Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China's central bank cuts rates and unveils new measures to combat economic slowdown, creating a more relaxed monetary policy environment to stimulate consumption and investment.</li>
<li>Silergy's Automotive segment remains a driving force, especially with the addition of the Electric Vehicle ( EV) market.</li>
<li>While Silergy faced demand insufficiency previously, it has indicated that the end demand is expected to revive by the end of 2024 from the 4th quarter.</li>
</ul>


China's central bank cuts rates and unveils new measures to combat economic slowdown, creating a more relaxed monetary policy environment to stimulate consumption and investment.
Silergy's Automotive segment remains a driving force, especially with the addition of the Electric Vehicle ( EV) market.
While Silergy faced demand insufficiency previously, it has indicated that the end demand is expected to revive by the end of 2024 from the 4th quarter.


Silergy (6415.TT): Positive Optimistic Future Outlook

<ul>
<li>Company's 2Q24 overall performance exceeded expectations, and 3Q and 4Q are expected to be flat and to grow by 10-20% per quarter, respectively.</li>
<li>With expectations of continued improvement in ASP and cost structure, overall gross profit margin is expected to continue to grow.</li>
<li>Gen4 (12") is mainly applied in EV, AI server, and new energy sectors, as these applications have higher specification requirements.</li>
</ul>


Company's 2Q24 overall performance exceeded expectations, and 3Q and 4Q are expected to be flat and to grow by 10-20% per quarter, respectively.
With expectations of continued improvement in ASP and cost structure, overall gross profit margin is expected to continue to grow.
Gen4 (12") is mainly applied in EV, AI server, and new energy sectors, as these applications have higher specification requirements.


Silergy (6415.TT): 2024 Can Be Operating Trough, and Revenue in 2025 Is Expected to Grow by 20-30%.

<ul>
<li>We are surprised that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silergy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13998:1" rel="noopener">Silergy Corp (6415 TT)</a> is using <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vanguard-international-semi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16011:1" rel="noopener">Vanguard Intl Semiconductor (5347 TT)</a> to trial-run products.</li>
<li>The outlook for 2024 remains unchanged at over 20% YoY, and we still see a path to recovery ahead.</li>
<li>We consider the recent drop from NTD$526 on June 14th to NTD$429 on July 5th as an opportunity to consider entering the stock.</li>
</ul>


We are surprised that Silergy Corp (6415 TT) is using Vanguard Intl Semiconductor (5347 TT) to trial-run products.
The outlook for 2024 remains unchanged at over 20% YoY, and we still see a path to recovery ahead.
We consider the recent drop from NTD$526 on June 14th to NTD$429 on July 5th as an opportunity to consider entering the stock.


Silergy (6415.TT): Trial-Run with Vanguard, and Recent Stock Drops Represent an Entry Opportunity.

<ul>
<li>We presume Silergy is likely to see demand recovery or inventory rebuilding starting from 2Q24.</li>
<li>Silergy's wafer demand is projected to increase by 30-40% QoQ from 2Q24 onwards.  </li>
<li>Silergy's primary focus remains on China, Taiwan, and Korea, but the US market is promising for potential growth.  </li>
</ul>


We presume Silergy is likely to see demand recovery or inventory rebuilding starting from 2Q24.
Silergy's wafer demand is projected to increase by 30-40% QoQ from 2Q24 onwards.  
Silergy's primary focus remains on China, Taiwan, and Korea, but the US market is promising for potential growth.  


Silergy (6147.TT): The Wafer Demand Is Projected to Increase by 30-40% QoQ from 2Q24 Onwards.

<ul>
<li>Silergy foresees the demand will be larger than capacity in 2022. Silergy expects Auto, Sever Mother-board, SSD and others should be showing a strong demand in 2022.</li>
<li>The shipment lead-time is controlled around 5~6 months, which indicated that the demand is strong for 2022~23.</li>
<li>The generation 3rd will be optimized until 2026. Silergy will need some new suppliers for generation 4th in 2023. In 2026, generation 3rd &amp; 4th will dominate Silergy’s revenue. </li>
</ul>


Silergy foresees the demand will be larger than capacity in 2022. Silergy expects Auto, Sever Mother-board, SSD and others should be showing a strong demand in 2022.
The shipment lead-time is controlled around 5~6 months, which indicated that the demand is strong for 2022~23.
The generation 3rd will be optimized until 2026. Silergy will need some new suppliers for generation 4th in 2023. In 2026, generation 3rd &amp; 4th will dominate Silergy’s revenue. 


