Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kelun-biotech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36801:1" rel="noopener">Kelun Biotech</a> (KB) raised around US$170m in its IPO in July 2023, the lockup on its pre-IPO shareholders is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>KB is a China-based integrated innovative biopharmaceutical company. It has accumulated more than ten years of experience in antibody drug conjugates (ADC) development.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Kelun Biotech (KB) raised around US$170m in its IPO in July 2023, the lockup on its pre-IPO shareholders is set to expire soon.
KB is a China-based integrated innovative biopharmaceutical company. It has accumulated more than ten years of experience in antibody drug conjugates (ADC) development.
In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.


Kelun-Biotech IPO Lock-Up Expiry - Strong Performance Leaves Pre-IPO Investors with Large Gains

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharmaceutical / Equity Bottom-Up

Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharmaceutical (6990 HK)

<ul><li>Promising efficacy of SKB264+A167 in 1L NSCLC. SKB264 (Q3W)+A167 (PD-L1)’s 15.4 months of mPFS in 1L NSCLC was much better than the SoC – 9.0 months mPFS of Keytruda+chemo in KEYNOTE189 and 9.7 months mPFS of tislelizumab+chemo in RATIONALE304.</li><li>SKB264’s Ph3 dose of Q2W could deliver even better efficacy, in our view.</li><li>SKB264 (Q2W) +A167 also showed strong potential in PD-L1 negative NSCLC, with 63.2% ORR and 82.2% 6-mo PFS rate.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Promising efficacy of SKB264+A167 in 1L NSCLC. SKB264 (Q3W)+A167 (PD-L1)’s 15.4 months of mPFS in 1L NSCLC was much better than the SoC – 9.0 months mPFS of Keytruda+chemo in KEYNOTE189 and 9.7 months mPFS of tislelizumab+chemo in RATIONALE304.SKB264’s Ph3 dose of Q2W could deliver even better efficacy, in our view.SKB264 (Q2W) +A167 also showed strong potential in PD-L1 negative NSCLC, with 63.2% ORR and 82.2% 6-mo PFS rate.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Kelun-Biotech (6990 HK) - Data Release at ASCO Further Confirmed SKB264’s Potential

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>We saw the collapse of Akeso's share price after the Company released the clinical data of AK112 on ASCO. Judging from the market reaction, there are indeed“something unsatisfactory” about AK112.</li>
<li>Akeso’s high valuation mainly comes from the expectation that it would be a player that can compete on international stage. But investors' confidence in AK112’s future commercialization has been shaken.</li>
<li>We advise investors to remain patient and "let the bullets fly". It's not yet time for the final result.But, if you want to bet, you need to pay the price.</li>
</ul>


We saw the collapse of Akeso's share price after the Company released the clinical data of AK112 on ASCO. Judging from the market reaction, there are indeed“something unsatisfactory” about AK112.
Akeso’s high valuation mainly comes from the expectation that it would be a player that can compete on international stage. But investors' confidence in AK112’s future commercialization has been shaken.
We advise investors to remain patient and "let the bullets fly". It's not yet time for the final result.But, if you want to bet, you need to pay the price.


Akeso Biopharma (9926.HK) - It's Not Game over Yet

<ul>
<li>Since IPO, stock price of Kelun-Biotech has performed quite well. Then, the Company's valuation fluctuated. Investors seem not excited about <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-kelun-biotech-biopharm" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40071:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990 HK)</a>’s 23H1 performance.</li>
<li>We won’t expect too much on A166 in such a difficult competitive landscape.Commercialization of SKB264 is also challenging.It's difficult to make up the story after A166/SKB264 begin to generate revenue.</li>
<li>After out-licensing all valuable/core assets to Merck, together with the departure of core R&amp;D personnel, Kelun-Biotech has been “hollowed out”.So, Kelun-Biotech's value lies in short-term trade rather than long-term hold.</li>
</ul>


Since IPO, stock price of Kelun-Biotech has performed quite well. Then, the Company's valuation fluctuated. Investors seem not excited about Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990 HK)’s 23H1 performance.
We won’t expect too much on A166 in such a difficult competitive landscape.Commercialization of SKB264 is also challenging.It's difficult to make up the story after A166/SKB264 begin to generate revenue.
After out-licensing all valuable/core assets to Merck, together with the departure of core R&amp;D personnel, Kelun-Biotech has been “hollowed out”.So, Kelun-Biotech's value lies in short-term trade rather than long-term hold.


Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990.HK) - Once the Products Hit the Market, Good Story May Stop

<ul><li>Kelun-Biotech recorded RMB1.54bn revenue in FY23, primarily from licensing and collaboration agreements with MSD.</li><li>In Mar 2023, SKB received around RMB1.21bn upfront payment from MSD for out-licensing certain pre-clinical ADC assets, a portion of which was recognized in FY23.</li><li>Additionally, Kelun-Biotech received RMB215mn milestone payment from MSD related to SKB264 in 4Q23. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Kelun-Biotech recorded RMB1.54bn revenue in FY23, primarily from licensing and collaboration agreements with MSD.In Mar 2023, SKB received around RMB1.21bn upfront payment from MSD for out-licensing certain pre-clinical ADC assets, a portion of which was recognized in FY23.Additionally, Kelun-Biotech received RMB215mn milestone payment from MSD related to SKB264 in 4Q23. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Kelun-Biotech (6990 HK) - Intense Data Release to Further Validate the Global Potential of SKB264

China

Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharmaceutical is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the research, development, manufacturing, and commercialization of innovative biological and small molecule drugs, particularly Antibody-Drug Conjugates (ADCs). It addresses unmet medical needs in oncology, autoimmune disorders, and metabolic diseases, with key products including sacituzumab tirumotecan and trastuzumab botidotin. The company is headquartered in Chengdu, Sichuan, China, and was founded in 2016.

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Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharmaceutical (6990 HK)

Kelun-Biotech IPO Lock-Up Expiry - Strong Performance Leaves Pre-IPO Investors with Large Gains

Kelun Biotech (KB) raised around US$170m in its IPO in July 2023, the lockup on its pre-IPO shareholders is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Kelun-Biotech (6990 HK) - Data Release at ASCO Further Confirmed SKB264’s Potential

With Trodelvy and Dato-DXd missing the OS endpoints in Ph3 trials for 2/3L NSCLC, we think SKB264 will enjoy a better positioning in the global...

CMB International

Akeso Biopharma (9926.HK) - It's Not Game over Yet

Akeso's share price plunged after unsatisfactory clinical data release for AK112 at ASCO, raising doubts about international...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990.HK) - Once the Products Hit the Market, Good Story May Stop

Kelun Bio seeks to raise HKD540.5M in net proceeds from Share Placement. The Placing Price is HKD150/share (6.8% discount to Last Traded Price of...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Kelun-Biotech (6990 HK) - Intense Data Release to Further Validate the Global Potential of SKB264

In Mar 2023, SKB received around RMB1.21bn upfront payment from MSD for out-licensing certain pre-clinical ADC assets, a portion of which was...

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Kelun-Biotech IPO Lock-Up Expiry - Strong Performance Leaves Pre-IPO Investors with Large Gains

Kelun Biotech (KB) raised around US$170m in its IPO in July 2023, the lockup on its pre-IPO shareholders is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Kelun-Biotech (6990 HK) - Data Release at ASCO Further Confirmed SKB264’s Potential

With Trodelvy and Dato-DXd missing the OS endpoints in Ph3 trials for 2/3L NSCLC, we think SKB264 will enjoy a better positioning in the global...

CMB International

Akeso Biopharma (9926.HK) - It's Not Game over Yet

​Akeso's share price plunged after unsatisfactory clinical data release for AK112 at ASCO, raising doubts about international...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990.HK) - Once the Products Hit the Market, Good Story May Stop

Kelun Bio seeks to raise HKD540.5M in net proceeds from Share Placement. The Placing Price is HKD150/share (6.8% discount to Last Traded Price of...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Kelun-Biotech (6990 HK) - Intense Data Release to Further Validate the Global Potential of SKB264

In Mar 2023, SKB received around RMB1.21bn upfront payment from MSD for out-licensing certain pre-clinical ADC assets, a portion of which was...

CMB International

Akeso's share price plunged after unsatisfactory clinical data release for AK112 at ASCO, raising doubts about international...