Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Two thirds of the way through the review period for the June rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 8 December.</li>
<li>There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 10.1% at the December rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 6.75bn.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the CSI500 Index over the last six weeks. There could be more outperformance till nearer the end of the review period.</li>
</ul>


Two thirds of the way through the review period for the June rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 8 December.
There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 10.1% at the December rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 6.75bn.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the CSI500 Index over the last six weeks. There could be more outperformance till nearer the end of the review period.


CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Outperforming Potential Deletes

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The quit of the centralized procurement of chemiluminescence products in Anhui directly put <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/autobio-diagnostics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30185:1" rel="noopener">Autobio Diagnostics (603658 CH)</a> in a passive position. The implications could be deeper and more complex than expected.</li>
<li>Autobio didn’t seize COVID-19 testing opportunities, leading to the doubts about the Company's market sensitivity and team execution, thus losing the opportunity to generate substantial cash flow for future acquisitions.</li>
<li>Together with weak internationalization business, Autobio's future performance growth could be uncertain and may not be able to support the rapid valuation expansion as expected.</li>
</ul>


The quit of the centralized procurement of chemiluminescence products in Anhui directly put Autobio Diagnostics (603658 CH) in a passive position. The implications could be deeper and more complex than expected.
Autobio didn’t seize COVID-19 testing opportunities, leading to the doubts about the Company's market sensitivity and team execution, thus losing the opportunity to generate substantial cash flow for future acquisitions.
Together with weak internationalization business, Autobio's future performance growth could be uncertain and may not be able to support the rapid valuation expansion as expected.


Autobio Diagnostics Co Ltd (603658.CH) - Logic Changes

Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering-A / Equity Bottom-Up

Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering-A

Recently, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-new-industries-biomedical-engineering-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29889:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering-A (300832 CH)</a> (SNIBE) released its 2021/1H financial results. The revenue was RMB1.226 billion, up 26.35% YoY. Net profit attributed to shareholders was RMB429 million, down 9.90% YoY. Net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 383 million, down 12.28% YoY. The performance was lower-than-expected. Meanwhile, there was document about the centralized procurement on test reagents in the field of chemiluminescence in Anhui Province, which was released on August 19, 2021, and SNIBE’s share price decreased about 14.34% on August 20. This insight mainly analyzed the business of the Company and the potential impact of centralized procurement.

Recently, Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering-A (300832 CH) (SNIBE) released its 2021/1H financial results. The revenue was RMB1.226 billion, up 26.35% YoY. Net profit attributed to shareholders was RMB429 million, down 9.90% YoY. Net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 383 million, down 12.28% YoY. The performance was lower-than-expected. Meanwhile, there was document about the centralized procurement on test reagents in the field of chemiluminescence in Anhui Province, which was released on August 19, 2021, and SNIBE’s share price decreased about 14.34% on August 20. This insight mainly analyzed the business of the Company and the potential impact of centralized procurement. 

New Industries Biomedical Engineering (300832.CH) - The Centralized Procurement Changes the Logic

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>The centralized procurement would be applied to chemiluminescence products, so the logic changes.</li>
<li>Recently, the National Health Commission and the National Health Care Security Administration jointly issued a new regulation about long-term prescriptions.</li>
<li>There is new information about the national VBP of insulin released.</li>
</ul>Company news:News about the updated progress on new drugs and license agreement of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innocare-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28355:1" rel="noopener">InnoCare Pharma Ltd (9969 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cspc-pharmaceutical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:229:1" rel="noopener">CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK).</a>Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 7.28%, while CSI 300 decreased 3.57% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:
The centralized procurement would be applied to chemiluminescence products, so the logic changes.
Recently, the National Health Commission and the National Health Care Security Administration jointly issued a new regulation about long-term prescriptions.
There is new information about the national VBP of insulin released.
Company news:News about the updated progress on new drugs and license agreement of BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK), InnoCare Pharma Ltd (9969 HK), CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK) and Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK).Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 7.28%, while CSI 300 decreased 3.57% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Beijing Wantai Biological Phar / Equity Bottom-Up

By the end of July 13, 2021, the stock price of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-wantai-biological-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30129:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Wantai Biological-A (603392 CH) </a>was closed at RMB279.1/share, up 3090% compared with its IPO price (RMB8.75/share) in April, 2020. Last week, Wantai announced that its wholly-owned IVD subsidiary planned to invest RMB1.336 billion to build a new industrial base. After the completion of the project, it will have a reagent production capacity of 500 million persons per year and a inspection equipment production capacity of 9000 units/year. This insight mainly analyzed the outlook of Wantai’s IVD business and its core HPV vaccine business and the related concerns.

By the end of July 13, 2021, the stock price of Beijing Wantai Biological-A (603392 CH) was closed at RMB279.1/share, up 3090% compared with its IPO price (RMB8.75/share) in April, 2020. Last week, Wantai announced that its wholly-owned IVD subsidiary planned to invest RMB1.336 billion to build a new industrial base. After the completion of the project, it will have a reagent production capacity of 500 million persons per year and a inspection equipment production capacity of 9000 units/year. This insight mainly analyzed the outlook of Wantai’s IVD business and its core HPV vaccine business and the related concerns.

Beijing Wantai Biological (603392.CH) - How to Support Its High Valuation?

China

Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering Co., Ltd. operates as a biomedical company. The Company researches, develops, produces, and sells clinical laboratory instrument and vitro diagnostic reagent. Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering also offers related technical service.

Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering-A (300832 CH)

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Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering-A (300832 CH)

CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Outperforming Potential Deletes

We see 50 changes a side for the CSI500 in Dec. The Industrials sector could take a lot of index spots from Materials as one-way turnover exceeds...

Brian Freitas

Autobio Diagnostics Co Ltd (603658.CH) - Logic Changes

It's not wise for Autobio to quit chemiluminescence centralized procurement in Anhui.The failure of seizing COVID-19 testing opportunity and weak...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

New Industries Biomedical Engineering (300832.CH) - The Centralized Procurement Changes the Logic

The insight analyzed Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering in terms of its business,the potential impact of centralized procurement in the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.20)

The article analyzed the logic change due to the centralized procurement on chemiluminescence products, new regulation about long-term...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Beijing Wantai Biological (603392.CH) - How to Support Its High Valuation?

This article mainly analyzed Wantai in terms of the two core business IVD and HPV vaccine, their business outlook, the market pattern and the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)