Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>KTX has compiled the views of major US banks following US President Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs on “Liberation Day.”</li><li>Overall, banks expressed a moderate level of concern. Asset quality remains stable, but some banks have begun setting aside provisions in advance, based on more negative assumptions.</li><li>Thai banks, however, are unlikely to escape the impact. </li></ul>

KTX has compiled the views of major US banks following US President Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs on “Liberation Day.”Overall, banks expressed a moderate level of concern. Asset quality remains stable, but some banks have begun setting aside provisions in advance, based on more negative assumptions.Thai banks, however, are unlikely to escape the impact. 

<ul><li>Moody’s has revised Thailand’s credit rating outlook from “Stable” to “Negative,” along with five listed Thai banks — BBL, KBANK, KTB, SCB, and TTB — citing concerns over the potential economic impact of US import tariff hikes.</li><li>KTX views this revision as a long-term pressure factor and anticipates a possible credit rating downgrade from the current Baa1 within the next year, pending greater clarity on tariff implementation.</li><li>While the outlook downgrade presents a near-term headwind for the banking sector, KTX maintains a positive medium- to long-term view and recommends a gradual accumulation of bank stocks. </li></ul>

Moody’s has revised Thailand’s credit rating outlook from “Stable” to “Negative,” along with five listed Thai banks — BBL, KBANK, KTB, SCB, and TTB — citing concerns over the potential economic impact of US import tariff hikes.KTX views this revision as a long-term pressure factor and anticipates a possible credit rating downgrade from the current Baa1 within the next year, pending greater clarity on tariff implementation.While the outlook downgrade presents a near-term headwind for the banking sector, KTX maintains a positive medium- to long-term view and recommends a gradual accumulation of bank stocks. 

Economic Update: Moody’s Downgrades Thailand’s Outlook to “Negative”

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support at 1,120/1,110 points and the resistance at 1,135 points (10-day EMA)/1,136/1,146 points.</li><li>In the medium term, the index remains in a downtrend within the 960-1,200-point range, seeking a bottoming-out signal.</li><li>In the short term, there is potential for a continued rebound, with a target of 1,162 points, which could mark a shift in trend from the previous downtrend pattern (new lows followed by rebounds) to a base-building phase for a new upward cycle (possibly forming a double bottom or W-shape). </li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support at 1,120/1,110 points and the resistance at 1,135 points (10-day EMA)/1,136/1,146 points.In the medium term, the index remains in a downtrend within the 960-1,200-point range, seeking a bottoming-out signal.In the short term, there is potential for a continued rebound, with a target of 1,162 points, which could mark a shift in trend from the previous downtrend pattern (new lows followed by rebounds) to a base-building phase for a new upward cycle (possibly forming a double bottom or W-shape). 

KTX Zoom - ECB Expected to Cut Interest Rates to Support Growth: April 17, 2025

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to rise, with the resistance levels at 1,135 points (10-day EMA) and 1,146 points, and the support levels at 1,118 and 1,110 points.</li><li>The index is supported by positive news from the US announcing the removal of tariffs on IT products such as smartphones, hard disks, etc., with its trading partners.</li><li>In the medium term, the index remains in a downtrend within the range of 960-1,200 points as it seeks a bottoming-out signal. </li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to rise, with the resistance levels at 1,135 points (10-day EMA) and 1,146 points, and the support levels at 1,118 and 1,110 points.The index is supported by positive news from the US announcing the removal of tariffs on IT products such as smartphones, hard disks, etc., with its trading partners.In the medium term, the index remains in a downtrend within the range of 960-1,200 points as it seeks a bottoming-out signal. 

KTX Zoom - Keep an Eye on China’s 1Q25 GDP Growth Along with Economic Data

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Apr 11th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD1.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in WHA Corporation PCL , Siam Cement PLC.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Apr 11th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD1.7bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in WHA Corporation PCL , Siam Cement PLC.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Apr 11th): WHA, SCC

Thailand

SCB X Public Company Limited provides banking services. The Bank offers accounts, loans, cards, deposits, insurance, investment, payment, digital banking, and other related services. SCB X serves customers worldwide.

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Siam Commercial Bank (SCB TB)

Industry Update: Banking - MAY 8, 2025

KTX has compiled the views of major US banks following US President Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs on “Liberation Day.”

Krungthai XSpring

Economic Update: Moody’s Downgrades Thailand’s Outlook to “Negative”

This is based on expectations of constructive trade negotiations and limited downside risks to interest rates. Our preferred accumulation targets...

Krungthai XSpring

KTX Zoom - ECB Expected to Cut Interest Rates to Support Growth: April 17, 2025

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support at 1,120/1,110 points and the resistance at 1,135 points (10-day EMA)...

Krungthai XSpring

KTX Zoom - Keep an Eye on China’s 1Q25 GDP Growth Along with Economic Data

Technically, the SET Index is expected to rise, with the resistance levels at 1,135 points (10-day EMA) and 1,146 points, and the support levels at...

Krungthai XSpring

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Apr 11th): WHA, SCC

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in WHA Corporation PLC, SCC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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