Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 14.8bn of A-shares. It was a big net sell week in relatively low gross NORTHBOUND volume.</li>
<li>HK large caps outperformed Mainland large caps generally. Tech (HSTECH vs Star50 and ChiNext) saw even better HK outperformance.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 14.8bn of A-shares. It was a big net sell week in relatively low gross NORTHBOUND volume.
HK large caps outperformed Mainland large caps generally. Tech (HSTECH vs Star50 and ChiNext) saw even better HK outperformance.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 9 Aug 2024): Back to Net Selling of Renewables and Consumer

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 9th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,018.4 million, led by information technology, consumer discretionary, financials, and offset by health care, consumer staples, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing, Midea, CATL, Zhongji Innolight.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 9th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,018.4 million, led by information technology, consumer discretionary, financials, and offset by health care, consumer staples, utilities.
We highlight flows for Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing, Midea, CATL, Zhongji Innolight.


Northbound Flows (Aug 9th): Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing, Midea, CATL, Zhongji Innolight

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Seven out of the 16 leading PCB manufacturers in China have announced profit alerts by mid-July, with an avg. 75% to 105% YoY and 21% to 43% QoQ increase in net profit for 2Q24.</li><li>We think the strong performance is supported by inventory restocking and upgrade cycle driven by the AI boom.</li><li>These positive announcements added momentum for the PCB sector, with an avg. 9% month-to-date increase in share price (for the seven companies with profit alerts announcements).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Seven out of the 16 leading PCB manufacturers in China have announced profit alerts by mid-July, with an avg. 75% to 105% YoY and 21% to 43% QoQ increase in net profit for 2Q24.We think the strong performance is supported by inventory restocking and upgrade cycle driven by the AI boom.These positive announcements added momentum for the PCB sector, with an avg. 9% month-to-date increase in share price (for the seven companies with profit alerts announcements).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semiconductors - PCB sector: 1H24 earnings preview

<ul><li>Following marginal growth of 1.0% YoY in 2022, the global PCB market declined by 15% YoY in 2023 to US$69.5bn, due to subdued demand across end markets and the digestion of excess inventory.</li><li>The quarterly revenue of the top 40 PCB suppliers fell YoY consecutively in 2023, but managed to grow QoQ in 3Q/4Q, suggesting the industry is bottoming out gradually.</li><li>For 2024, we expect the PCB sector to have a modest recovery, following its emergence from the trough in 2H23. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Following marginal growth of 1.0% YoY in 2022, the global PCB market declined by 15% YoY in 2023 to US$69.5bn, due to subdued demand across end markets and the digestion of excess inventory.The quarterly revenue of the top 40 PCB suppliers fell YoY consecutively in 2023, but managed to grow QoQ in 3Q/4Q, suggesting the industry is bottoming out gradually.For 2024, we expect the PCB sector to have a modest recovery, following its emergence from the trough in 2H23. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China PCB Sector - Modest Growth in Global PCB Sales

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Shennan Circuit released its FY23 earnings, with revenue down 3.3% YoY to RMB13.5bn (5%/2% higher than our forecast/consensus) and net profit down 14.8% YoY to RMB1.4bn (11%/5% higher than our forecast/consensus).</li><li>The Company beat estimates thanks to a stronger-than-expected 4Q. The quarterly revenue/NP accounted for 30%/35% of full year results.</li><li>4Q revenue increased by 15.9% YoY/18.6% QoQ to RMB4.1bn, and net profit increased by 6.6% YoY/12.8% QoQ to RMB490mn. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Shennan Circuit released its FY23 earnings, with revenue down 3.3% YoY to RMB13.5bn (5%/2% higher than our forecast/consensus) and net profit down 14.8% YoY to RMB1.4bn (11%/5% higher than our forecast/consensus).The Company beat estimates thanks to a stronger-than-expected 4Q. The quarterly revenue/NP accounted for 30%/35% of full year results.4Q revenue increased by 15.9% YoY/18.6% QoQ to RMB4.1bn, and net profit increased by 6.6% YoY/12.8% QoQ to RMB490mn. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Shennan Circuit (002916 CH) - FY23 Results Beat Helped by Better 4Q

China

Shennan Circuits Co.,Ltd. manufactures printed circuit boards. The Company produces packaging base plates, substrates, electronic assemblies, system in package, and other products. Shennan Circuits markets its products across worldwide.

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Shennan Circuits (002916 CH)

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 9 Aug 2024): Back to Net Selling of Renewables and Consumer

NORTHBOUND back to the sell side last week. Pretty much across the board but renewables-related (solar, btty, EVs) were all sells. EVs to be...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Aug 9th): Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing, Midea, CATL, Zhongji Innolight

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing, Midea,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Semiconductors - PCB sector: 1H24 earnings preview

Seven out of the 16 leading PCB manufacturers in China have announced profit alerts by mid-July, with an avg. 75% to 105% YoY and 21% to 43% QoQ...

CMB International

China PCB Sector - Modest Growth in Global PCB Sales

Following marginal growth of 1.0% YoY in 2022, the global PCB market declined by 15% YoY in 2023 to US$69.5bn, due to subdued demand across end...

CMB International

Shennan Circuit (002916 CH) - FY23 Results Beat Helped by Better 4Q

Shennan Circuit released its FY23 earnings, with revenue down 3.3% YoY to RMB13.5bn (5%/2% higher than our forecast/consensus) and net profit down...

CMB International

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