Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This article discusses the potential inclusions and exclusions of KOSDAQ150 rebalance in December 2023 (especially those that are highlighted by the locals).</li>
<li>The potential inclusion candidates include Lunit, Shinsung Delta Tech, and JNTC. The eight potential inclusion candidates are up on average 122% YTD, sharply outperforming KOSDAQ in the same period. </li>
<li>Stocks that are expected to be excluded in the KOSDAQ150 index include Aju IB Investment, HFR, Danal, and Sangsangin.</li>
</ul>


This article discusses the potential inclusions and exclusions of KOSDAQ150 rebalance in December 2023 (especially those that are highlighted by the locals).
The potential inclusion candidates include Lunit, Shinsung Delta Tech, and JNTC. The eight potential inclusion candidates are up on average 122% YTD, sharply outperforming KOSDAQ in the same period. 
Stocks that are expected to be excluded in the KOSDAQ150 index include Aju IB Investment, HFR, Danal, and Sangsangin.


KOSDAQ150 Rebalance in December 2023 Highlighted by Locals

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The coming week has a lot of review periods ending - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">ChiNext</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">SENSEX</a>, among others.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-stock-exchange-tokyo-price-index-topix" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22910:1" rel="noopener">TOPIX</a> rebalance will be implemented on Monday while the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-x-lithium-battery-tech-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32745:1" rel="noopener">Global X Lithium &amp; Battery Tech ETF (LIT US)</a> and IDX indices will rebalance at the close on Tuesday.</li>
<li>There were outflows from Emerging Market ETFs including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:438:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets (EEM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-core-msci-emerging-mar" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32967:1" rel="noopener">iShares Core Emerging Mar (IEMG),</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/schwab-emerging-markets-equi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32879:1" rel="noopener">Schwab Emerging Markets Equi (SCHE)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-edge-msci-min-vol-emerging-markets-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:725:1" rel="noopener">IShares Edge Min Vol Emerging Markets ETF (EEMV)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The coming week has a lot of review periods ending - KOSPI 200, KOSDAQ 150, CSI 300, CSI 500, SSE50, STAR50, ChiNext and SENSEX, among others.
The TOPIX rebalance will be implemented on Monday while the Global X Lithium &amp; Battery Tech ETF (LIT US) and IDX indices will rebalance at the close on Tuesday.
There were outflows from Emerging Market ETFs including iShares Emerging Markets (EEM), iShares Core Emerging Mar (IEMG), Schwab Emerging Markets Equi (SCHE) and IShares Edge Min Vol Emerging Markets ETF (EEMV).


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: KS200, KQ150, Yuanta Div+, LIT, HSCI, IDX, Japan Positioning

<ul>
<li>KRX has amended the stock selection methodology for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI2 INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDQ150 INDEX</a> and added 'Expert Judgement' as a criteria.</li>
<li>The qualitative and quantitative criteria and the detailed filtering standards will be described in the manual but will <strong>NOT</strong> be publicly disclosed.</li>
<li>There is no change from using full market cap to free float market cap in stock selection, so the stocks that could be added/deleted will be broadly same as forecasts.</li>
</ul>


KRX has amended the stock selection methodology for the KOSPI2 INDEX and KOSDQ150 INDEX and added 'Expert Judgement' as a criteria.
The qualitative and quantitative criteria and the detailed filtering standards will be described in the manual but will NOT be publicly disclosed.
There is no change from using full market cap to free float market cap in stock selection, so the stocks that could be added/deleted will be broadly same as forecasts.


KOSPI200/KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalances: KRX Increases Opacity on Stock Selection

<ul>
<li>The changes at the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225</a> September rebalance were announced on 4 September. The rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> and HSCI was implemented on the same day.</li>
<li>The changes to the MVIS indices were announced on 8 September and will be implemented at the close on 15 September. The S&amp;P/ASX family will also rebalance on 15 September.</li>
<li>After a month and a half of big inflows to onshore China ETFs, there were small outflows from a lot of ETFs during the week.</li>
</ul>


The changes at the Nikkei 225 September rebalance were announced on 4 September. The rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH and HSCI was implemented on the same day.
The changes to the MVIS indices were announced on 8 September and will be implemented at the close on 15 September. The S&amp;P/ASX family will also rebalance on 15 September.
After a month and a half of big inflows to onshore China ETFs, there were small outflows from a lot of ETFs during the week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, ASX, CSI300, KOSDAQ150, Yuanta ETFs, MVA, MVW, SMH

Equity Capital Markets

Doosan Robotics  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The bankers provided additional valuation framework using P/S basis for Doosan Robotics and based on this methodology, the IPO price range is from 19,000 won to 24,000 won. </li>
<li>This does not mean that the bankers have actually lowered the IPO price range but rather they have provided another framework to value the company. </li>
<li>We continue to have a Positive view of the Doosan Robotics IPO. </li>
</ul>


The bankers provided additional valuation framework using P/S basis for Doosan Robotics and based on this methodology, the IPO price range is from 19,000 won to 24,000 won. 
This does not mean that the bankers have actually lowered the IPO price range but rather they have provided another framework to value the company. 
We continue to have a Positive view of the Doosan Robotics IPO. 


Doosan Robotics: Bankers Provide Additional P/S Valuation and Surge in Price of Rainbow Robotics

South Korea

Shinsung Delta Tech Co., Ltd. manufactures electronic components. The company's product includes control panel, top cover, drum tub, and blower for washing machine and air conditioner.  The Company also produces automobile part and light guide panel for Thin Film Transistor-Liquid Crystal Display (TFT-LCD).

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Shinsung Delta Tech (065350 KS)

KOSDAQ150 Rebalance in December 2023 Highlighted by Locals

This article discusses the potential inclusions and exclusions of KOSDAQ150 rebalance in December 2023 (especially those that are highlighted by...

Douglas Kim

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: KS200, KQ150, Yuanta Div+, LIT, HSCI, IDX, Japan Positioning

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

KOSPI200/KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalances: KRX Increases Opacity on Stock Selection

KRX has amended the stock selection for the KOSPI2/KOSDAQ150 and added 'Expert Judgement' as a criteria. The problem is that the criteria are not...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, ASX, CSI300, KOSDAQ150, Yuanta ETFs, MVA, MVW, SMH

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Doosan Robotics: Bankers Provide Additional P/S Valuation and Surge in Price of Rainbow Robotics

The bankers provided additional valuation framework using P/S basis for Doosan Robotics and based on this methodology, the IPO price range is from...

Douglas Kim

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