Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing / Event-Driven

Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK)

<ul>
<li>The FRTIB has decided to switch its benchmark for the International Stock Index Investment Fund from the EAFE Index to the ACWI IMI ex-USA ex-China ex-Hong Kong Index.</li>
<li>With around US$68bn invested in the I Fund, this will set off churn among the constituent stocks in 2024. One-way trade is around US$28bn with DM outflows and EM inflows.</li>
<li>The benchmark shift could be done over a 4 month period with higher trading during periods where liquidity opportunities arise.</li>
</ul>


The FRTIB has decided to switch its benchmark for the International Stock Index Investment Fund from the EAFE Index to the ACWI IMI ex-USA ex-China ex-Hong Kong Index.
With around US$68bn invested in the I Fund, this will set off churn among the constituent stocks in 2024. One-way trade is around US$28bn with DM outflows and EM inflows.
The benchmark shift could be done over a 4 month period with higher trading during periods where liquidity opportunities arise.


FRTIB Switches Benchmarks: +EM/-DM; US$56bn Trade as Asia EM Benefits & HK Loses Out

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Klaviyo, a Shopify-powered marketing automation platform provider for SMBs, mid-market, and B2B companies, filed to go public and plans to list on the New York Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>The fast-growing company was backed by Summit Partners, Shopify, and top-tier VC firms, including Accomplice, Accel, Sands Capital Ventures, Astral Capital, Cross Creek, and W Ventures.</li>
<li>Klaviyo is expected to IPO next week. S-1/A put the price range at $25-$27, implying a market cap of $6.5B at the midpoint, or $8.4B on a fully diluted basis. </li>
</ul>


Klaviyo, a Shopify-powered marketing automation platform provider for SMBs, mid-market, and B2B companies, filed to go public and plans to list on the New York Stock Exchange.
The fast-growing company was backed by Summit Partners, Shopify, and top-tier VC firms, including Accomplice, Accel, Sands Capital Ventures, Astral Capital, Cross Creek, and W Ventures.
Klaviyo is expected to IPO next week. S-1/A put the price range at $25-$27, implying a market cap of $6.5B at the midpoint, or $8.4B on a fully diluted basis. 


Klaviyo IPO Preview and Valuation Analysis: A Fast-Growing Marketing Automation Unicorn

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vng-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26716:1" rel="noopener">Vng (VNG US)</a>, Vietnam’s leading internet platform, aims to raise up to US$300m in its US IPO.</li>
<li>VNG is Vietnam’s leading homegrown digital ecosystem, as per the company, with diverse product offerings across games, communications and media, fintech and other opportunities</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Vng (VNG US), Vietnam’s leading internet platform, aims to raise up to US$300m in its US IPO.
VNG is Vietnam’s leading homegrown digital ecosystem, as per the company, with diverse product offerings across games, communications and media, fintech and other opportunities
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


VNG Pre-IPO - The Positives - Vietnam's Mini-Tencent

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>I remain bullish on the stock and reiterate a $37 PT. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/confluent-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33443:1" rel="noopener">Confluent (CFLT US)</a> delivered upside to total revenue, gross margin, and non-GAAP operating margin estimates.</li>
<li>The company raised guidance for CY23 total revenue and profitability. There were plenty of positives, including cloud momentum and customer demand.</li>
<li>The US-based data streaming pioneer appears well positioned to outperform my estimates, and I see a path to profitability (non-GAAP) in CY24 at the earliest.</li>
</ul>


I remain bullish on the stock and reiterate a $37 PT. Confluent (CFLT US) delivered upside to total revenue, gross margin, and non-GAAP operating margin estimates.
The company raised guidance for CY23 total revenue and profitability. There were plenty of positives, including cloud momentum and customer demand.
The US-based data streaming pioneer appears well positioned to outperform my estimates, and I see a path to profitability (non-GAAP) in CY24 at the earliest.


Confluent. 2Q Wrap: Solid Results and Leadership Position In a $60B+ TAM

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

Lianlian DigiTech / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lianlian-digitech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39940:1" rel="noopener">Lianlian DigiTech (2104619D CH)</a> is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming HK IPO.</li>
<li>LianLian DigiTech is a digital technology company that provides a range of digital payment services and value-added services to customers in China and around the world.</li>
<li>Lianlian’s digital payments segment has historically been its largest revenue contributor. However, profitability has been declining on the back of lower gross margins and mounting losses from its Liantong JV.</li>
</ul>



Lianlian DigiTech (2104619D CH) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming HK IPO.
LianLian DigiTech is a digital technology company that provides a range of digital payment services and value-added services to customers in China and around the world.
Lianlian’s digital payments segment has historically been its largest revenue contributor. However, profitability has been declining on the back of lower gross margins and mounting losses from its Liantong JV.


LianLian Digitech Pre-IPO - Declining Profitability with No End in Sight Just Yet

Canada

Shopify Inc. provides a cloud-based commerce platform. The Company offers a platform for merchants to create an omni-channel experience that helps showcase the merchant's brand. Shopify serves customers in Canada.

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Shopify (SHOP CN)

FRTIB Switches Benchmarks: +EM/-DM; US$56bn Trade as Asia EM Benefits & HK Loses Out

The FRTIB has decided to switch investment benchmarks leading to inflows for Emerging Markets and Small Caps at the expense of Developed Markets...

Brian Freitas

Klaviyo IPO Preview and Valuation Analysis: A Fast-Growing Marketing Automation Unicorn

Klaviyo, a fast-growing marketing automation unicorn, filed to go public and may raise ~$286M. IPO valuation looks attractive, and I see 30%+...

Andrei Zakharov

VNG Pre-IPO - The Positives - Vietnam's Mini-Tencent

Vng (VNG US), Vietnam’s leading internet platform, aims to raise up to US$300m in its US IPO. In this note we talk about the positive aspects of...

Sumeet Singh

Confluent. 2Q Wrap: Solid Results and Leadership Position In a $60B+ TAM

Confluent reported solid results and achieved sustained high growth despite a choppy macro environment and smaller average deal sizes. The company...

Andrei Zakharov

LianLian Digitech Pre-IPO - Declining Profitability with No End in Sight Just Yet

Lianlian DigiTech (2104619D CH) is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming HK IPO. Lianlian’s digital payments segment has historically been...

Ethan Aw

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