Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinarmas-land-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1144" rel="noopener">Sinarmas Land (SML SP)</a> to divest Guernsey property for GBP247.5m</li><li>Condo resale prices continue upward momentum for 23rd straight month in Jun22; Prices to grow 6-8% over rest of 2022</li><li>APAC hotel investment rose 33% YoY in 1H22; Singapore leading the way with US$900m capital inflows YTD</li></ul>

Sinarmas Land (SML SP) to divest Guernsey property for GBP247.5mCondo resale prices continue upward momentum for 23rd straight month in Jun22; Prices to grow 6-8% over rest of 2022APAC hotel investment rose 33% YoY in 1H22; Singapore leading the way with US$900m capital inflows YTD

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (14Jul22) - SML Divests Another UK Property

<ul><li>Surging demand + limited supply = perfect storm as rents rising by 20-40% on average</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinarmas-land-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1144" rel="noopener">Sinarmas Land (SML SP)</a> forms investment arm to fund Indonesian startups</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/filinvest-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33764" rel="noopener">Filinvest REIT (FILRT PM)</a> – Dragging market price pushing up yields (Regina Capital)</li></ul>

Surging demand + limited supply = perfect storm as rents rising by 20-40% on averageSinarmas Land (SML SP) forms investment arm to fund Indonesian startupsFilinvest REIT (FILRT PM) – Dragging market price pushing up yields (Regina Capital)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (28Jun22) - Perferct Storm as Rents Rising 20-40% on Avg

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lhn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27234" rel="noopener">LHN Ltd (LHN SP)</a> 1H22 PATMI +117.4% YoY; More Co-living properties will be launched in 2H22</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ec-world-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22842" rel="noopener">EC World Reit (ECWREIT SP)</a> 1Q22 DPU -9.7% YoY; Timing difference in pre-termination compensation received</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oue-commercial-real-estate-investment-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:912" rel="noopener">OUE Commercial REIT (OUECT SP)</a> 1Q22 Business Updates – RevPAR recovery appears slow and Commercial occupancy remains flattish at low 90%</li></ul>

LHN Ltd (LHN SP) 1H22 PATMI +117.4% YoY; More Co-living properties will be launched in 2H22EC World Reit (ECWREIT SP) 1Q22 DPU -9.7% YoY; Timing difference in pre-termination compensation receivedOUE Commercial REIT (OUECT SP) 1Q22 Business Updates – RevPAR recovery appears slow and Commercial occupancy remains flattish at low 90%

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (13May22) - LHN Co-Living Bearing Fruits

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uol-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:142" rel="noopener">UOL Group (UOL SP)</a> 2H21 PATMI +126% YoY; Stronger contributions from property development and hotel properties</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-logistics-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16035" rel="noopener">Mapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP)</a> acquires South Korean Logistic at 4.0% NPI yield; Expected to be DPU accretive</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yanlord-land-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14152" rel="noopener">Yanlord Land (YLLG SP)</a> 2H21 net profit fell 13% YoY; Declared S$0.068/share divvy (~5.6% yield)</li></ul>

UOL Group (UOL SP) 2H21 PATMI +126% YoY; Stronger contributions from property development and hotel propertiesMapletree Logistics Trust (MLT SP) acquires South Korean Logistic at 4.0% NPI yield; Expected to be DPU accretiveYanlord Land (YLLG SP) 2H21 net profit fell 13% YoY; Declared S$0.068/share divvy (~5.6% yield)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (1Mar22) - UOL Stronger Contributions from Prop Dev't and Hotels

