Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Shin Kong Financial Holding / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taishin-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:715:1" rel="noopener">Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT)</a> has raised its bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-kong-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15351:1" rel="noopener">Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ctbc-financial-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:436:1" rel="noopener">CTBC Financial Holding (2891 TT)</a> has dropped its bid after FSC rejection.</li>
<li>Shin Kong's Board approved the revised (25% higher) Taishin bid. Shares in Shin Kong fell sharply on the FSC rejection of the CTBC bid. </li>
<li>Taishin's bid clearly has governance/related party issues and a significant portion of the "non-Taishin" reps on the Shin Kong Board had issues. October 9th passage is not a done deal. </li>
</ul>



Taishin Financial Holding (2887 TT) has raised its bid for Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT) and CTBC Financial Holding (2891 TT) has dropped its bid after FSC rejection.
Shin Kong's Board approved the revised (25% higher) Taishin bid. Shares in Shin Kong fell sharply on the FSC rejection of the CTBC bid. 
Taishin's bid clearly has governance/related party issues and a significant portion of the "non-Taishin" reps on the Shin Kong Board had issues. October 9th passage is not a done deal. 


Shin Kong (2888 TT) Deal - Activism, Proxy Advice, Proxy Fight, Voting Risk, and Discounts

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taishin-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:715:1" rel="noopener">Taishin</a>'s bid clearly has governance/related party issues and a significant portion of the "non-Taishin" reps on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-kong-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15351:1" rel="noopener">Shin Kong</a> Board had issues. October 9th passage is not a done deal.</li>
<li>KKR's "bid" for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASMPT (522 HK)</a> has all the hallmarks of the "approach" by PAG last year. Which came to nought. From a regulatory standpoint, it's unlikely to get up.</li>
<li>Never a dull moment for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-zinc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17944:1" rel="noopener">Korea Zinc (010130 KS)</a>. The Choi family makes Offers for KZ and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/young-poong-precision-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16188:1" rel="noopener">Young Poong Precision (036560 KS)</a> (YPP). Then MBK counters for both.</li>
</ul>



Taishin's bid clearly has governance/related party issues and a significant portion of the "non-Taishin" reps on the Shin Kong Board had issues. October 9th passage is not a done deal.
KKR's "bid" for ASMPT (522 HK) has all the hallmarks of the "approach" by PAG last year. Which came to nought. From a regulatory standpoint, it's unlikely to get up.
Never a dull moment for Korea Zinc (010130 KS). The Choi family makes Offers for KZ and Young Poong Precision (036560 KS) (YPP). Then MBK counters for both.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Shin Kong/Taishin, ASMPT, Korea Zinc/Young Poong Precision, Sigma Health

<ul>
<li>I tally 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Three new deals discussed this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-gaia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8339:1" rel="noopener">T Gaia (3738 JP)</a>'s and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinsegae-eng-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11972:1" rel="noopener">Shinsegae E&amp;C (034300 KS)</a> Tender Offers, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mphb-capital-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8540:1" rel="noopener">MPHB (MPHB MK)</a>'s SCR. Plus <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASMPT (522 HK)</a> in the crosshairs. Again.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/descente-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8225:1" rel="noopener">Descente Ltd (8114 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-kong-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15351:1" rel="noopener">Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-smiles-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2891:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a>.
</li>
</ul>


I tally 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Three new deals discussed this week: T Gaia (3738 JP)'s and Shinsegae E&amp;C (034300 KS) Tender Offers, and MPHB (MPHB MK)'s SCR. Plus ASMPT (522 HK) in the crosshairs. Again.
Key updates took place on: Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU), Descente Ltd (8114 JP), Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT), Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU), and Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK).



(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Descente, Shin Kong Financial, T Gaia, Shinsegae E&C, MPHB, Pacific Smiles

<ul>
<li>For the month of September 2024, 15 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$23bn. </li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in September was ~43%. The average premium YTD is ~44%</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of September 2024, 15 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$23bn. 
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in September was ~43%. The average premium YTD is ~44%
This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Sep 2024: GTJA/Haitong Sec, Korea Zinc/YPP, Hotel Property, Virgin Money, Raysum

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 27th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,017.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,224mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Evergreen Marine Corp Taiwan, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Wan Hai Lines, Jinan Acetate Chemical, Asmedia Technology, Ase Industrial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 27th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,017.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,224mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Evergreen Marine Corp Taiwan, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Wan Hai Lines, Jinan Acetate Chemical, Asmedia Technology, Ase Industrial.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 27th): TSMC, Evergreen Marine Corp Taiwan

Taiwan

Shin Kong Financial Holding Co., Ltd. is a holding company.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company provides traditional life, health, group and accident insurance products and services, as well as acts as a broker, dealer and underwriter for financial securities.

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Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT)

Shin Kong (2888 TT) Deal - Activism, Proxy Advice, Proxy Fight, Voting Risk, and Discounts

Shin Kong & Taishin EGMs are Weds 9 Oct. Both firms are offering gifts to attend. Worth watching CTBC meeting 11 Oct too. Proxy solicitation...

Travis Lundy

Last Week in Event SPACE: Shin Kong/Taishin, ASMPT, Korea Zinc/Young Poong Precision, Sigma Health

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Descente, Shin Kong Financial, T Gaia, Shinsegae E&C, MPHB, Pacific Smiles

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Sep 2024: GTJA/Haitong Sec, Korea Zinc/YPP, Hotel Property, Virgin Money, Raysum

For the month of Sep, 15 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of just ~US$23bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Sep 27th): TSMC, Evergreen Marine Corp Taiwan

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Evergreen Marine Corp Taiwan, Hon Hai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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