HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Shenzhen International / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen International (152 HK)</a> is well set to post a significant YoY and HoH growth in earnings in 2H23. Our discussion with the company confirmed this.  </li>
<li>Profit from Yicheng Qiwanli is expected to be booked and there will be profit upside from REIT listing with logistics hubs at Hangzhou and Guizhou as underlying assets.</li>
<li>Significant reduction in USD and HKD-denominated debt will reduce its exposure to foreign exchange losses as well as high interest rate, both will be reflected in 2H23.</li>
</ul>



Shenzhen International (152 HK) is well set to post a significant YoY and HoH growth in earnings in 2H23. Our discussion with the company confirmed this.  
Profit from Yicheng Qiwanli is expected to be booked and there will be profit upside from REIT listing with logistics hubs at Hangzhou and Guizhou as underlying assets.
Significant reduction in USD and HKD-denominated debt will reduce its exposure to foreign exchange losses as well as high interest rate, both will be reflected in 2H23.


Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): Conversation with Company Affirms 2H23 Outlook

<ul>
<li>We find good value in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-express-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9956:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Expressway (H) (177 HK)</a> - its 8.3x PER is cheap relative to 10.4% EPS CAGR and P/B multiple of 1.06x is below historical average.</li>
<li>It has an extremely secured dividend stream for the next two years, yielding at least 6.3%. 1Q23 result showed a solid recovery, and potentially adding upside to earnings outlook.</li>
<li>Key drivers are stronger traffic recovery, rise in contribution from clean energy, margin expansion through cost control and completion of new projects in the next two years.</li>
</ul>


We find good value in Jiangsu Expressway (H) (177 HK) - its 8.3x PER is cheap relative to 10.4% EPS CAGR and P/B multiple of 1.06x is below historical average.
It has an extremely secured dividend stream for the next two years, yielding at least 6.3%. 1Q23 result showed a solid recovery, and potentially adding upside to earnings outlook.
Key drivers are stronger traffic recovery, rise in contribution from clean energy, margin expansion through cost control and completion of new projects in the next two years.


Jiangsu Expressway (177 HK): A Decent Play Even After Rally

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 125.4% as of Oct 6th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 8.1ppt week on week, led by health care, information technology, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Cm Bank, Postal Savings, Conch Cement, Beigene, Sinopec Corp.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 125.4% as of Oct 6th.
The average A-H premium changed by 8.1ppt week on week, led by health care, information technology, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Cm Bank, Postal Savings, Conch Cement, Beigene, Sinopec Corp.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 6th): CMB, Postal Savings, Conch Cement, Beigene, Sinopec

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 117.4% as of Sep 29th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.5ppt week on week, led by health care, industrials, consumer discretionary and offset by consumer staples, utilities, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Beigene, China Vanke, Guangzhou Automobile Group, Wuapptec Co Ltd.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 117.4% as of Sep 29th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.5ppt week on week, led by health care, industrials, consumer discretionary and offset by consumer staples, utilities, real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Beigene, China Vanke, Guangzhou Automobile Group, Wuapptec Co Ltd.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 29th): Beigene, China Vanke, Guangzhou Automobile, Wuapptec, Byd

<ul>
<li>Poor 1H23 result at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen International (152 HK)</a> should have been anticipated, and we believe there is good room for sharp earnings improvement in 2H23.</li>
<li>Completion of logistics projects, more asset value realisation (through REIT and private equity funds), contribution from Yicheng Qiwanli and lower finance costs should underpin outlook.</li>
<li>SZI is an asset play with significant upside and this is reflected in the undemanding 0.42x P/B. Against its historical average of 0.67x, such a level is almost -2SD below. </li>
</ul>


Poor 1H23 result at Shenzhen International (152 HK) should have been anticipated, and we believe there is good room for sharp earnings improvement in 2H23.
Completion of logistics projects, more asset value realisation (through REIT and private equity funds), contribution from Yicheng Qiwanli and lower finance costs should underpin outlook.
SZI is an asset play with significant upside and this is reflected in the undemanding 0.42x P/B. Against its historical average of 0.67x, such a level is almost -2SD below. 


Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): Brighter Outlook in 2H23 Not to Be Overlooked

China

Shenzhen Expressway Corporation Limited primarily invests in, constructs, operates, and manages toll highways and roads, alongside other urban and transportation infrastructure. The company also engages in environmental protection, including solid waste management and clean energy power generation. It was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, People's Republic of China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Shenzhen Expressway (548 HK)

Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): Conversation with Company Affirms 2H23 Outlook

Shenzhen Intl's FY23 result is a tad below consensus, but it still logged a decent 52% YoY increase. In particular, net profit surged 1.7x YoY in...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Jiangsu Expressway (177 HK): A Decent Play Even After Rally

The recent fall in share price has put Jiangsu Expressway on an attractive yield of 7.3% and this is very secure given it has consistently paid out...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 6th): CMB, Postal Savings, Conch Cement, Beigene, Sinopec

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Cm Bank, Postal Savings, Conch Cement, Beigene, Sinopec Corp.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 29th): Beigene, China Vanke, Guangzhou Automobile, Wuapptec, Byd

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Beigene, China Vanke, Guangzhou Automobile, Wuapptec, Byd.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): Brighter Outlook in 2H23 Not to Be Overlooked

Poor 1H23 results were expected, but there is potential for strong earnings improvement in 2H23. Logistics projects, asset value realisation, and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): Conversation with Company Affirms 2H23 Outlook

Shenzhen Intl's FY23 result is a tad below consensus, but it still logged a decent 52% YoY increase. In particular, net profit surged 1.7x YoY in...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Jiangsu Expressway (177 HK): A Decent Play Even After Rally

The recent fall in share price has put Jiangsu Expressway on an attractive yield of 7.3% and this is very secure given it has consistently paid out...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 6th): CMB, Postal Savings, Conch Cement, Beigene, Sinopec

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Cm Bank, Postal Savings, Conch Cement, Beigene, Sinopec Corp.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 29th): Beigene, China Vanke, Guangzhou Automobile, Wuapptec, Byd

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Beigene, China Vanke, Guangzhou Automobile, Wuapptec, Byd.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): Brighter Outlook in 2H23 Not to Be Overlooked

​Poor 1H23 results were expected, but there is potential for strong earnings improvement in 2H23. Logistics projects, asset value realisation, and...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Poor 1H23 results were expected, but there is potential for strong earnings improvement in 2H23. Logistics projects, asset value realisation, and...