Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumitomo-pharma-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1935:1" rel="noopener">Sumitomo Pharma (4506 JP)</a> revenue was up 19% YoY to ¥347.7B in 9MFY26 on the back of continued strong sales in North America (up 44% YoY to ¥257.5B).</li>
<li>Orgovyx (revenue jumped 100% YoY to ¥115.6B) witnessed solid patient growth in medicare patients while Gemtesa (revenue rose 67.5% to ¥72.3B) improved market share.</li>
<li>Sumitomo Pharma is well on track, focused on expanding revenue, reducing costs, and securing future business drivers.</li>
</ul>



Sumitomo Pharma (4506 JP) revenue was up 19% YoY to ¥347.7B in 9MFY26 on the back of continued strong sales in North America (up 44% YoY to ¥257.5B).
Orgovyx (revenue jumped 100% YoY to ¥115.6B) witnessed solid patient growth in medicare patients while Gemtesa (revenue rose 67.5% to ¥72.3B) improved market share.
Sumitomo Pharma is well on track, focused on expanding revenue, reducing costs, and securing future business drivers.


2026 High Conviction Update: Sumitomo Pharma (4506 JP): Key Drugs Shine; FY26 Guidance Reiterated

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kyowa-kirin-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18055:1" rel="noopener">Kyowa Kirin Co Ltd (4151 JP)</a> posted flat revenue in 2025. Core operating margin expands 200bps to 22.1% on lower SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expense.</li>
<li>Company announced 2026 guidance. Revenue expected to increase 4.7% to ¥520B. Higher R&amp;D is expected to drag operating profit while core profit is expected to decline 5% YoY to ¥80B.</li>
<li>New drugs Libmeldy/Lenmeldy and Phozevel are seeing strong uptake. Ziftomenib, rocatinlimab and infigratinib will drive revenue numbers in medium to long term.</li>
</ul>



Kyowa Kirin Co Ltd (4151 JP) posted flat revenue in 2025. Core operating margin expands 200bps to 22.1% on lower SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expense.
Company announced 2026 guidance. Revenue expected to increase 4.7% to ¥520B. Higher R&amp;D is expected to drag operating profit while core profit is expected to decline 5% YoY to ¥80B.
New drugs Libmeldy/Lenmeldy and Phozevel are seeing strong uptake. Ziftomenib, rocatinlimab and infigratinib will drive revenue numbers in medium to long term.


Kyowa Kirin (4151 JP): Margin Expand, Flat Revenue in 2025, Temporary Cost Burden To Be Felt in 2026

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/astellas-pharma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6091:1" rel="noopener">Astellas Pharma (4503 JP)</a> reported 10% YoY revenue growth in 9MFY26. Core operating profit increased to ¥442.1B, up 49% YoY driven by cost optimization through sustainable margin transformation program.</li>
<li>Strategic brands (Padcev, Izervay, Veozah, Vyloy, Xospata), which recorded underlying growth of 45% YoY and contributed 22% of revenue, drove overall revenue growth.</li>
<li>Astellas revised FY26 guidance upwards considering the strong performance of Xtandi and Mirabegron, along with the trend of foreign exchange rates.</li>
</ul>



Astellas Pharma (4503 JP) reported 10% YoY revenue growth in 9MFY26. Core operating profit increased to ¥442.1B, up 49% YoY driven by cost optimization through sustainable margin transformation program.
Strategic brands (Padcev, Izervay, Veozah, Vyloy, Xospata), which recorded underlying growth of 45% YoY and contributed 22% of revenue, drove overall revenue growth.
Astellas revised FY26 guidance upwards considering the strong performance of Xtandi and Mirabegron, along with the trend of foreign exchange rates.


Astellas Pharma (4503 JP): Strategic Brands Gain Further Momentum, Margins Expand, Guidance Revised

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Bloomberg reported that an entity owned by the CEO is considering an MBO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hisamitsu-pharmaceutical-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17008:1" rel="noopener">Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co (4530 JP)</a> at a valuation of around JPY450 billion.</li>
<li>Assuming that the rumoured valuation refers to market cap based on outstanding shares, it suggests an offer around JPY6,000, a 15.4% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>Hisamitsu confirmed that it plans to announce an MBO today. An offer of JPY6,000 is attractive compared to precedent transactions and peer multiples.  </li>
</ul>


Bloomberg reported that an entity owned by the CEO is considering an MBO of Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co (4530 JP) at a valuation of around JPY450 billion.
Assuming that the rumoured valuation refers to market cap based on outstanding shares, it suggests an offer around JPY6,000, a 15.4% premium to the last close.
Hisamitsu confirmed that it plans to announce an MBO today. An offer of JPY6,000 is attractive compared to precedent transactions and peer multiples.  


