IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uzabase-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27798:1" rel="noopener">Uzabase Inc (3966 JP)</a> has recommended <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carlyle-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33402:1" rel="noopener">Carlyle Group Inc (CG US)</a>’s tender offer of JPY1,500 per share, a 72.2% premium to the undisturbed price (9 November).</li>
<li>The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the offer has been set to meet the 66.67% ownership ratio.</li>
<li>The offer is reasonable. The offer ends on 22 December. Tendering shares represent a 27.94% ownership ratio. At the last close, the gross spread to the offer is 46.9%.</li>
</ul>



Uzabase Inc (3966 JP) has recommended Carlyle Group Inc (CG US)’s tender offer of JPY1,500 per share, a 72.2% premium to the undisturbed price (9 November).
The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the offer has been set to meet the 66.67% ownership ratio.
The offer is reasonable. The offer ends on 22 December. Tendering shares represent a 27.94% ownership ratio. At the last close, the gross spread to the offer is 46.9%.


Uzabase’s (3966 JP) JPY1,500 Tender Offer from Carlyle

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/socionext-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36351:1" rel="noopener">Socionext (6526 JP)</a> raised around US$463m in its Japan IPO. The IPO consisted of 100% secondary shares.</li>
<li>Socionext is a fabless semiconductor provider which commenced operations after integrating the system on a chip (SoC) businesses of Fujitsu Semiconductor Limited and Panasonic Holding Corporation.  </li>
<li>In this note we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Socionext (6526 JP) raised around US$463m in its Japan IPO. The IPO consisted of 100% secondary shares.
Socionext is a fabless semiconductor provider which commenced operations after integrating the system on a chip (SoC) businesses of Fujitsu Semiconductor Limited and Panasonic Holding Corporation.  
In this note we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Socionext IPO Trading - Upsized IPO with Strong Demand. Peers Inched Downwards, but Upside Remains

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jmdc-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28673:1" rel="noopener">JMDC Inc (4483 JP)</a> aims to raise around US$235m, US$150m coming via an international offering and the rest via issuing shares to its largest shareholder, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/omron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15904:1" rel="noopener">Omron Corp (6645 JP)</a> . </li>
<li>The company plans to use the proceeds to repay some of its debt that was taken on earlier to acquire other companies.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



JMDC Inc (4483 JP) aims to raise around US$235m, US$150m coming via an international offering and the rest via issuing shares to its largest shareholder, Omron Corp (6645 JP) . 
The company plans to use the proceeds to repay some of its debt that was taken on earlier to acquire other companies.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


JMDC Placement - Lots to like but past Deals Have Been Mixed and It Is Expensive

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

NTT (Nippon Telegraph & Telephone) / Event-Driven

NTT (Nippon Telegraph & Telephone) (9432 JP)

<ul>
<li>On 7 April, the JPX announced the changes to the Free Float Weights (FFW) for the TOPIX Index. There are some big changes due to the updated FFW methodology.</li>
<li>From April to June, we see a one-way turnover of 2.87% and a one-way trade of ¥2,285bn. Some stocks have opposite way flows in different months.</li>
<li>Stocks with inflows outperformed stocks with outflows from Oct-Dec 2021 before giving up all the gains. These stocks have started to outperform and could continue outperforming over the next quarter.</li>
</ul>


On 7 April, the JPX announced the changes to the Free Float Weights (FFW) for the TOPIX Index. There are some big changes due to the updated FFW methodology.
From April to June, we see a one-way turnover of 2.87% and a one-way trade of ¥2,285bn. Some stocks have opposite way flows in different months.
Stocks with inflows outperformed stocks with outflows from Oct-Dec 2021 before giving up all the gains. These stocks have started to outperform and could continue outperforming over the next quarter.


TOPIX FFW Transition - Big Flows from April to June

<ul>
<li>Net Protections Holdings (NPH), a buy now pay later service provider, aims to raise up to US$570m via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>As per Yano Research, it had 40% market share in the domestic BNPL market for B2C transactions.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive and negative aspects of the deal</li>
</ul>


Net Protections Holdings (NPH), a buy now pay later service provider, aims to raise up to US$570m via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares in its Japan IPO.
As per Yano Research, it had 40% market share in the domestic BNPL market for B2C transactions.
In this note, we will talk about the positive and negative aspects of the deal


Net Protections Holdings IPO - Mixed Bag of Positives and Negatives

Japan

Simplex Holdings, Inc. provides system information technology solutions. The Company offers system consulting, system development, system operation and maintenance, and other services.  Simplex Holdings serves financial institutions across worldwide.

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Simplex Holdings (4373 JP)

Uzabase’s (3966 JP) JPY1,500 Tender Offer from Carlyle

The tender offer is reasonable and ends on 22 December. The lower limit of the offer has been set at a 66.67% ownership ratio. At the last close,...

Arun George

Socionext IPO Trading - Upsized IPO with Strong Demand. Peers Inched Downwards, but Upside Remains

Socionext (6526 JP) raised around US$463m in its Japan IPO. The IPO consisted of 100% secondary shares. In this note we will talk about the trading...

Clarence Chu

JMDC Placement - Lots to like but past Deals Have Been Mixed and It Is Expensive

JMDC Inc (4483 JP) aims to raise around US$235m, US$150m coming via an international offering and the rest via issuing shares to its largest...

Sumeet Singh

TOPIX FFW Transition - Big Flows from April to June

Changes to the Topix FFW methodology will result in a turnover of 2.87% & trade of ¥2,285bn from April to June. There is a lot to trade on some...

Brian Freitas

Net Protections Holdings IPO - Mixed Bag of Positives and Negatives

Net Protections Holdings (NPH), a buy now pay later service provider, aims to raise up to US$570m via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares...

Sumeet Singh

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