Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 20 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn).</li>
<li>Financials are expected to gain 9 index spots and Materials are expected to gain 3 spots. Consumer Discretionary could lose 5 spots and Information Technology could lose 4 spots.</li>
</ul>


There could be 20 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn).
Financials are expected to gain 9 index spots and Materials are expected to gain 3 spots. Consumer Discretionary could lose 5 spots and Information Technology could lose 4 spots.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Several Indian sectors have demonstrated a robust recovery in operating margins on a Year-over-Year (YoY) basis as of March 2025 (Q4 FY25)</li>
<li>This broad-based improvement is primarily attributed to a confluence of industry-wide factors, predominantly the easing of input costs driven by moderating inflation.</li>
<li>Sectors like Telecom, Metals, Cement, Consumer Durables, Capital Goods, Automobile, Healthcare, EMS are seeing uptick in margins</li>
</ul>


Several Indian sectors have demonstrated a robust recovery in operating margins on a Year-over-Year (YoY) basis as of March 2025 (Q4 FY25)
This broad-based improvement is primarily attributed to a confluence of industry-wide factors, predominantly the easing of input costs driven by moderating inflation.
Sectors like Telecom, Metals, Cement, Consumer Durables, Capital Goods, Automobile, Healthcare, EMS are seeing uptick in margins


Charted Insights : Sectors Seeing Margin Uptick as Inflation Cools Down in India

<ul>
<li>In line with forecasts, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nestle-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13101:1" rel="noopener">Nestle India</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indusind-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1558:1" rel="noopener">Indusind Bank</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index</a> after the close of trading on 20 June.</li>
<li>Passive funds are estimated to buy 3-4 days of ADV in the adds and sell 1-10 days of ADV in the deletes. That increase to 3.5-17 days of delivery volume.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indusind-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1558:1" rel="noopener">Indusind Bank (IIB IN)</a> stock has dropped recently due to a large quarterly loss and allegations of fraud. The stock is also a potential deletion from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>.</li>
</ul>


In line with forecasts, Trent and Bharat Electronics will replace Nestle India and Indusind Bank in the S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index after the close of trading on 20 June.
Passive funds are estimated to buy 3-4 days of ADV in the adds and sell 1-10 days of ADV in the deletes. That increase to 3.5-17 days of delivery volume.

Indusind Bank (IIB IN) stock has dropped recently due to a large quarterly loss and allegations of fraud. The stock is also a potential deletion from the NIFTY Index.


SENSEX Index Rebalance: Trent, Bharat Electronics to Replace Nestle, IndusInd Bank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>In the past five years, when Central government accelerated its capex momen-tum to bring about sustainable investment-led growth in the country, the in-vestor community remained puzzled with two questions: Is private capex picking up as well? (Capex-on a sustainable upswing)</li><li>If private capex is picking up, then why isn’t that visible in credit growth of the banking system?</li><li>Top capex plays (HSIE coverage): Cummins India, Siemens, SRF, L&amp;T, Maruti, Mahindra &amp; Mahindra, Apollo Hospitals, JSPL, NTPC, and Power-Grid.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In the past five years, when Central government accelerated its capex momen-tum to bring about sustainable investment-led growth in the country, the in-vestor community remained puzzled with two questions: Is private capex picking up as well? (Capex-on a sustainable upswing)If private capex is picking up, then why isn’t that visible in credit growth of the banking system?Top capex plays (HSIE coverage): Cummins India, Siemens, SRF, L&amp;T, Maruti, Mahindra &amp; Mahindra, Apollo Hospitals, JSPL, NTPC, and Power-Grid.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Capex Tracker: Private and central capex strong, states fall behind

<ul><li>Government support in some sectors, while others stay muted: During Q4FY25, the government capex or awards pick-up is still subpar ex of T&amp;D</li><li>Our interactions with the road segment stakeholders suggest that though the bid pipeline is strong, awards are getting postponed</li><li>Water projects under JJM have not seen any recent awards and even the awarded projects have slowed down</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Government support in some sectors, while others stay muted: During Q4FY25, the government capex or awards pick-up is still subpar ex of T&amp;DOur interactions with the road segment stakeholders suggest that though the bid pipeline is strong, awards are getting postponedWater projects under JJM have not seen any recent awards and even the awarded projects have slowed downContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Industrials (Q4FY25 Results Preview): Expecting Recovery

India

Siemens Ltd. has its operations in various areas: in the transportation sector it delivers high speed trains, in the lighting sector it manufactures small light bulbs. In the healthcare sector Siemens executes complete solutions for hospitals, for the industry sector it builds airports as well as produces contracts & for the communication segment it provides public network to mobiles.

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Siemens Ltd (SIEM IN)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

We forecast 20 changes for the index in June. One-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn). The...

Brian Freitas

Charted Insights : Sectors Seeing Margin Uptick as Inflation Cools Down in India

Indian sectors show strong recovery in operating margins in Q4 FY25 due to lower input costs driven by easing inflation.

Sudarshan Bhandari

SENSEX Index Rebalance: Trent, Bharat Electronics to Replace Nestle, IndusInd Bank

Trent and Bharat Electronics will replace Nestle and IndusInd Bank in the Sensex from 23 June. The changes were forecast and there is positioning...

Brian Freitas

Capex Tracker: Private and central capex strong, states fall behind

Top capex plays (HSIE coverage): Cummins India, Siemens, SRF, L&T, Maruti, Mahindra & Mahindra, Apollo Hospitals, JSPL, NTPC, and Power-Grid.

HDFC Securities

Industrials (Q4FY25 Results Preview): Expecting Recovery

Government support in some sectors, while others stay muted: During Q4FY25, the government capex or awards pick-up is still subpar ex of T&D

HDFC Securities

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

We forecast 20 changes for the index in June. One-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn). The...

Brian Freitas

Charted Insights : Sectors Seeing Margin Uptick as Inflation Cools Down in India

​Indian sectors show strong recovery in operating margins in Q4 FY25 due to lower input costs driven by easing inflation.

Sudarshan Bhandari

SENSEX Index Rebalance: Trent, Bharat Electronics to Replace Nestle, IndusInd Bank

Trent and Bharat Electronics will replace Nestle and IndusInd Bank in the Sensex from 23 June. The changes were forecast and there is positioning...

Brian Freitas

Capex Tracker: Private and central capex strong, states fall behind

Top capex plays (HSIE coverage): Cummins India, Siemens, SRF, L&T, Maruti, Mahindra & Mahindra, Apollo Hospitals, JSPL, NTPC, and Power-Grid.

HDFC Securities

Industrials (Q4FY25 Results Preview): Expecting Recovery

Government support in some sectors, while others stay muted: During Q4FY25, the government capex or awards pick-up is still subpar ex of T&D

HDFC Securities

Indian sectors show strong recovery in operating margins in Q4 FY25 due to lower input costs driven by easing inflation.