HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China Education Sector, specifically <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-education-group-holdin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18218:1" rel="noopener">China Education Group (839 HK)</a>, should see better performance in 2022 as regulatory concerns gradually ease. 1H22 result for higher education segment should be a proof.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen International (152 HK)</a> could reverse the bad fortune in 2022 on the back of realisation of undervalued assets, expansion of logistics facilities and better performance at Shenzhen Airlines.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-dongxiang-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1068:1" rel="noopener">China Dongxiang (3818 HK)</a> remains an undervalued asset play. Its ability to realise value of its investment portfolio, potential resumption of dividend payout and recovery of sportswear business are drivers.</li>
</ul>


China Education Sector, specifically China Education Group (839 HK), should see better performance in 2022 as regulatory concerns gradually ease. 1H22 result for higher education segment should be a proof.

Shenzhen International (152 HK) could reverse the bad fortune in 2022 on the back of realisation of undervalued assets, expansion of logistics facilities and better performance at Shenzhen Airlines.

China Dongxiang (3818 HK) remains an undervalued asset play. Its ability to realise value of its investment portfolio, potential resumption of dividend payout and recovery of sportswear business are drivers.


Our Three Worst Calls in Last Year and Any Room for a Reversal in 2022?

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 189 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 85.5% as of Jul 3rd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.4ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, health care, energy and offset by utilities, consumer discretionary, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Longyuan, Psbc, Cicc, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Midea, Ceb Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 189 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 85.5% as of Jul 3rd.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.4ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, health care, energy and offset by utilities, consumer discretionary, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Longyuan, Psbc, Cicc, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Midea, Ceb Bank.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 3rd): China Longyuan, Psbc, Cicc, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Midea

We see the joint announcement by five ministries/departments on the development of postal and express industry in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area has positive implications on many of the logistics operators in China in the medium to long term. The supporting initiatives range from the strengthening of the strategic hubs of Guangzhou and Shenzhen airports to encouraging more industry consolidations.While many companies are expected to benefit from these GBA postal and express policies, we highlight some of the most important ones in this Insight - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangzhou-baiyun-international-airport" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10819:1" rel="noopener">Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport (600004 CH)</a> (GBIA) and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-airport-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15522:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Airport Co A (000089 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-southern-airlines-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1078:1" rel="noopener">China Southern Airlines (1055 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinotrans-limited-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1321:1" rel="noopener">Sinotrans (598 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kerry-logistics-network-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:367:1" rel="noopener">Kerry Logistics Network (636 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-intl-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Intl (152 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maanshan-dingtai-rare-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4128:1" rel="noopener">S.F. Holding (002352 CH)</a>.

We see the joint announcement by five ministries/departments on the development of postal and express industry in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area has positive implications on many of the logistics operators in China in the medium to long term. The supporting initiatives range from the strengthening of the strategic hubs of Guangzhou and Shenzhen airports to encouraging more industry consolidations.While many companies are expected to benefit from these GBA postal and express policies, we highlight some of the most important ones in this Insight - Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport (600004 CH) (GBIA) and Shenzhen Airport Co A (000089 CH), China Southern Airlines (1055 HK), Sinotrans (598 HK), Kerry Logistics Network (636 HK), Shenzhen Intl (152 HK) and S.F. Holding (002352 CH).

China Logistics: Key Beneficiaries of China's Greater Bay Area Postal and Express Development

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

The National Development and Reform Commission of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) released a <a href="http://www.csrc.gov.cn/newsite/zjhxwfb/xwdd/202004/t20200430_374845.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">notice</a> in April on establishing a pilot program to promote Infrastructure Real Estate Investment Trust Funds (REITs).The focus will be on supporting key areas such as Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Economic Belt, Xiong'an New Area, Guangdong, Hong Kong, Macao and The Great Bay Area, Hainan and the Yangtze River Delta and on industries such as warehousing logistics, toll roads and other transportation facilities, water and electrical heating and other municipal projects, urban sewage waste treatment, solid waste and waste treatment and other pollution control projects.In this Insight, following on from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/osbert-tang-cfa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:3879" rel="noopener">Osbert Tang, CFA</a>'s <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-infrastructure-reits-first-look-on-h-share-toll-road-sector" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Insight</a>, we put together a tradeable basket on toll road names listed in Hong Kong and China.

