Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/scg-chemicals-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39791:1" rel="noopener">SCG Chemicals (SCGC TB)</a> (SCGC) is looking to raise around US$1bn in its upcoming Thailand IPO.</li>
<li>SCG Chemicals, a part of the SCC group, is an integrated chemicals player in ASEAN, involved primarily in manufacturing, marketing and selling a diversified range of petrochemical products.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



SCG Chemicals (SCGC TB) (SCGC) is looking to raise around US$1bn in its upcoming Thailand IPO.
SCG Chemicals, a part of the SCC group, is an integrated chemicals player in ASEAN, involved primarily in manufacturing, marketing and selling a diversified range of petrochemical products.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


SCG Chemicals Pre-IPO -The Positives - A Strong Regional Player

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities, Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Research

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities

Leading, full-service investment firm in Thailand

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Securities is a well known securities company with 40 years experience in the industry, serving more than 60,000 clients. We offer one - stop service providing full range of financial products and services including extensive Brokerage, Proprietary Trading (Equities and Bonds), Advisory Services, Structured Products.

Moreover, our new research team tailored for institutional clients to focus on mid to small cap of Thai equities and trading strategies. Our services offered to our premium clients also include arrangement of company or site visits to with the managements of Thai listed companies.

Note: Effective on 1 March 2022, Country Group Securities PCL changed its name to Pi Securities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We keep our BUY call with a new TP of Bt165.00, based on 13.0xPE’23E.Its 3Q22 results came in at Bt603m (-11%YoY, -56%QoQ).Our rating reflects (1) earnings growth recovery in 2023-24</li>
<li>Softened equity income drag 3Q22 result SCCC posted its 3Q22 earnings of Bt603m (-11%YoY ,56%QoQ). The result missed ours and the market estimates by 43% and 40%, respectively.</li>
<li>Equity income came in at Bt325, plunged 25%YoY and 46%QoQ.A tale of divergence, primarily caused by JV in Cambodia swung to a net loss of Bt9m(from 3Q21 profit of Bt105m)</li>
</ul>


We keep our BUY call with a new TP of Bt165.00, based on 13.0xPE’23E.Its 3Q22 results came in at Bt603m (-11%YoY, -56%QoQ).Our rating reflects (1) earnings growth recovery in 2023-24
Softened equity income drag 3Q22 result SCCC posted its 3Q22 earnings of Bt603m (-11%YoY ,56%QoQ). The result missed ours and the market estimates by 43% and 40%, respectively.
Equity income came in at Bt325, plunged 25%YoY and 46%QoQ.A tale of divergence, primarily caused by JV in Cambodia swung to a net loss of Bt9m(from 3Q21 profit of Bt105m)


SCCC : 3Q22 Earnings Disappoint, but to Improve in 4Q22

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The MTO in relation to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/san-miguel-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22728:1" rel="noopener">San Miguel (SMC PM)</a>’s acquisition of 88.50% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eagle-cement-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31217:1" rel="noopener">Eagle Cement Corp (EAGLE PM)</a>’s shares is open. The MTO will end on 5 December. </li>
<li>The MTO price is PHP22.02. The net MTO price after deducting the selling charges (0.621% of value) is estimated to be PHP21.8833. </li>
<li>At the current price and for the 14 December payment, the gross and annualised spread to the net MTO price is 1.8% and 19.2%, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The MTO in relation to San Miguel (SMC PM)’s acquisition of 88.50% of Eagle Cement Corp (EAGLE PM)’s shares is open. The MTO will end on 5 December. 
The MTO price is PHP22.02. The net MTO price after deducting the selling charges (0.621% of value) is estimated to be PHP21.8833. 
At the current price and for the 14 December payment, the gross and annualised spread to the net MTO price is 1.8% and 19.2%, respectively.


