Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>SHEIN's US sellers will be able to use Amazon for US fulfillment by end of 2025</li>
<li>SHEIN will open up its Chinese manufacturing capabilities to outside brands</li>
<li>Changes are in response to lost "de minimis" loophole, search for growth drivers</li>
</ul>


SHEIN's US sellers will be able to use Amazon for US fulfillment by end of 2025
SHEIN will open up its Chinese manufacturing capabilities to outside brands
Changes are in response to lost "de minimis" loophole, search for growth drivers


Two Big Changes to SHEIN's Business Model in Response to the End of US "De Minimis" Exemption

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.</li>
<li>Short-Term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, 6340-6360, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059.</li>
<li>Various prior leadership areas from the April lows appear ready to continue higher following 1+ month consolidations. IGV, PLTR, APP, SOUN, RZLV, SHOP, FROG, U, CDNS, RDDT, JMIA, RR, Z,HIMS,MU,GRAL</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.
Short-Term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, 6340-6360, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059.
Various prior leadership areas from the April lows appear ready to continue higher following 1+ month consolidations. IGV, PLTR, APP, SOUN, RZLV, SHOP, FROG, U, CDNS, RDDT, JMIA, RR, Z,HIMS,MU,GRAL


Downgrading Utilities to Market Weight; Bullish Outlook Intact; Prior Leadership to Shine?

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Geekplus Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Geek+, global technology company and provider of scalable and flexible highly efficient solutions for warehouses, aims to raise ~$300M in Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>The company is expected to IPO next week and offer price of HK$16.80 implies a market cap of HK$22B (~$2.8B). Geek+ is set to start trading on July 9, 2025.</li>
<li>I believe that Geek+ has a large runway for growth in the global AMR solution market, but valuation keeps me from being positive on the name.</li>
</ul>


Geek+, global technology company and provider of scalable and flexible highly efficient solutions for warehouses, aims to raise ~$300M in Hong Kong IPO.
The company is expected to IPO next week and offer price of HK$16.80 implies a market cap of HK$22B (~$2.8B). Geek+ is set to start trading on July 9, 2025.
I believe that Geek+ has a large runway for growth in the global AMR solution market, but valuation keeps me from being positive on the name.


Geek+ IPO (2590.HK): Long-Term, Warehouse Automation Story, But IPO Valuation Is Not Cheap

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xero-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:390:1" rel="noopener">Xero Ltd (XRO AU)</a>  plans to raise around US$1.2bn via an institutional placement to partly fund the US$2.5bn acquisition for Melio.</li>
<li>The US market has been a growth dampener for Xero for a while. The acquisition is large but might not be a game changer.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Xero Ltd (XRO AU)  plans to raise around US$1.2bn via an institutional placement to partly fund the US$2.5bn acquisition for Melio.
The US market has been a growth dampener for Xero for a while. The acquisition is large but might not be a game changer.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Xero US1.2bn Placement - Trying to Jump Start US, Again. Might Not Be a Game Changer.

<ul>
<li>Klarna, a leading BNPL player in Europe, will try to push ahead with IPO in the second half of the year. The fintech unicorn plans to raise up to ~$1B.</li>
<li>Klarna picked a not great time to take the company public, keeping in mind negative impact of Trump’s tariffs on BNPL players in the U.S. and European Union.</li>
<li>I believe the company may price its IPO above last round valuation of ~$6.7B led by Sequoia Capital, Silver Lake, CPPIB, and Mubadala Investment Company, among others.</li>
</ul>


Klarna, a leading BNPL player in Europe, will try to push ahead with IPO in the second half of the year. The fintech unicorn plans to raise up to ~$1B.
Klarna picked a not great time to take the company public, keeping in mind negative impact of Trump’s tariffs on BNPL players in the U.S. and European Union.
I believe the company may price its IPO above last round valuation of ~$6.7B led by Sequoia Capital, Silver Lake, CPPIB, and Mubadala Investment Company, among others.


Klarna IPO Valuation Analysis: Don’t Expect a Premium Multiple Relative to Affirm Holdings

Canada

Shopify Inc. provides a cloud-based commerce platform. The Company offers a platform for merchants to create an omni-channel experience that helps showcase the merchant's brand. Shopify serves customers in Canada.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Shopify (SHOP CN)

Two Big Changes to SHEIN's Business Model in Response to the End of US "De Minimis" Exemption

In recent weeks direct-to-consumer eComm platform SHEIN announced two dramatic changes to its business model. We believe the changes are in...

Tracking Traffic

Downgrading Utilities to Market Weight; Bullish Outlook Intact; Prior Leadership to Shine?

Downgrading Utilities $XLU to Market Weight; Bullish Outlook Intact; Time for Prior Leadership to Shine? $IGV $PLTR $APP $SOUN $RZLV $SHOP $FROG $U...

Vermilion Research

Geek+ IPO (2590.HK): Long-Term, Warehouse Automation Story, But IPO Valuation Is Not Cheap

Geek+ plans to raise ~$300M in Hong Kong IPO, set to start trading on July 9 with a market cap of ~$2.8B. IPO valuation is not cheap with no major...

Andrei Zakharov

Xero US1.2bn Placement - Trying to Jump Start US, Again. Might Not Be a Game Changer.

Xero Ltd (XRO AU) plans to raise around US$1.2bn via an institutional placement to partly fund the US$2.5bn acquisition for Melio.

Sumeet Singh

Klarna IPO Valuation Analysis: Don’t Expect a Premium Multiple Relative to Affirm Holdings

Klarna plans to move forward with IPO despite potential challenges from Trump's tariffs, aiming to raise up to ~$1B and possibly price the...

Andrei Zakharov

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Two Big Changes to SHEIN's Business Model in Response to the End of US "De Minimis" Exemption

In recent weeks direct-to-consumer eComm platform SHEIN announced two dramatic changes to its business model. We believe the changes are in...

Tracking Traffic

Downgrading Utilities to Market Weight; Bullish Outlook Intact; Prior Leadership to Shine?

Downgrading Utilities $XLU to Market Weight; Bullish Outlook Intact; Time for Prior Leadership to Shine? $IGV $PLTR $APP $SOUN $RZLV $SHOP $FROG $U...

Vermilion Research

Geek+ IPO (2590.HK): Long-Term, Warehouse Automation Story, But IPO Valuation Is Not Cheap

​Geek+ plans to raise ~$300M in Hong Kong IPO, set to start trading on July 9 with a market cap of ~$2.8B. IPO valuation is not cheap with no major...

Andrei Zakharov

Xero US1.2bn Placement - Trying to Jump Start US, Again. Might Not Be a Game Changer.

Xero Ltd (XRO AU) plans to raise around US$1.2bn via an institutional placement to partly fund the US$2.5bn acquisition for Melio.

Sumeet Singh

Klarna IPO Valuation Analysis: Don’t Expect a Premium Multiple Relative to Affirm Holdings

​Klarna plans to move forward with IPO despite potential challenges from Trump's tariffs, aiming to raise up to ~$1B and possibly price the...

Andrei Zakharov

Geek+ plans to raise ~$300M in Hong Kong IPO, set to start trading on July 9 with a market cap of ~$2.8B. IPO valuation is not cheap with no major...

Klarna plans to move forward with IPO despite potential challenges from Trump's tariffs, aiming to raise up to ~$1B and possibly price the...