Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shoppers-stop-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12804:1" rel="noopener">Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN)</a> is a leading retailer in India specializing in fashion and beauty brands with 12 department stores, 7 premium home stores, and 87 specialty beauty outlets,</li>
<li>SHOP has also launched its value retail format INTUNE in June 2023 generating excitement and interest around the same. </li>
<li>It seems SHOP is trying to play all cards of the retail game, i.e., premium, beauty, and value fast fashion, but so far has shown no signs of success.</li>
</ul>



Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN) is a leading retailer in India specializing in fashion and beauty brands with 12 department stores, 7 premium home stores, and 87 specialty beauty outlets,
SHOP has also launched its value retail format INTUNE in June 2023 generating excitement and interest around the same. 
It seems SHOP is trying to play all cards of the retail game, i.e., premium, beauty, and value fast fashion, but so far has shown no signs of success.


Narrative and Numbers | Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN) | FY24

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent Ltd (TRENT IN)</a> is a leading retail company in India known for its diverse range of fashion and lifestyle brands like Westside and Zudio. </li>
<li>With its own labels, operating efficiencies, and leverage at work, Trent has been able to expand its margins substantially. </li>
<li>We anticipate the strong operational performance to continue. We believe it will take a couple of years for peers to catch up to Trent's execution prowess.</li>
</ul>



Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) is a leading retail company in India known for its diverse range of fashion and lifestyle brands like Westside and Zudio. 
With its own labels, operating efficiencies, and leverage at work, Trent has been able to expand its margins substantially. 
We anticipate the strong operational performance to continue. We believe it will take a couple of years for peers to catch up to Trent's execution prowess.


Narrative and Numbers | Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) | FY24

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

<ul><li>We initiate our coverage on WHART with an Outperform rating.</li><li>The trust is attractive for its valuation, trading at a P/NAV of just 0.8x, while the dividend yield spread relative to the risk-free 10Y bond yield remains high at 5.7%.</li><li>The trust's long-term earnings are likely to show steady growth.</li></ul>

We initiate our coverage on WHART with an Outperform rating.The trust is attractive for its valuation, trading at a P/NAV of just 0.8x, while the dividend yield spread relative to the risk-free 10Y bond yield remains high at 5.7%.The trust's long-term earnings are likely to show steady growth.

WHA Premium Growth Freehold and Leasehold Real Estate Investment Trust (WHART)

<ul>
<li>As we progress in earnings season in line with our previous Playbook, this one focuses on select consumer names. </li>
<li>Names discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/titan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12630:1" rel="noopener">Titan Co Ltd (TTAN IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vedant-fashions-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34260:1" rel="noopener">Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/go-fashion-india-private-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36625:1" rel="noopener">Go Fashion India (GOCOLORS IN)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shoppers-stop-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12804:1" rel="noopener">Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN)</a>.  </li>
<li>Most names expect a soft Q1, and SHOP is targeting the most aggressive expansion.</li>
</ul>


As we progress in earnings season in line with our previous Playbook, this one focuses on select consumer names. 
Names discussed include Titan Co Ltd (TTAN IN), Vedant Fashions (MANYAVAR IN) , Go Fashion India (GOCOLORS IN) &amp; Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN).  
Most names expect a soft Q1, and SHOP is targeting the most aggressive expansion.


Earnings Playbook | Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN) | Target of Quadrupling Network

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>If one zooms out and assesses STOP’s historical performance, it’s been among the weaker retailers in our apparel retail pack</li><li>Its decadal revenue CAGR of ~6% is largely premiumization-led with no volume (bill cut) growth to speak of</li><li>This is despite it scaling its Beauty segment during this phase</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

If one zooms out and assesses STOP’s historical performance, it’s been among the weaker retailers in our apparel retail packIts decadal revenue CAGR of ~6% is largely premiumization-led with no volume (bill cut) growth to speak ofThis is despite it scaling its Beauty segment during this phaseContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Shoppers Stop: ‘Intune’—the only exciting thing to watch out for. Maintain SELL

India

Shoppers Stop is a leading Indian retailer that operates department stores, specialty beauty outlets, and value fashion formats, focusing on a "premiumisation" strategy. The company offers a wide range of household and consumer products, including apparel, cosmetics, personal accessories, home wares, and electronics, and distributes international beauty brands. Shoppers Stop was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India.

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Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN)

Narrative and Numbers | Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN) | FY24

Shoppers Stop in India expands with new value retail format INTUNE, but faces challenges in capturing success across premium, beauty, and fast...

Pranav Bhavsar

Narrative and Numbers | Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) | FY24

Trent Ltd in India stands out in retail with diverse brands like Westside and Zudio, showing strong margins and operational performance that peers...

Pranav Bhavsar

WHA Premium Growth Freehold and Leasehold Real Estate Investment Trust (WHART)

We initiate our coverage on WHART with an Outperform rating. The trust is attractive for its valuation, trading at a P/NAV of just 0.8x, while the...

Krungthai XSpring

Earnings Playbook | Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN) | Target of Quadrupling Network

We focus on select consumer names in the earnings season. Most names expect a soft Q1, with Shoppers Stop targeting aggressive expansion.

Pranav Bhavsar

Shoppers Stop: ‘Intune’—the only exciting thing to watch out for. Maintain SELL

If one zooms out and assesses STOP’s historical performance, it’s been among the weaker retailers in our apparel retail pack

HDFC Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Narrative and Numbers | Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN) | FY24

​Shoppers Stop in India expands with new value retail format INTUNE, but faces challenges in capturing success across premium, beauty, and fast...

Pranav Bhavsar

Narrative and Numbers | Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) | FY24

​Trent Ltd in India stands out in retail with diverse brands like Westside and Zudio, showing strong margins and operational performance that peers...

Pranav Bhavsar

WHA Premium Growth Freehold and Leasehold Real Estate Investment Trust (WHART)

We initiate our coverage on WHART with an Outperform rating. The trust is attractive for its valuation, trading at a P/NAV of just 0.8x, while the...

Krungthai XSpring

Earnings Playbook | Shoppers Stop (SHOP IN) | Target of Quadrupling Network

We focus on select consumer names in the earnings season. Most names expect a soft Q1, with Shoppers Stop targeting aggressive expansion.

Pranav Bhavsar

Shoppers Stop: ‘Intune’—the only exciting thing to watch out for. Maintain SELL

If one zooms out and assesses STOP’s historical performance, it’s been among the weaker retailers in our apparel retail pack

HDFC Securities

Shoppers Stop in India expands with new value retail format INTUNE, but faces challenges in capturing success across premium, beauty, and fast...

Trent Ltd in India stands out in retail with diverse brands like Westside and Zudio, showing strong margins and operational performance that peers...