3%, this is one of the rare quality companies in Singapore worth exploring 


Sheng Siong Group (SSG SP) Q1 2024: Making a Strong Case for Growth This Year

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sheng-siong-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6824:1" rel="noopener">Sheng Siong (SSG SP)</a> continues to maintain steady, low, single-digit growth in revenue and flat profitability despite a challenging environment. </li>
<li>Inflation trends reversing due to lower power costs in 2024, and an improvement in its product mix could lead to increased low double-digit profitability (10-11% YoY). </li>
<li>Trading at 18.5x/17.6x FY23e/24e PE and 3.9% dividend yield, the stock remains on our watchlist if a correction leads to a favorable entry point.</li>
</ul>



Sheng Siong (SSG SP) continues to maintain steady, low, single-digit growth in revenue and flat profitability despite a challenging environment. 
Inflation trends reversing due to lower power costs in 2024, and an improvement in its product mix could lead to increased low double-digit profitability (10-11% YoY). 
Trading at 18.5x/17.6x FY23e/24e PE and 3.9% dividend yield, the stock remains on our watchlist if a correction leads to a favorable entry point.


Sheng Siong (SSG SP) - Great Execution So Far, Maintaining >20% ROCE

<ul>
<li>1Q FY2026 revenue of S$452.8m (+12.4% YoY) and NPAT of S$43.2m (+12.0% YoY) driven by full contribution of 12 stores opened in FY2025 and SSSG of +3.5%.</li>
<li>Total store network reached 93 (87 SG + 6 CN); net cash rose to S$461.1m (+S$25.6m QoQ), with S$520m DC investment commencing 2026-2030.</li>
<li>At S$3.04/share, SSG trades at 27.5x FY26e P/E and 20.7x EV/EBITDA; premium valuation reflects the defensive quality of the business but limits near-term upside.</li>
</ul>


1Q FY2026 revenue of S$452.8m (+12.4% YoY) and NPAT of S$43.2m (+12.0% YoY) driven by full contribution of 12 stores opened in FY2025 and SSSG of +3.5%.
Total store network reached 93 (87 SG + 6 CN); net cash rose to S$461.1m (+S$25.6m QoQ), with S$520m DC investment commencing 2026-2030.
At S$3.04/share, SSG trades at 27.5x FY26e P/E and 20.7x EV/EBITDA; premium valuation reflects the defensive quality of the business but limits near-term upside.


Sheng Siong (SSG SP): Record Q1FY26 Revenues Driven By Store Expansions

Singapore

Sheng Siong Group Ltd. operates a chain of supermarket retail stores, offering a wide assortment of live, fresh, and chilled produce, pantry staples, packaged foods, and household merchandise. The company also engages in general trading, wholesale import and export, and operates an online grocery platform. Sheng Siong was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Singapore.

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Sheng Siong (SSG SP)

Singapore Retail Sector: Will It Be Impacted by Improved Connectivity with Malaysia?

Singapore's branded consumer retail margins and retail rental yield are at risk when easier border crossing access to Malaysia could prompt more...

Devi Subhakesan

Sheng Siong Group (SSG SP) Q2 2024: Steady - Opportunities To Grow in H2

We summarize Sheng Siong Group (SSG SP) H1 FY24 earnings. The stock trades at 16.3x FY24 PE with a 4.3% dividend yield and 16% of the market cap in...

Sameer Taneja

Sheng Siong Group (SSG SP) Q1 2024: Making a Strong Case for Growth This Year

We summarize the Q1 earnings of Sheng Siong Group trading at 16.5x PE with ROEs consistently over 25% and a dividend yield of 4.3%

Sameer Taneja