Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Shin Kong Financial Holding / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-kong-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15351:1" rel="noopener">Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taishin-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:715:1" rel="noopener">Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT)</a> are scheduled to merge in less than 6 weeks. </li>
<li>The recent TWD strength has meant sharp losses for Shin Kong Life, but the merger agreement the FSC agreed has Taishin explicitly supporting Shin Kong Life. </li>
<li>There are near-term flows and technical limitations which make this situation interesting again. Grab your shorts! It could be a bumpy ride!</li>
</ul>



Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT) and Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT) are scheduled to merge in less than 6 weeks. 
The recent TWD strength has meant sharp losses for Shin Kong Life, but the merger agreement the FSC agreed has Taishin explicitly supporting Shin Kong Life. 
There are near-term flows and technical limitations which make this situation interesting again. Grab your shorts! It could be a bumpy ride!


Shin Kong (2888 TT)/Taishin (2887 TT) - Short Timer, FX Risk, Index Flows - Time To Buy Vs Peers

<ul>
<li>The last couple of days have seen the TWD increase value against the USD extremely sharply. This has caused the Shin Kong/Taishin risk arb spread to widen. </li>
<li>There is no expectation that the merger will be delayed, but the change in USDTWD rate introduces a new dynamic into the ShinKong-as-Taishin-vs Peers trade.</li>
<li>Careful consideration of this trade going forward is worthwhile. What may have been the better trade may no longer be the better trade.</li>
</ul>


The last couple of days have seen the TWD increase value against the USD extremely sharply. This has caused the Shin Kong/Taishin risk arb spread to widen. 
There is no expectation that the merger will be delayed, but the change in USDTWD rate introduces a new dynamic into the ShinKong-as-Taishin-vs Peers trade.
Careful consideration of this trade going forward is worthwhile. What may have been the better trade may no longer be the better trade.


ShinKong (2888 TT)/Taishin (2887 TT) - Time To Deal Is Shorter, But Risk To Peers Is Higher

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

<ul>
<li>The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs for the June 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Currently, we see one change for T50 and one change for T100.</li>
</ul>


The T50 index represents the top 50 largest stocks by market capitalization in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE). The T100 index represents the next 100 largest names (51-150 ranks).
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs for the June 2025 index rebal event.
Currently, we see one change for T50 and one change for T100.


Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Jun25: Taishin-Shin Kong Merger Could Cause Two Changes

<ul>
<li>Late Monday, The Financial Supervisory Commission approved the merger where <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-kong-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15351:1" rel="noopener">Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT)</a> is to be absorbed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taishin-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:715:1" rel="noopener">Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT)</a>. Announcement <a href="https://www.fsc.gov.tw/ch/home.jsp?id=96&amp;parentpath=0,2&amp;mcustomize=news_view.jsp&amp;dataserno=202503310004&amp;aplistdn=ou=news,ou=multisite,ou=chinese,ou=ap_root,o=fsc,c=tw&amp;dtable=News" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>.</li>
<li>Yesterday, the chairmen of both Shin Kong and Taishin decided the merger base date, which has been set a bit further out than even I expected, at 24 July 2025.</li>
<li>The terms tightened yesterday. There is still a worthwhile switch to be done (or arb if you have cheap borrow), and NEWCO is cheap to peers, STILL.</li>
</ul>


Late Monday, The Financial Supervisory Commission approved the merger where Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT) is to be absorbed by Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT). Announcement here.
Yesterday, the chairmen of both Shin Kong and Taishin decided the merger base date, which has been set a bit further out than even I expected, at 24 July 2025.
The terms tightened yesterday. There is still a worthwhile switch to be done (or arb if you have cheap borrow), and NEWCO is cheap to peers, STILL.


Shin Kong (2888 TT)/Taishin (2887 TT) Deal Gets FSC Approval - Still A Good Swap

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 20th. The aggregated holding was USD1,066.9bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,797mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Wistron, Asia Vital Components, Delta Electronics, Elite Material, Evergreen Marine, Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 20th. The aggregated holding was USD1,066.9bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,797mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Wistron, Asia Vital Components, Delta Electronics, Elite Material, Evergreen Marine, Cathay Financial, Fubon Financial.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 20th): TSMC, Wistron, Asia Vital Components, Delta Electronics

Taiwan

Shin Kong Financial Holding Co., Ltd. is a holding company.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company provides traditional life, health, group and accident insurance products and services, as well as acts as a broker, dealer and underwriter for financial securities.

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Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT)

Shin Kong (2888 TT)/Taishin (2887 TT) - Short Timer, FX Risk, Index Flows - Time To Buy Vs Peers

Shin Kong and Taishin have suffered vs Other FHCs as stronger TWD has caused mark-to-market bond losses. But peer buying for index reverses as...

Travis Lundy

ShinKong (2888 TT)/Taishin (2887 TT) - Time To Deal Is Shorter, But Risk To Peers Is Higher

For months, Shin Kong and Taishin gained ground vs Peers after underperforming to a 10-year relative low. Now, USDTWD FX volatility and strength...

Travis Lundy

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Jun25: Taishin-Shin Kong Merger Could Cause Two Changes

Shin Kong could get added to T50 in June and then get deleted from T50 in July when the Taishin-Shin Kong merger becomes effective. This could...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Shin Kong (2888 TT)/Taishin (2887 TT) Deal Gets FSC Approval - Still A Good Swap

The Shin Kong/Taishin Deal has been approved. The merger base date has been set for late July. There is still a good gross spread to take and NEWCO...

Travis Lundy

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 20th): TSMC, Wistron, Asia Vital Components, Delta Electronics

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), Wistron (3231 TT), Asia Vital...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Shin Kong (2888 TT)/Taishin (2887 TT) - Short Timer, FX Risk, Index Flows - Time To Buy Vs Peers

Shin Kong and Taishin have suffered vs Other FHCs as stronger TWD has caused mark-to-market bond losses. But peer buying for index reverses as...

Travis Lundy

ShinKong (2888 TT)/Taishin (2887 TT) - Time To Deal Is Shorter, But Risk To Peers Is Higher

For months, Shin Kong and Taishin gained ground vs Peers after underperforming to a 10-year relative low. Now, USDTWD FX volatility and strength...

Travis Lundy

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/​​​100 Jun25: Taishin-Shin Kong Merger Could Cause Two Changes

Shin Kong could get added to T50 in June and then get deleted from T50 in July when the Taishin-Shin Kong merger becomes effective. This could...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Shin Kong (2888 TT)/Taishin (2887 TT) Deal Gets FSC Approval - Still A Good Swap

The Shin Kong/Taishin Deal has been approved. The merger base date has been set for late July. There is still a good gross spread to take and NEWCO...

Travis Lundy

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 20th): TSMC, Wistron, Asia Vital Components, Delta Electronics

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), Wistron (3231 TT), Asia Vital...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard T50/100 Jun25: Taishin-Shin Kong Merger Could Cause Two Changes