Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In December 2022, Naver plans to launch its long awaited 24 hours delivery service (Naver Arrival Guarantee Solution), competing directly against Coupang's "rocket delivery" services in Korea.</li>
<li>Coupang's valuations are not attractive at current levels and the heightened competition in the 24 hour delivery service market from Naver/CJ Logistics is likely to negatively impact Coupang. </li>
<li>By providing 24 hours quick delivery service, Naver is expected to take away market share from Coupang from the fast delivery services in Korea.</li>
</ul>


In December 2022, Naver plans to launch its long awaited 24 hours delivery service (Naver Arrival Guarantee Solution), competing directly against Coupang's "rocket delivery" services in Korea.
Coupang's valuations are not attractive at current levels and the heightened competition in the 24 hour delivery service market from Naver/CJ Logistics is likely to negatively impact Coupang. 
By providing 24 hours quick delivery service, Naver is expected to take away market share from Coupang from the fast delivery services in Korea.


Coupang: Market Share Loss Likely Due to Launch of Naver's 24 Hours Next Day Delivery Service

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Algosun Global

Private Capital Markets

Geekplus Technology / Private Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Geek+ is the fastest-growing robotics startup and producer of warehouse robots powered by AI and deep learning algorithms. The company successfully integrates logistics with robots. </li>
<li>Beijing-Based Geek+ has raised a total of ~$532M in funding over 7 rounds. The last round was a $100M Series E in August 2022 that was led by Intel Capital. </li>
<li>Warehouse robots have a huge market potential driven by rising labor costs in China, lack of human labor in the warehouse segment, and huge fluctuations in production capacity. </li>
</ul>


Geek+ is the fastest-growing robotics startup and producer of warehouse robots powered by AI and deep learning algorithms. The company successfully integrates logistics with robots. 
Beijing-Based Geek+ has raised a total of ~$532M in funding over 7 rounds. The last round was a $100M Series E in August 2022 that was led by Intel Capital. 
Warehouse robots have a huge market potential driven by rising labor costs in China, lack of human labor in the warehouse segment, and huge fluctuations in production capacity. 


Geek+: Global Leader in Smart Logistics Robotic Technology

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Shopify delivered a disappointing result failing to meet Wall Street expectations on all counts.</li><li>As they continue to gain market share, June was a positive month for the company with more and more merchants adding Pro, and their Q2 offline GMV increased 47% year over year.</li><li>The management introduced Shopify Point-of-Sale with Integrated Payments to Singapore after launching Shopify Payments and Shopify Shipping in France and Italy, respectively, in Q2.</li></ul>

Shopify delivered a disappointing result failing to meet Wall Street expectations on all counts.As they continue to gain market share, June was a positive month for the company with more and more merchants adding Pro, and their Q2 offline GMV increased 47% year over year.The management introduced Shopify Point-of-Sale with Integrated Payments to Singapore after launching Shopify Payments and Shopify Shipping in France and Italy, respectively, in Q2.

Shopify Inc: The Deliverr Acquisition & Other Drivers

Fundamental Short Selling Research

Eric Fernandez, CFA

TwoRiversAnalytics

<ul>
<li>This model looks for slowing growth, margin declines, sales and/or earnings disappointments, troubling working capital trends, poor estimate trends or lowered guidance, among other characteristics.</li>
<li>The key judgement is whether a slowdown is temporary or the beginning of a trend.  These shorts tend to have high valuations and betas.  Multiple compression accelerates the stock’s decline.</li>
<li>Today we are flagging: Shopify, Snowflake, Intuitive Surgical, and ServiceNow</li>
</ul>


This model looks for slowing growth, margin declines, sales and/or earnings disappointments, troubling working capital trends, poor estimate trends or lowered guidance, among other characteristics.
The key judgement is whether a slowdown is temporary or the beginning of a trend.  These shorts tend to have high valuations and betas.  Multiple compression accelerates the stock’s decline.
Today we are flagging: Shopify, Snowflake, Intuitive Surgical, and ServiceNow


Breaking Growth Short Candidates: Shopify, Snowflake, Intuitive Surgical, ServiceNow

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shopify-inc-de74469e-4678-489b-9b50-a80a5790c5ef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25906:1" rel="noopener">Shopify Inc (SHOP US)</a> 's share price declined by -15% in after hours trade on weaker-than-expected US E-commerce trends</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mercari-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27149:1" rel="noopener">Mercari Inc (4385 JP)</a> 's US business is highly correlated with its US peer, as is its stock price</li>
<li>A normalisation of e-commerce trends could also impact its much larger Japanese GMV as consumers shift spending patterns back to normal </li>
</ul>



Shopify Inc (SHOP US) 's share price declined by -15% in after hours trade on weaker-than-expected US E-commerce trends

Mercari Inc (4385 JP) 's US business is highly correlated with its US peer, as is its stock price
A normalisation of e-commerce trends could also impact its much larger Japanese GMV as consumers shift spending patterns back to normal 


Mercari (4385) | We Were Wrong…its Worse

Canada

Shopify Inc. provides a cloud-based commerce platform. The Company offers a platform for merchants to create an omni-channel experience that helps showcase the merchant's brand. Shopify serves customers in Canada.

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Shopify (SHOP CN)

Geek+: Global Leader in Smart Logistics Robotic Technology

We view VC-backed Geek+ as a great company and a category winner that is addressing the fastest-growing warehouse automation and robotics segment

Andrei Zakharov

Shopify Inc: The Deliverr Acquisition & Other Drivers

Shopify delivered a disappointing result failing to meet Wall Street expectations on all counts. As they continue to gain market share, June was a...

Baptista Research

Breaking Growth Short Candidates: Shopify, Snowflake, Intuitive Surgical, ServiceNow

Breaking Growth stocks combine declining fundamentals with a multiple compression. This week we flag: Shopify, Snowflake, Intuitive Surgical, and...

Eric Fernandez, CFA

Mercari (4385) | We Were Wrong…its Worse

We are Bearish on Mercari as we think GMV in the US will see a sharp pullback as early as the current quarter (4Q: April-June), with higher-than...

Mark Chadwick

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Coupang: Market Share Loss Likely Due to Launch of Naver's 24 Hours Next Day Delivery Service

Coupang's valuations are not attractive at current levels and the heightened competition in the 24 hour delivery service market from Naver/CJ...

Douglas Kim

Geek+: Global Leader in Smart Logistics Robotic Technology

We view VC-backed Geek+ as a great company and a category winner that is addressing the fastest-growing warehouse automation and robotics segment

Andrei Zakharov

Shopify Inc: The Deliverr Acquisition & Other Drivers

Shopify delivered a disappointing result failing to meet Wall Street expectations on all counts. As they continue to gain market share, June was a...

Baptista Research

Breaking Growth Short Candidates: Shopify, Snowflake, Intuitive Surgical, ServiceNow

Breaking Growth stocks combine declining fundamentals with a multiple compression. This week we flag: Shopify, Snowflake, Intuitive Surgical, and...

Eric Fernandez, CFA

Mercari (4385) | We Were Wrong…its Worse

We are Bearish on Mercari as we think GMV in the US will see a sharp pullback as early as the current quarter (4Q: April-June), with higher-than...

Mark Chadwick