Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Beautiful Skew still AWOL/MIA. The wider the spread, the worse the result. </li>
<li>Large SOE H vs A generally strong.  Strong net inflow into SOE Hs via SOUTHBOUND.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there - free - for all SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Beautiful Skew still AWOL/MIA. The wider the spread, the worse the result. 
Large SOE H vs A generally strong.  Strong net inflow into SOE Hs via SOUTHBOUND.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there - free - for all SK readers.


A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 7 Nov 2025):  Beautiful Skew Behaving Badly, CNOOC Better

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seres-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45945:1" rel="noopener">Seres Group (9927 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$131.50 to raise HK$14,283 million (US$1.8 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/seres-group-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:206418" rel="noopener">Seres Group H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/seres-group-h-share-listing-9927-hk-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:207355" rel="noopener">Seres Group H Share Listing (9927 HK): Valuation Insights</a>.</li>
<li>The price momentum is weak, and the international oversubscription rates were below the median of recent large AH listings. Nevertheless, Seres' AH discount remains attractive.</li>
</ul>



Seres Group (9927 HK) priced its H Share at HK$131.50 to raise HK$14,283 million (US$1.8 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.
I discussed the H Share listing in Seres Group H Share Listing: The Investment Case and Seres Group H Share Listing (9927 HK): Valuation Insights.
The price momentum is weak, and the international oversubscription rates were below the median of recent large AH listings. Nevertheless, Seres' AH discount remains attractive.


Seres Group H Share Listing (9927 HK): Trading Debut

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 62.2% as of Oct 31st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 2.3ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, financials and offset by real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Sinotrans, Jiangxi Copper, Everbright Securities, Guangzhou Automobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 62.2% as of Oct 31st.
The average A-H premium changed by 2.3ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, financials and offset by real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Sinotrans, Jiangxi Copper, Everbright Securities, Guangzhou Automobile.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 31st): Sinotrans, Jiangxi Copper, Everbright Securities

Sany Heavy Industry / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20183:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH)</a> priced its H Share at HK$21.30 to raise HK$13,453 million (US$1.7 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sany-heavy-industry-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:205839" rel="noopener">SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sany-heavy-industry-h-share-listing-6031-hk-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:206617" rel="noopener">SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>Sany's international oversubscription rates were above the median of recent large AH listings. The AH discount remains reasonable.</li>
</ul>



Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH) priced its H Share at HK$21.30 to raise HK$13,453 million (US$1.7 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.
I discussed the H Share listing in SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing: The Investment Case and SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Valuation Insights. 
Sany's international oversubscription rates were above the median of recent large AH listings. The AH discount remains reasonable.


SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Trading Debut

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ganfeng-lithium-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26795:1" rel="noopener">Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK)</a>'s stock price has surged over the last 6 months, and the higher free float market cap should result in global index inclusion in November.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ganfeng-lithium-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26795:1" rel="noopener">Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK)</a> has outperformed its peers and is trading at higher valuations on most metrics. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tianqi-lithium-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27789:1" rel="noopener">Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK)</a> is trading a lot cheaper.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangxi-ganfeng-lithium-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17408:1" rel="noopener">Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium (002460 CH)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ganfeng-lithium-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26795:1" rel="noopener">Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK)</a> premium has drifted lower and there could be a move higher as we near index inclusion.</li>
</ul>



Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK)'s stock price has surged over the last 6 months, and the higher free float market cap should result in global index inclusion in November.

Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK) has outperformed its peers and is trading at higher valuations on most metrics. Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK) is trading a lot cheaper.
The Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium (002460 CH) / Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK) premium has drifted lower and there could be a move higher as we near index inclusion.


Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK): Global Index Inclusion, Outperformance & The A/H Trade

China

Sichuan Tianqi Lithium Industries, Inc. develops, manufactures and sells lithium products.  The Company's products include industrial lithium carbonate, battery lithium carbonate, lithium chloride, and lithium hydroxide.

Price Gauge
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Tianqi Lithium (002466 CH)

A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 7 Nov 2025): Beautiful Skew Behaving Badly, CNOOC Better

Hs rebound vs As in pairs where both trade. SOEs do well. Beautiful skew is not a thing anymore. Absent from the market for weeks, but value...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 31st): Sinotrans, Jiangxi Copper, Everbright Securities

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Sinotrans, Jiangxi Copper, Everbright Securities, Guangzhou...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK): Global Index Inclusion, Outperformance & The A/H Trade

Ganfeng Lithium could be added to a global index in Nov. The stock has outperformed peers and trades at higher valuations. The A/H premium has...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 7 Nov 2025): Beautiful Skew Behaving Badly, CNOOC Better

Hs rebound vs As in pairs where both trade. SOEs do well. Beautiful skew is not a thing anymore. Absent from the market for weeks, but value...

Travis Lundy

Seres Group H Share Listing (9927 HK): Trading Debut

The price momentum is weak, and the international oversubscription rates were below the median of recent large AH listings. Nevertheless, Seres' AH...

Arun George

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 31st): Sinotrans, Jiangxi Copper, Everbright Securities

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Sinotrans, Jiangxi Copper, Everbright Securities, Guangzhou...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Trading Debut

Sany Heavy raised US$1.7 billion in gross proceeds. Sany's international oversubscription rates were above the median of recent large AH listings....

Arun George

Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK): Global Index Inclusion, Outperformance & The A/H Trade

Ganfeng Lithium could be added to a global index in Nov. The stock has outperformed peers and trades at higher valuations. The A/H premium has...

Brian Freitas