Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities (MSCI ACWI) continue to hold above $93 on ACWI-US, a level that, since January, we had anticipated would cap upside in 2023. </li>
<li>While ACWI-US remains below $96-$97 (a target we discussed was possible in our April 18, 2023 Int’l Macro Vision), we could easily see $93 act as support moving forward.</li>
<li>Therefore, we are bullish on global equities as long as ACWI-US is above $93, targeting $110.29. This is the measured move price target following the inverse head-and-shoulders breakout.</li>
</ul>


Global equities (MSCI ACWI) continue to hold above $93 on ACWI-US, a level that, since January, we had anticipated would cap upside in 2023. 
While ACWI-US remains below $96-$97 (a target we discussed was possible in our April 18, 2023 Int’l Macro Vision), we could easily see $93 act as support moving forward.
Therefore, we are bullish on global equities as long as ACWI-US is above $93, targeting $110.29. This is the measured move price target following the inverse head-and-shoulders breakout.


MSCI ACWI-US Bullish Above $93; EURO STOXX 50 Holding At Uptrend; Buys in Discretionary, Tech, Svcs.

Independent Investment Research & Investor, Maverick Equity Research

Maverick Equity Research

Independent Investment Research & Investor

Independent Investment Research & Investor: value, dividend and growth stocks. Risk management & hedging for an all weather portfolio.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>All 6 ETFs positive in 2023 while ARKW ARKF ARKK ARKQ booming with 35%, 27%, 25% &amp; 17% respectively.</li><li>Risk appetite for the Innovation/Hyper Growth thematic is on!</li><li>Enhanced Price Action view: Ark 6 ETFs 2023 Returns &amp; Rebounders from their 52-week low + I added S&amp;P 500 (SPY) and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) for comparison</li></ul>

All 6 ETFs positive in 2023 while ARKW ARKF ARKK ARKQ booming with 35%, 27%, 25% &amp; 17% respectively.Risk appetite for the Innovation/Hyper Growth thematic is on!Enhanced Price Action view: Ark 6 ETFs 2023 Returns &amp; Rebounders from their 52-week low + I added S&amp;P 500 (SPY) and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) for comparison

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Shopify managed to surpass the revenue expectations as well as the earnings expectations of Wall Street.</li><li>The company continued to build its merchant base in Q1 with excellent growth in all geographies and merchant sizes.</li><li>GMV was $50 billion in the first quarter, up 15% year on year or 18% in constant currency terms, as merchants delivered another robust quarter of growth.</li></ul>

Shopify managed to surpass the revenue expectations as well as the earnings expectations of Wall Street.The company continued to build its merchant base in Q1 with excellent growth in all geographies and merchant sizes.GMV was $50 billion in the first quarter, up 15% year on year or 18% in constant currency terms, as merchants delivered another robust quarter of growth.

Shopify Inc.: Post-Pandemic Slowdown Forced Shopify To Sell Deliverr & Logistics Assets? – Key Drivers

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>Our recent interviews with Shein's 3P merchants suggest that Shein's newly launched 3P businesses, which include ODM and marketplace models, are specifically targeting Temu and Amazon, respectively; </li>
<li>Currently, most merchants have expressed a positive attitude towards Shein's 3P business due to the large traffic and reduced competition resulting from its high entry barriers; </li>
<li>While we believe that PDD may face increased competition, we maintain a long-term BUY rating. Additionally, we anticipate that Shein's 3P expansion will gradually affect Amazon and Shopify.</li>
</ul>


Our recent interviews with Shein's 3P merchants suggest that Shein's newly launched 3P businesses, which include ODM and marketplace models, are specifically targeting Temu and Amazon, respectively; 
Currently, most merchants have expressed a positive attitude towards Shein's 3P business due to the large traffic and reduced competition resulting from its high entry barriers; 
While we believe that PDD may face increased competition, we maintain a long-term BUY rating. Additionally, we anticipate that Shein's 3P expansion will gradually affect Amazon and Shopify.


[Blue Lotus E-Commerce Sector Update]: Shein's 3P Market Impacts Temu, Amazon, and Shopify

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>There continues to be little traction above $93 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), which remains the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range. Important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.</li>
<li>Additionally, the EURO STOXX 50 remains below 2-year resistance at 4400-4415.</li>
<li>We remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, and we prefer to only add exposure on a pullback -- especially in Japan where indexes are bullish yet extended.</li>
</ul>


There continues to be little traction above $93 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), which remains the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range. Important downside targets are $86, $84, and $75-77.
Additionally, the EURO STOXX 50 remains below 2-year resistance at 4400-4415.
We remain overweight Europe, Japan, and India, and we prefer to only add exposure on a pullback -- especially in Japan where indexes are bullish yet extended.


No Traction Above $93 on ACWI-US or 4400-4415 on EURO STOXX 50. Buys in Defensives/Japan/EM

Canada

Shopify Inc. provides a cloud-based commerce platform. The Company offers a platform for merchants to create an omni-channel experience that helps showcase the merchant's brand. Shopify serves customers in Canada.

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Shopify (SHOP US)

MSCI ACWI-US Bullish Above $93; EURO STOXX 50 Holding At Uptrend; Buys in Discretionary, Tech, Svcs.

MSCI $ACWI Bullish Above $93, inverse head-and-shoulders breakout targets $110; EURO $STOXX 50 Holding At the Uptrend; Buys in Consumer...

Vermilion Research

ARK Invest Short & Squeeze - Edition #3

All 6 ETFs positive in 2023 while ARKW ARKF ARKK ARKQ booming with 35%, 27%, 25% & 17% respectively. Risk appetite for the Innovation/Hyper Growth...

Maverick Equity Research

Shopify Inc.: Post-Pandemic Slowdown Forced Shopify To Sell Deliverr & Logistics Assets? – Key Drivers

Shopify managed to surpass the revenue expectations as well as the earnings expectations of Wall Street. The company continued to build its...

Baptista Research

[Blue Lotus E-Commerce Sector Update]: Shein's 3P Market Impacts Temu, Amazon, and Shopify

Our recent interviews with Shein's 3P merchants suggest that Shein's newly launched 3P businesses, which include ODM and marketplace models, are...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

No Traction Above $93 on ACWI-US or 4400-4415 on EURO STOXX 50. Buys in Defensives/Japan/EM

No Traction Above $93 on MSCI $ACWI or 4400-4415 on EURO #STOXX 50. Continues to reinforce our view from early-January that $93 on ACWI caps upside...

Vermilion Research

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