External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Kelun Biotech reported revenue of RMB950mn in 1H25, with a net loss of RMB145mn.</li><li>Product sales reached RMB310mn, of which SKB264/sac-TMT contributed RMB302mn—34% of our prior full-year estimate.</li><li>SKB264 is in the early stage of its ramp-up following approvals in late-line TNBC and EGFRm NSCLC in Nov-24 and Mar-25, respectively. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Kelun Biotech reported revenue of RMB950mn in 1H25, with a net loss of RMB145mn.Product sales reached RMB310mn, of which SKB264/sac-TMT contributed RMB302mn—34% of our prior full-year estimate.SKB264 is in the early stage of its ramp-up following approvals in late-line TNBC and EGFRm NSCLC in Nov-24 and Mar-25, respectively. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Kelun-Biotech (6990 HK) - Expect More Important Data Release at ESMO 2025

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The recent placement and price surge in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-kelun-biotech-biopharm" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40071:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990 HK)</a> could result in the stock being added to a global index in August.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-kelun-biotech-biopharm" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40071:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm</a> has outperformed its peers as the entire industry has been trading well. There is a small increase in short interest in the stock.</li>
<li>Positioning has increased steadily over the last month. Momentum in the stock and its peers could lead to further upside before profit taking kicks in.</li>
</ul>


The recent placement and price surge in Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990 HK) could result in the stock being added to a global index in August.

Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm has outperformed its peers as the entire industry has been trading well. There is a small increase in short interest in the stock.
Positioning has increased steadily over the last month. Momentum in the stock and its peers could lead to further upside before profit taking kicks in.


Sichuan Kelun Biotech (6990 HK): Price Surge & Global Index Inclusion

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Kelun Bio announced US$250 million placement, making it the largest follow-on offering in the biopharma industry in HK market over the past 12 months, but HK$331.8/share Placing Price is expensive.</li>
<li>SKB264 has demonstrated the ability to compete head-to-head with the world's best therapies in TNBC and NSCLC. It is reasonable for Kelun Bio’s valuation to be higher than Akeso.</li>
<li>We recommend to buy when market value falls in the range of US$2.5-5.25 billion.If SKB264 fails to deliver good clinical data in future critical clinical trials, valuation would face pullback.</li>
</ul>


Kelun Bio announced US$250 million placement, making it the largest follow-on offering in the biopharma industry in HK market over the past 12 months, but HK$331.8/share Placing Price is expensive.
SKB264 has demonstrated the ability to compete head-to-head with the world's best therapies in TNBC and NSCLC. It is reasonable for Kelun Bio’s valuation to be higher than Akeso.
We recommend to buy when market value falls in the range of US$2.5-5.25 billion.If SKB264 fails to deliver good clinical data in future critical clinical trials, valuation would face pullback.


Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990.HK) Placement - Thoughts The Pipeline and Valuation Outlook

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-kelun-biotech-biopharm" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40071:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990 HK)</a> is looking to raise up to US$200m from a primary placement. The offering is priced at HK$ 330.2-341, a 5-8% discount to last close.</li>
<li>The company plans to use the proceeds for research and development, clinical trials of its core products and as working capital.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990 HK) is looking to raise up to US$200m from a primary placement. The offering is priced at HK$ 330.2-341, a 5-8% discount to last close.
The company plans to use the proceeds for research and development, clinical trials of its core products and as working capital.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Kelun-Biotech Placement - Recent Run-Up Makes Its Tricky

<ul>
<li>The imagination space and good stories for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-kelun-biotech-biopharm" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40071:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990 HK)</a> at this stage mainly come from SKB264. The market has higher expectations for SKB264’s clinical data on NSCLC/TNBC. </li>
<li>The better the clinical results of SKB264 +PD1/L1, the greater the negative impact on AK112’s future expectations/market space in NSCLC. ADC +PD-1 seems more “convincing” than the logic of BsAb.</li>
<li>This July, restricted shares of major shareholders will be lifted, which may lead to big share price fluctuation if they reduce their shareholdings. Investors need not rush to be long.</li>
</ul>


The imagination space and good stories for Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990 HK) at this stage mainly come from SKB264. The market has higher expectations for SKB264’s clinical data on NSCLC/TNBC. 
The better the clinical results of SKB264 +PD1/L1, the greater the negative impact on AK112’s future expectations/market space in NSCLC. ADC +PD-1 seems more “convincing” than the logic of BsAb.
This July, restricted shares of major shareholders will be lifted, which may lead to big share price fluctuation if they reduce their shareholdings. Investors need not rush to be long.


Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990.HK) - Current High Valuation Is Not Secure

China

Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharmaceutical Co., Ltd. operates biotechnology businesses. The Company develops and provides biological drugs, chemical raw materials, antibody conjugating drugs, innovative drugs, and other products. Kelun Biotech also operates import and export businesses.

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Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990 HK)

Kelun-Biotech (6990 HK) - Expect More Important Data Release at ESMO 2025

Kelun Biotech reported revenue of RMB950mn in 1H25, with a net loss of RMB145mn. Product sales reached RMB310mn, of which SKB264/sac-TMT...

CMB International

Sichuan Kelun Biotech (6990 HK): Price Surge & Global Index Inclusion

Sichuan Kelun Biotech could be added to a global index in August. There is positioning in the stock, but industry momentum could lead to further...

Brian Freitas