Eagle Cement (EAGLE PM) MTO Open, Closing on 5 December

<ul>
<li>The regulator will not review <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/san-miguel-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22728:1" rel="noopener">San Miguel (SMC PM)</a>’s SPA with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eagle-cement-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31217:1" rel="noopener">Eagle Cement Corp (EAGLE PM)</a>’s selling shareholders to acquire their combined 88.50% stake at PHP22.02 per share.</li>
<li>We expected approval as the PCC, the regulator, previously viewed San Miguel and ECC as part of the same group. The next step is the execution of a definitive agreement.</li>
<li>The approval paves the way for an MTO of the remaining 11.50% minority shares at PHP22.02, likely next month. At the last close, the spread to the offer is 6.1%.</li>
</ul>


The regulator will not review San Miguel (SMC PM)’s SPA with Eagle Cement Corp (EAGLE PM)’s selling shareholders to acquire their combined 88.50% stake at PHP22.02 per share.
We expected approval as the PCC, the regulator, previously viewed San Miguel and ECC as part of the same group. The next step is the execution of a definitive agreement.
The approval paves the way for an MTO of the remaining 11.50% minority shares at PHP22.02, likely next month. At the last close, the spread to the offer is 6.1%.


Eagle Cement: Regulatory Approval Paves the Way for San Miguel’s MTO at PHP22.02

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eagle-cement-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31217:1" rel="noopener">Eagle Cement Corp (EAGLE PM)</a>/ECC’s selling shareholders (88.50% of the outstanding shares) have signed a SPA to sell their stake to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/san-miguel-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22728:1" rel="noopener">San Miguel (SMC PM)</a> at PHP22.02 per share.</li>
<li>Post-Completion of the SPA, San Miguel will be required to launch a mandatory tender offer to acquire the remaining 11.50% minority shares at PHP22.02 per share. </li>
<li>As the regulator previously viewed San Miguel and ECC as part of the same group, regulatory approval should be forthcoming. At the last close, the gross spread is 14.1%.</li>
</ul>



Eagle Cement Corp (EAGLE PM)/ECC’s selling shareholders (88.50% of the outstanding shares) have signed a SPA to sell their stake to San Miguel (SMC PM) at PHP22.02 per share.
Post-Completion of the SPA, San Miguel will be required to launch a mandatory tender offer to acquire the remaining 11.50% minority shares at PHP22.02 per share. 
As the regulator previously viewed San Miguel and ECC as part of the same group, regulatory approval should be forthcoming. At the last close, the gross spread is 14.1%.


Eagle Cement’s Potential MTO of PHP22.02 from San Miguel

Thailand

Siam City Cement Public Company Limited produces and distributes cement under branded names with various type of cement for different applications.  The Company also also produces and distributes ready-mix concrete and aggregates under branded names, as well as branded wood-replacement products.

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Siam City Cement (SCCC TB)

SCG Chemicals Pre-IPO -The Positives - A Strong Regional Player

SCG Chemicals (SCGC) is looking to raise around US$1bn in its upcoming Thailand IPO. In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

SCCC : 3Q22 Earnings Disappoint, but to Improve in 4Q22

We keep our BUY call with a new TP of Bt165.00, based on 13.0xPE’23E. Its 3Q22 results came in at Bt603m (-11%YoY, -56%QoQ). Our rating reflects...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Eagle Cement (EAGLE PM) MTO Open, Closing on 5 December

The net MTO price after deducting charges is PHP21.8833. At the current price and for the 14 December payment, the gross and annualised spread to...

Arun George

Eagle Cement: Regulatory Approval Paves the Way for San Miguel’s MTO at PHP22.02

The approval paves the way for an MTO of the remaining 11.50% minority shares at PHP22.02, likely next month. At the last close, the spread to the...

Arun George

Eagle Cement’s Potential MTO of PHP22.02 from San Miguel

The regulator should approve as it previously considered San Miguel and ECC as part of the same group. Timing is the key risk. At the last close,...

Arun George

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