Hisamitsu Pharma (4530 JP): An Imminent MBO at a Rumoured JPY450 Billion Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kyowa-kirin-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18055:1" rel="noopener">Kyowa Kirin Co Ltd (4151 JP) </a>announced that ziftomenib is now commercially available in the U.S. Company will be eligible for 50% profit sharing from drug sales in the U.S.</li>
<li>Rocatinlimab, under Phase 3 trials, represents a potentially novel upstream approach for the management of mild to severe atopic dermatitis. It is also undergoing Phase 3 trials for Prurigo nodularis.</li>
<li>2026 will be an inflection point. Ziftomenib results will slowly fall in place. Positive results of rocatinlimab and new manufacturing facilities has potential to play out in long term.</li>
</ul>



Kyowa Kirin Co Ltd (4151 JP) announced that ziftomenib is now commercially available in the U.S. Company will be eligible for 50% profit sharing from drug sales in the U.S.
Rocatinlimab, under Phase 3 trials, represents a potentially novel upstream approach for the management of mild to severe atopic dermatitis. It is also undergoing Phase 3 trials for Prurigo nodularis.
2026 will be an inflection point. Ziftomenib results will slowly fall in place. Positive results of rocatinlimab and new manufacturing facilities has potential to play out in long term.


Kyowa Kirin (4151 JP): Ziftomenib Approval and Commercialization A Positive, What Lies Ahead?

Japan

Shionogi & Company Ltd., is a pharmaceutical company. The Company develops prescription & over-the-counter drugs and diagnostics.

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Shionogi & Co (4507 JP)

2026 High Conviction Update: Sumitomo Pharma (4506 JP): Key Drugs Shine; FY26 Guidance Reiterated

Sumitomo Pharma and RACTHERA (JV with Sumitomo Chemicals) announced that the regenerative medical product Amchepry has been listed as an item for...

Tina Banerjee

Kyowa Kirin (4151 JP): Margin Expand, Flat Revenue in 2025, Temporary Cost Burden To Be Felt in 2026

Kyowa Kirin posted flat 2025 revenue, but saw expansion in core operating margin. 2026 guidance shows revenue growth but cost pressure. Drug...

Tina Banerjee

Astellas Pharma (4503 JP): Strategic Brands Gain Further Momentum, Margins Expand, Guidance Revised

Astellas Pharma sees revenue growth in 9MFY26 driven by strategic brands and cost optimization lead to an increase in core profits. Revised FY26...

Tina Banerjee

Hisamitsu Pharma (4530 JP): An Imminent MBO at a Rumoured JPY450 Billion Valuation

Hisamitsu confirmed that it plans to announce an MBO today. An offer at the rumoured JPY450bn valuation is attractive compared to precedent...

Arun George

Kyowa Kirin (4151 JP): Ziftomenib Approval and Commercialization A Positive, What Lies Ahead?

Kyowa Kirin's ziftomenib is now commercially available in the U.S. Rocatinlimab shows promise for atopic dermatitis and Prurigo nodularis in Phase...

Tina Banerjee

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Market Cap (USDm)

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2026 High Conviction Update: Sumitomo Pharma (4506 JP): Key Drugs Shine; FY26 Guidance Reiterated

Sumitomo Pharma and RACTHERA (JV with Sumitomo Chemicals) announced that the regenerative medical product Amchepry has been listed as an item for...

Tina Banerjee

Kyowa Kirin (4151 JP): Margin Expand, Flat Revenue in 2025, Temporary Cost Burden To Be Felt in 2026

​Kyowa Kirin posted flat 2025 revenue, but saw expansion in core operating margin. 2026 guidance shows revenue growth but cost pressure. Drug...

Tina Banerjee

Astellas Pharma (4503 JP): Strategic Brands Gain Further Momentum, Margins Expand, Guidance Revised

​Astellas Pharma sees revenue growth in 9MFY26 driven by strategic brands and cost optimization lead to an increase in core profits. Revised FY26...

Tina Banerjee

Hisamitsu Pharma (4530 JP): An Imminent MBO at a Rumoured JPY450 Billion Valuation

Hisamitsu confirmed that it plans to announce an MBO today. An offer at the rumoured JPY450bn valuation is attractive compared to precedent...

Arun George

Kyowa Kirin (4151 JP): Ziftomenib Approval and Commercialization A Positive, What Lies Ahead?

​Kyowa Kirin's ziftomenib is now commercially available in the U.S. Rocatinlimab shows promise for atopic dermatitis and Prurigo nodularis in Phase...

Tina Banerjee

Kyowa Kirin posted flat 2025 revenue, but saw expansion in core operating margin. 2026 guidance shows revenue growth but cost pressure. Drug...

Astellas Pharma sees revenue growth in 9MFY26 driven by strategic brands and cost optimization lead to an increase in core profits. Revised FY26...

Kyowa Kirin's ziftomenib is now commercially available in the U.S. Rocatinlimab shows promise for atopic dermatitis and Prurigo nodularis in Phase...