The National Development and Reform Commission of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) released a notice in April on establishing a pilot program to promote Infrastructure Real Estate Investment Trust Funds (REITs).The focus will be on supporting key areas such as Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Economic Belt, Xiong'an New Area, Guangdong, Hong Kong, Macao and The Great Bay Area, Hainan and the Yangtze River Delta and on industries such as warehousing logistics, toll roads and other transportation facilities, water and electrical heating and other municipal projects, urban sewage waste treatment, solid waste and waste treatment and other pollution control projects.In this Insight, following on from Osbert Tang, CFA's Insight, we put together a tradeable basket on toll road names listed in Hong Kong and China.

China Infrastructure REITs: Toll Road Baskets on H-Shares and A-Shares

Chinese government's promotion of public infrastructure REITs should benefit many different infrastructure sectors. We first look at the H-share toll road companies and believe REITs can benefit them by: 1.) narrowing the discount to book value and NAV that many of them are currently trading on, and 2.) allowing them to recycle their projects and realise cash inflow for either reducing their debt level or funding of investment in new projects.Over the medium term, we expect REIT program to narrow the underperformance of H-share toll road against the HSCEI. In our view, the H-share toll road companies that will realise the best benefits from infrastructure REIT push are in the following order: 1.) <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-expressway-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15375:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Expressway Co H (107 HK)</a>, 2.) <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-expressway-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2178:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Expressway Co H (576 HK)</a>, 3.) <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-expressway-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2875:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Expressway Co H (548 HK)</a>, 4.) <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-express-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9956:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Express Co Ltd H (177 HK)</a> and 5.) <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anhui-expressway-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5236:1" rel="noopener">Anhui Expressway Co Ltd H (995 HK)</a>.

Chinese government's promotion of public infrastructure REITs should benefit many different infrastructure sectors. We first look at the H-share toll road companies and believe REITs can benefit them by: 1.) narrowing the discount to book value and NAV that many of them are currently trading on, and 2.) allowing them to recycle their projects and realise cash inflow for either reducing their debt level or funding of investment in new projects.Over the medium term, we expect REIT program to narrow the underperformance of H-share toll road against the HSCEI. In our view, the H-share toll road companies that will realise the best benefits from infrastructure REIT push are in the following order: 1.) Sichuan Expressway Co H (107 HK), 2.) Zhejiang Expressway Co H (576 HK), 3.) Shenzhen Expressway Co H (548 HK), 4.) Jiangsu Express Co Ltd H (177 HK) and 5.) Anhui Expressway Co Ltd H (995 HK).

China Infrastructure REITs: First Look on H-Share Toll Road Sector

China

Shenzhen Expressway Company Limited offers toll expressway and road construction and investment services. The Company provides expressway operation, maintenance, and service station leasing services. Shenzhen Expressway also conducts real estate development, advertising, and engineering consulting businesses.

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Shenzhen Expressway Company (600548 CH)

Our Three Worst Calls in Last Year and Any Room for a Reversal in 2022?

China Education Sector, Shenzhen Intl and China Dongxiang are the three worst calls that we made in last year. We believe there is room for a...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 3rd): China Longyuan, Psbc, Cicc, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Midea

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Longyuan, Psbc, Cicc, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Logistics: Key Beneficiaries of China's Greater Bay Area Postal and Express Development

China's support of postal and express industry development in the Greater Bay Area has positive implications on many logistics companies. We...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Infrastructure REITs: Toll Road Baskets on H-Shares and A-Shares

The National Development and Reform Commission of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) released a notice in April on establishing a...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Our Three Worst Calls in Last Year and Any Room for a Reversal in 2022?

China Education Sector, Shenzhen Intl and China Dongxiang are the three worst calls that we made in last year. We believe there is room for a...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 3rd): China Longyuan, Psbc, Cicc, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Midea

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Longyuan, Psbc, Cicc, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Logistics: Key Beneficiaries of China's Greater Bay Area Postal and Express Development

China's support of postal and express industry development in the Greater Bay Area has positive implications on many logistics companies. We...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Infrastructure REITs: Toll Road Baskets on H-Shares and A-Shares

The National Development and Reform Commission of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) released a notice in April on establishing a...

Brian Freitas

China Infrastructure REITs: First Look on H-Share Toll Road Sector

Chinese government's promotion of public infrastructure REITs should benefit many different infrastructure sectors. We first look at the H-share...

Osbert Tang, CFA