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55" rel="noopener">Capitaland (CAPL SP)</a> 1H21 PATMI +846% YoY; Solid divestments and investments YTD, fund management and residential the bright spot</h3><ul><li>1H21 revenue increased by 34.7% YoY to S$2,730m, mainly driven by development projects as more units were handed over in China and higher progressive revenue recognition from One Pearl Bank in Singapore, partially offset by lower handover of units in Vietnam. The increase was also attributed to lower rental rebates granted to tenants in Singapore and China, higher transactional fee from the listed REITs and unlisted funds, as well as contribution from the newly acquired business park properties in China and an office building in Singapore, 79 Robinson Road, which commenced operation 2H20</li><li>1H21 PATMI increased by 845.5% YoY and came in at S$922.2m, while operating PATMI increased by 66% YoY to S$433.6m. CAPL booked portfolio/FV gains of S$489m and no FV losses/impairments in 1H21. As at 30Jun21, net D/E ratio was at 0.64x and total cash and available undrawn facilities amounted to ~S$14.8bn. CAPL made total S$3.6bn investments (&gt;S$3bn in new economy) and S$11.2bn gross divestments (effective value of S$3.3bn) YTD (vs annual recycling target of S$3bn)</li><li>Residential – In SG, CAPL sold 197 units with sales value of S$330m (close to 6x of 1H20). ~92% of launched units have been sold. CanningHill Piers is targeted to be launched in 2H21. In China, CAPL sold 2,625 units in 1H21 (+48.4% YoY), which translated to sales value of RMB8,007m (+43% YoY). In terms of handovers from 3Q21 onwards, CAPL is expected to recognise ~RMB14.1bn from a total of ~6,700 units sold. In Vietnam, CAPL Achieved 80% of 1H21 handover plan of 177 units. Handover pipeline comprising 554 units with a value of S$193m expected to be handed over from 3Q21 onwards. ~87% of launched units have been sold as of 1H21. Two projects are targeted to be launched in 2H21</li><li>Retail and Commercial – CN registered increase in shoppers’ traffic and tenant’s sales YoY in 2Q21, but SG’s recovery is interrupted by new restrictions  in 2Q21. SG’s shoppers’ traffic and tenant’s sales recorded low improvement in 2Q21. Retail occupancy in CN, SG, MY stood at 91.9%, 97.1% and 86% in 2Q21 (vs 90.7%, 97.2% and 87.6% in 1Q21 and 89%, 97.8% and 88.2% in 4Q20), respectively. Office occupancy in SG, Japan, South Korea and Germany stood at 90.4%, 93.9%, 96.8% and 95.5%, respectively</li><li>Lodging – &gt;3,000 units turned operational YTD 2021, bringing total operational units to 71,901 for 7M21 and &gt;8,300 new units secured via management contracts YTD 2021. There was an increase in overall 2Q21 RevPAU by 53% YoY and 19% QoQ from S$43 to S$66, led by Europe (+44% QoQ), China (+22%), Gulf Region (+19%), Singapore (+9%), SEA (+6%) and North Asia (+4%). CAPL is on track to meet 2023 target of 160K units under management with currently c.129K units under management</li><li>1H21 fund management fee income came in at S$188.7m, a 29% YoY increase and 18% HoH. 1H21 fund AUM rose 6.9% YoY to S$83bn, on track to meet 2024 AUM target of S$100bn. CAPL set up 3 new private funds totalling US$800m in Korea, India, Hong Kong and China</li><li>CAPL is currently trading at 19.7x FY21E P/E and 0.92x P/B.</li></ul>

