HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The fake news about China reopen and the COVID-19 vaccine business are the major driving force for the rally of CanSino’s share price. However, such rally would not last long.</li>
<li>CanSino didn’t perform well in Q3 and 2022 would be a difficult year for CanSino. The major turning point of CanSino performance still lies in MCV4, not COVID-19 vaccines. </li>
<li>CanSino's H-share valuation has become more reasonable,but the downside risk in HKEX is hard to predict. Investors could consider offload and secure the gains. There’s better opportunity to long ahead.</li>
</ul>


The fake news about China reopen and the COVID-19 vaccine business are the major driving force for the rally of CanSino’s share price. However, such rally would not last long.
CanSino didn’t perform well in Q3 and 2022 would be a difficult year for CanSino. The major turning point of CanSino performance still lies in MCV4, not COVID-19 vaccines. 
CanSino's H-share valuation has become more reasonable,but the downside risk in HKEX is hard to predict. Investors could consider offload and secure the gains. There’s better opportunity to long ahead.


CanSino Biologics (6185.HK/688185.CH) - Time to Offload; the Rally May Not Last Long

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Last week, centralized procurement results of orthopedic spinal consumables were released, with an average price reduction of 84%. We analyzed the impact on related companies. </li>
<li>If medical insurance reimbursement standards of Hunan Provincial are followed, there will be few real clinical needs for surgical robots for many hospitals, mainly to meet scientific research needs instead.</li>
<li>Under the appearance of the popularity of CGT CDMO, there are some hidden worries. Investors are recommended to be rational due to the overcapacity issue in the future.</li>
</ul>


Last week, centralized procurement results of orthopedic spinal consumables were released, with an average price reduction of 84%. We analyzed the impact on related companies. 
If medical insurance reimbursement standards of Hunan Provincial are followed, there will be few real clinical needs for surgical robots for many hospitals, mainly to meet scientific research needs instead.
Under the appearance of the popularity of CGT CDMO, there are some hidden worries. Investors are recommended to be rational due to the overcapacity issue in the future.


China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.30) - Orthopedics VBP, CGT CDMO, Surgical Robots, Bottom of HKEX

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genuine-biotech-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36220:1" rel="noopener">Genuine Biotech (GBL HK)</a> has filed for HK listing. Its Azvudine received NMPA approval for the treatment of COVID-19 in July 2022 to become the first China-made oral COVID-19 drug.</li>
<li>Azvudine was conditionally approved by the NMPA for the treatment of HIV infection in July 2021. However, the drug is yet to be commercialized.</li>
<li>Genuine Biotech plans to use the IPO proceeds for the commercialization of Azvudine. The company’s current cash balance can maintain its financial viability for approximately 20 months.</li>
</ul>



Genuine Biotech (GBL HK) has filed for HK listing. Its Azvudine received NMPA approval for the treatment of COVID-19 in July 2022 to become the first China-made oral COVID-19 drug.
Azvudine was conditionally approved by the NMPA for the treatment of HIV infection in July 2021. However, the drug is yet to be commercialized.
Genuine Biotech plans to use the IPO proceeds for the commercialization of Azvudine. The company’s current cash balance can maintain its financial viability for approximately 20 months.


Genuine Biotech (GBL HK): COVID Pill No Longer Attractive Opportunity; Thin Pipeline Mars Conviction

Simcere Pharmaceutical Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Simcere’s profit was mainly driven by the income of non-recurring items (investment business). Due to unfriendly external environment, investors are recommended to be prepared for further decline in net profit. </li>
<li>The overall quality of Simcere’s pipeline is not high, which would be difficult to bring decent revenue in the next few years. Simcere’s transformation is not as smooth as expected.</li>
<li>In fact, over the years, Simcere's strongest capability lies in the sales rather than R&amp;D. Since the game rule changes, we are bearish on Simcere.</li>
</ul>


Simcere’s profit was mainly driven by the income of non-recurring items (investment business). Due to unfriendly external environment, investors are recommended to be prepared for further decline in net profit. 
The overall quality of Simcere’s pipeline is not high, which would be difficult to bring decent revenue in the next few years. Simcere’s transformation is not as smooth as expected.
In fact, over the years, Simcere's strongest capability lies in the sales rather than R&amp;D. Since the game rule changes, we are bearish on Simcere.


Simcere Pharmaceutical Group (2096.HK) 22H1 - Gloomy Outlook and Risks in Profits

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website. </li>
<li>Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase - or decrease - in the shareholding by directors. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute. </li>
<li>These insights also flags those companies where shares have been pledged, both recently and ongoing.</li>
</ul>


The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website. 
Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase - or decrease - in the shareholding by directors. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute. 
These insights also flags those companies where shares have been pledged, both recently and ongoing.


Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings - 26th July 2022

China

Simcere Pharmaceutical Group manufactures and supplies branded generic pharmaceuticals to the China market. The Company's products include antibiotics, anti-cancer medications and anti-stroke medications.

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Simcere Pharmaceutical Group (2096 HK)

CanSino Biologics (6185.HK/688185.CH) - Time to Offload; the Rally May Not Last Long

The fake news about China reopen and COVID-19 vaccine business are major driving force for the rally of CanSino’s share price, but such rally would...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.30) - Orthopedics VBP, CGT CDMO, Surgical Robots, Bottom of HKEX

Orthopedics VBP result was released,we analyzed the impact on companies; There will be few real clinical needs for surgical robots; There're hidden...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Genuine Biotech (GBL HK): COVID Pill No Longer Attractive Opportunity; Thin Pipeline Mars Conviction

Genuine Biotech has filed for Hong Kong listing to raise funds to commercialize its newly approved drug. The company’s Azvudine is the first China...

Tina Banerjee