Silergy (6415.TT): Earnings Conference for 4Q21- The Demand Is Strong for 2022~23.

China

Silergy Corp designs and manufactures a broad range of high performance analog integrated circuits.  The Company's products include single output step down regulators, dual output regulators, single output step by step regulators, power management ICs, step up LED backlight regulator, AC-DC LED lighting controller, DC input LED lighting drivers, LDO regulators, and protection switch

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Silergy Corp (6415 TT)

Silergy (6415.TT): Positive Optimistic Future Outlook

China's central bank eases monetary policy to boost economy, Silergy sees growth in Automotive EV markets, expects demand to pick up by end of 2024.

Patrick Liao

Silergy (6415.TT): 2024 Can Be Operating Trough, and Revenue in 2025 Is Expected to Grow by 20-30%.

Company's strong 2Q24 performance surpasses expectations, with flat 3Q and 10-20% growth in 4Q; Gen4 mainly used in EV, AI server, and new energy...

Patrick Liao

Silergy (6415.TT): Trial-Run with Vanguard, and Recent Stock Drops Represent an Entry Opportunity.

Silergy Corp surprises by using Vanguard Intl Semiconductor for product trial-runs, with a positive outlook for 2024 and a potential entry...

Patrick Liao

Silergy (6147.TT): The Wafer Demand Is Projected to Increase by 30-40% QoQ from 2Q24 Onwards.

Silergy anticipates demand recovery in 2Q24 with a projected 30-40% increase in wafer demand, focusing on China, Taiwan, Korea, and potential...

Patrick Liao

Silergy (6415.TT): Earnings Conference for 4Q21- The Demand Is Strong for 2022~23.

Silergy expects Auto, Sever Mother-board, SSD should be showing a strong demand in 2022. The shipment lead-time is controlled at around 5~6 months,...

Patrick Liao

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Silergy (6415.TT): Positive Optimistic Future Outlook

​China's central bank eases monetary policy to boost economy, Silergy sees growth in Automotive EV markets, expects demand to pick up by end of 2024.

Patrick Liao

Silergy (6415.TT): 2024 Can Be Operating Trough, and Revenue in 2025 Is Expected to Grow by 20-30%.

​Company's strong 2Q24 performance surpasses expectations, with flat 3Q and 10-20% growth in 4Q; Gen4 mainly used in EV, AI server, and new energy...

Patrick Liao

Silergy (6415.TT): Trial-Run with Vanguard, and Recent Stock Drops Represent an Entry Opportunity.

​Silergy Corp surprises by using Vanguard Intl Semiconductor for product trial-runs, with a positive outlook for 2024 and a potential entry...

Patrick Liao

Silergy (6147.TT): The Wafer Demand Is Projected to Increase by 30-40% QoQ from 2Q24 Onwards.

​Silergy anticipates demand recovery in 2Q24 with a projected 30-40% increase in wafer demand, focusing on China, Taiwan, Korea, and potential...

Patrick Liao

Silergy (6415.TT): Earnings Conference for 4Q21- The Demand Is Strong for 2022~23.

Silergy expects Auto, Sever Mother-board, SSD should be showing a strong demand in 2022. The shipment lead-time is controlled at around 5~6 months,...

Patrick Liao

China's central bank eases monetary policy to boost economy, Silergy sees growth in Automotive EV markets, expects demand to pick up by end of 2024.

Company's strong 2Q24 performance surpasses expectations, with flat 3Q and 10-20% growth in 4Q; Gen4 mainly used in EV, AI server, and new energy...

Silergy Corp surprises by using Vanguard Intl Semiconductor for product trial-runs, with a positive outlook for 2024 and a potential entry...

Silergy anticipates demand recovery in 2Q24 with a projected 30-40% increase in wafer demand, focusing on China, Taiwan, Korea, and potential...