Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our prior EM Strategy (October 2) we discussed that as long as EEM-US is above our important line-in-the-sand at $37, we were buyers on the pullback.</li>
<li>This support level held and EEM-US now displays a bullish 3-month downtrend reversal as the DXY appears to be breaking below $105.70, all bullish signals signaling additional upside-- buy.</li>
<li>We are bullish as long as $36.50-$37 support holds on EEM-US. Our first target is $42, which is 1.5+ year resistance. Remain overweight India, and we're upgrading Poland/Greece to overweight</li>
</ul>


In our prior EM Strategy (October 2) we discussed that as long as EEM-US is above our important line-in-the-sand at $37, we were buyers on the pullback.
This support level held and EEM-US now displays a bullish 3-month downtrend reversal as the DXY appears to be breaking below $105.70, all bullish signals signaling additional upside-- buy.
We are bullish as long as $36.50-$37 support holds on EEM-US. Our first target is $42, which is 1.5+ year resistance. Remain overweight India, and we're upgrading Poland/Greece to overweight


MSCI EM Index Reversing 3-Month Downtrend -- Buy. Remain Overweight India, Upgrading Poland & Greece

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>The centralized procurement would be applied to chemiluminescence products, so the logic changes.</li>
<li>Recently, the National Health Commission and the National Health Care Security Administration jointly issued a new regulation about long-term prescriptions.</li>
<li>There is new information about the national VBP of insulin released.</li>
</ul>Company news:News about the updated progress on new drugs and license agreement of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innocare-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28355:1" rel="noopener">InnoCare Pharma Ltd (9969 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cspc-pharmaceutical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:229:1" rel="noopener">CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK).</a>Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 7.28%, while CSI 300 decreased 3.57% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:
The centralized procurement would be applied to chemiluminescence products, so the logic changes.
Recently, the National Health Commission and the National Health Care Security Administration jointly issued a new regulation about long-term prescriptions.
There is new information about the national VBP of insulin released.
Company news:News about the updated progress on new drugs and license agreement of BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK), InnoCare Pharma Ltd (9969 HK), CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK) and Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK).Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 7.28%, while CSI 300 decreased 3.57% over the same period of time.Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

1. Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>In the aspect of Chinese patent medicines, the main varieties of proprietary Chinese medicine are expected to be the first to be included in VBP, and medicines of stable quality are a higher priority.</li>
<li>Chemiluminescence is in the stage of rapid growth and the trend of intensive procurement of IVD consumables could drive import substitution.</li>
<li>The wellness tourism market has a good development environment and a huge growth potential.</li>
</ul>2. Company news:News about the updated progress of COVID-19 vaccine and new drugs from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cansino-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27739:1" rel="noopener">CanSino Biologics Inc (6185 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/antengene-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29705:1" rel="noopener">Antengene (6996 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akeso-biopharma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28830:1" rel="noopener">Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK)</a>.3. Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 8.2%, while CSI 300 decreased 7.65% over the same period of time. 4. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

1. Industry viewpoints:
In the aspect of Chinese patent medicines, the main varieties of proprietary Chinese medicine are expected to be the first to be included in VBP, and medicines of stable quality are a higher priority.
Chemiluminescence is in the stage of rapid growth and the trend of intensive procurement of IVD consumables could drive import substitution.
The wellness tourism market has a good development environment and a huge growth potential.
2. Company news:News about the updated progress of COVID-19 vaccine and new drugs from CanSino Biologics Inc (6185 HK), Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK), Antengene (6996 HK), and Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK).3. Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 8.2%, while CSI 300 decreased 7.65% over the same period of time. 4. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Compared with developed countries, China's IVD industry started relatively late, and the overall technical level still lags far behind that of developed countries in Europe and America. However, in recent years, with the acceleration of the aging problem and the continuous growth of residents' income, the IVD has become one of the most active and fastest growing industries in China.

Compared with developed countries, China's IVD industry started relatively late, and the overall technical level still lags far behind that of developed countries in Europe and America. However, in recent years, with the acceleration of the aging problem and the continuous growth of residents' income, the IVD has become one of the most active and fastest growing industries in China. 

Industry Report - Insights on China IVD Industry

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Equity Capital Markets

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics / Equity Capital Markets

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH)

<ul>
<li>Mindray is seeking to raise at least USD500m via a Hong Kong listing. Huatai and JPM are the deal sponsors.</li>
<li>This note covers Mindray's in vitro diagnostics, patient monitoring and life support, medical imaging, and peer valuation.</li>
<li>We also discuss our preliminary thoughts on valuation based on A-H premium.</li>
</ul>


Mindray is seeking to raise at least USD500m via a Hong Kong listing. Huatai and JPM are the deal sponsors.
This note covers Mindray's in vitro diagnostics, patient monitoring and life support, medical imaging, and peer valuation.
We also discuss our preliminary thoughts on valuation based on A-H premium.


Mindray (迈瑞医疗) A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

China

Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering Co., Ltd. operates as a biomedical company. The Company researches, develops, produces, and sells clinical laboratory instrument and vitro diagnostic reagent. Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering also offers related technical service.

Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering-A (300832 CH)

Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering-A

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Shenzhen New Industries Biomedical Engineering-A (300832 CH)

MSCI EM Index Reversing 3-Month Downtrend -- Buy. Remain Overweight India, Upgrading Poland & Greece

In our prior EM Strategy (10/2/23) we discussed that, if $EEM is above $37, we were buyers on the pullback. Support held and now EEM displays a...

Vermilion Research

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.20)

The article analyzed the logic change due to the centralized procurement on chemiluminescence products, new regulation about long-term...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.26)

This article analyzed the VBP policy on Chinese patent medicines, the growth potential in the chemiluminescence and intensive procurement of IVD...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Industry Report - Insights on China IVD Industry

The article analyzed China IVD industry in terms of business mode, trend on efficiency and size of equipment and operation, opportunity in import...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Mindray (迈瑞医疗) A+H Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

Mindray is seeking to raise at least USD500m through an A+H listing. The note covers business quality, industry context, peer valuation, and A-H...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)