SingaporeCapitaland (CAPL SP) 1H21 PATMI +846% YoY; Solid divestments and investments YTD, fund management and residential the bright spot1H21 revenue increased by 34.7% YoY to S$2,730m, mainly driven by development projects as more units were handed over in China and higher progressive revenue recognition from One Pearl Bank in Singapore, partially offset by lower handover of units in Vietnam. The increase was also attributed to lower rental rebates granted to tenants in Singapore and China, higher transactional fee from the listed REITs and unlisted funds, as well as contribution from the newly acquired business park properties in China and an office building in Singapore, 79 Robinson Road, which commenced operation 2H201H21 PATMI increased by 845.5% YoY and came in at S$922.2m, while operating PATMI increased by 66% YoY to S$433.6m. CAPL booked portfolio/FV gains of S$489m and no FV losses/impairments in 1H21. As at 30Jun21, net D/E ratio was at 0.64x and total cash and available undrawn facilities amounted to ~S$14.8bn. CAPL made total S$3.6bn investments (&gt;S$3bn in new economy) and S$11.2bn gross divestments (effective value of S$3.3bn) YTD (vs annual recycling target of S$3bn)Residential – In SG, CAPL sold 197 units with sales value of S$330m (close to 6x of 1H20). ~92% of launched units have been sold. CanningHill Piers is targeted to be launched in 2H21. In China, CAPL sold 2,625 units in 1H21 (+48.4% YoY), which translated to sales value of RMB8,007m (+43% YoY). In terms of handovers from 3Q21 onwards, CAPL is expected to recognise ~RMB14.1bn from a total of ~6,700 units sold. In Vietnam, CAPL Achieved 80% of 1H21 handover plan of 177 units. Handover pipeline comprising 554 units with a value of S$193m expected to be handed over from 3Q21 onwards. ~87% of launched units have been sold as of 1H21. Two projects are targeted to be launched in 2H21Retail and Commercial – CN registered increase in shoppers’ traffic and tenant’s sales YoY in 2Q21, but SG’s recovery is interrupted by new restrictions  in 2Q21. SG’s shoppers’ traffic and tenant’s sales recorded low improvement in 2Q21. Retail occupancy in CN, SG, MY stood at 91.9%, 97.1% and 86% in 2Q21 (vs 90.7%, 97.2% and 87.6% in 1Q21 and 89%, 97.8% and 88.2% in 4Q20), respectively. Office occupancy in SG, Japan, South Korea and Germany stood at 90.4%, 93.9%, 96.8% and 95.5%, respectivelyLodging – &gt;3,000 units turned operational YTD 2021, bringing total operational units to 71,901 for 7M21 and &gt;8,300 new units secured via management contracts YTD 2021. There was an increase in overall 2Q21 RevPAU by 53% YoY and 19% QoQ from S$43 to S$66, led by Europe (+44% QoQ), China (+22%), Gulf Region (+19%), Singapore (+9%), SEA (+6%) and North Asia (+4%). CAPL is on track to meet 2023 target of 160K units under management with currently c.129K units under management1H21 fund management fee income came in at S$188.7m, a 29% YoY increase and 18% HoH. 1H21 fund AUM rose 6.9% YoY to S$83bn, on track to meet 2024 AUM target of S$100bn. CAPL set up 3 new private funds totalling US$800m in Korea, India, Hong Kong and ChinaCAPL is currently trading at 19.7x FY21E P/E and 0.92x P/B.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (13Aug21) - CAPL Residential and FM Bright Spots

Singapore

Sinarmas Land Ltd. invests in, develops and manages real estate.  The Company owns commercial buildings, hotels and resorts in China, Indonesia, Malaysia and Singapore.

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Sinarmas Land (SML SP)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (14Jul22) - SML Divests Another UK Property

Condo resale prices rose again in Jun22; SG hotel investment reached US$900m YTD; Thompson Plaza up on market; Phils inflation the top concern

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (28Jun22) - Perferct Storm as Rents Rising 20-40% on Avg

SML forms tech investment arm; FILRT dragging mrkt price pushing up yields; CPG to focus on affordable housing; SDPR Battersea UK plans new launches

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (13May22) - LHN Co-Living Bearing Fruits

ECWREIT timing difference in compensation; OUECT recovery appears slow; UHU min leasing risk; FPL boosted invt props; SMPH reopening play for malls

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (1Mar22) - UOL Stronger Contributions from Prop Dev't and Hotels

MLT buys South Korean logistics at 4% yield; DC rates rising except for hotel use; AREIT growing AUM boosted earnings; SIRI targets +26% YoY 2022...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (13Aug21) - CAPL Residential and FM Bright Spots

CAPL residential and FM bright spots; UOL turnaround story intact; SASSR sustained recovery momentum; CERT strong reversions, VLL muted land...

SCCM Asia Research

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