Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/238/244/original/image_50824297521635443513931.png?1635443517" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="238244"></figure><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a> 1H22 DPU +5.3% YoY; Reversions turning positive, VivoCity on track for a recovery play</h3><ul><li>1H22 revenue and NPI increased by 11.5% and 10.7% YoY, respectively, to S$243.7m (47.9% of BB est.) and S$189.9m (51.4% of BB est.), mainly due to lower rental rebates as well as compensation received from a pre-terminated lease at mTower.</li></ul>

SingaporeSREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP) 1H22 DPU +5.3% YoY; Reversions turning positive, VivoCity on track for a recovery play1H22 revenue and NPI increased by 11.5% and 10.7% YoY, respectively, to S$243.7m (47.9% of BB est.) and S$189.9m (51.4% of BB est.), mainly due to lower rental rebates as well as compensation received from a pre-terminated lease at mTower.

<h2>Singapore</h2>
<h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3>
<table class="table table-striped">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
 
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
ECWREIT
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
DASIN
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
LREIT
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
IREIT (€)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 15.3pt;">
Period
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.3pt;">
2Q21
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.3pt;">
1H21
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.3pt;">
2H21
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.3pt;">
1H21
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 15.35pt;">
Gross Revenue (S$m)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.35pt;">
31.2 (10.6% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.35pt;">
51.3 (38.5% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.35pt;">
37 (+8.5%YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.35pt;">
23.6 (+31.6% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
NPI (S$m)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
27.9 (8.1% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
38.2 (26.3% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
26.5 (+10% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
19.3 (+23.4% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
DPU (S$ c)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
1.532 (10.5% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
2.98 (55.2% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
2.34 (+32.8% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
1.43 (+14.4% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
NAV per Unit (S$)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
0.93
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
1.46
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
0.79
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
0.5
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
P/B (x)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
0.88
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
0.34
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
1.08
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
0.81
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
Occupancy (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
99.1
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
95.7
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
99.8 (Overall portfolio)
99.2 (313@Somerset)
100 (Sky Complex)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
95.9 (Overall)
99.8 (Germany)
85.2 (Spanish)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 7.4pt;">
Reversion (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 7.4pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 7.4pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 7.4pt;">
NA
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 7.4pt;">
NA
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
Gearing (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
37.6
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
36.7
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
32
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
33.3
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
Cost of Debt (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
4.2
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
0.88
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
1.8
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
7.36
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
9.59
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
5.78
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
6.67
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
Debt Hedged (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
100% of offshore facilities
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
Not Disclosed
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
NA
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 14.8pt;">
Target Price
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
NA
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 14.8pt;">
NA
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 136.65pt; height: 15.3pt;">
Rating
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.3pt;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.3pt;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.3pt;">
NA
</td>
<td style="width: 136.6pt; height: 15.3pt;">
NA
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

Singapore
SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)




 


ECWREIT


DASIN


LREIT


IREIT (€)




Period


2Q21


1H21


2H21


1H21




Gross Revenue (S$m)


31.2 (10.6% YoY)


51.3 (38.5% YoY)


37 (+8.5%YoY)


23.6 (+31.6% YoY)




NPI (S$m)


27.9 (8.1% YoY)


38.2 (26.3% YoY)


26.5 (+10% YoY)


19.3 (+23.4% YoY)




DPU (S$ c)


1.532 (10.5% YoY)


2.98 (55.2% YoY)


2.34 (+32.8% YoY)


1.43 (+14.4% YoY)




NAV per Unit (S$)


0.93


1.46


0.79


0.5




P/B (x)


0.88


0.34


1.08


0.81




Occupancy (%)


99.1


95.7


99.8 (Overall portfolio)
99.2 (313@Somerset)
100 (Sky Complex)


95.9 (Overall)
99.8 (Germany)
85.2 (Spanish)




Reversion (%)


N/A


N/A


NA


NA




Gearing (%)


37.6


36.7


32


33.3




Cost of Debt (%)


4.2


N/A


0.88


1.8




1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)


7.36


9.59


5.78


6.67




Debt Hedged (%)


100% of offshore facilities


N/A


Not Disclosed


NA




Target Price


Under Review


Under Review


NA


NA




Rating


Under Review


Under Review


NA


NA





ASEAN Builder's Scoop (10Aug21) - ECWREIT Steady as She Goes

Singapore and emerging market real estate

Royston Foo

Singapore’s Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) today released the data on property developers’ private home sales for the month of June 2019.A total of 670 non-land private residential units were launched for sale in June. This was 51% fewer than the number of units launched in the preceding month and 5% fewer year-on-year.A total of 803 non-landed private residential units were sold in June. This was 14% fewer than the number of new units sold in the previous month.10 new projects received their sales approval in June, adding a substantial 4,731 units to the launch pipeline. 2 mega-launches to watch out for in the coming months are Parc Clematis  and Avenue South Residence. Total developers’ inventory available for immediate launch jumped by 22.3% MoM in June to 20,531 units. This is the highest level since Jan 2015. Rising inventory is within expectation and will continue to affect the pricing power of developers.

Singapore’s Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) today released the data on property developers’ private home sales for the month of June 2019.A total of 670 non-land private residential units were launched for sale in June. This was 51% fewer than the number of units launched in the preceding month and 5% fewer year-on-year.A total of 803 non-landed private residential units were sold in June. This was 14% fewer than the number of new units sold in the previous month.10 new projects received their sales approval in June, adding a substantial 4,731 units to the launch pipeline. 2 mega-launches to watch out for in the coming months are Parc Clematis  and Avenue South Residence. Total developers’ inventory available for immediate launch jumped by 22.3% MoM in June to 20,531 units. This is the highest level since Jan 2015. Rising inventory is within expectation and will continue to affect the pricing power of developers.

Singapore Property – Jump in New Supply. Upcoming Mega-Launches to Test Buyers’ Appetite.

Singapore’s Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) today released the data on property developers’ private home sales for the month of April 2019.Property developers in Singapore launched a total of 438 non-land private residential units for sale in the month April, a decline of 76% MoM and 30% YoY.A total of 726 non-landed private residential units were sold in April, a decline of 30% MoM.Take-up rate rebounded in April to 166% after falling to the lowest level since November 2014 but the recovery was attributable to the decline in launches, rather than an improvement in sales.Total developers’ inventory available for immediate launch increased by 5.3% MoM in April to 17,411 units, reaching the highest level since August 2015.The deleveraging of Oxley’s balance sheet with the Chevron House sale and the planned divestment of Novotel and Mercure on Stevens, and the healthy sales momentum at Oxley’s residential projects in Singapore are expected to reduce Oxley’s risk profile in the coming months and could be potential catalysts for re-rating.

Singapore’s Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) today released the data on property developers’ private home sales for the month of April 2019.Property developers in Singapore launched a total of 438 non-land private residential units for sale in the month April, a decline of 76% MoM and 30% YoY.A total of 726 non-landed private residential units were sold in April, a decline of 30% MoM.Take-up rate rebounded in April to 166% after falling to the lowest level since November 2014 but the recovery was attributable to the decline in launches, rather than an improvement in sales.Total developers’ inventory available for immediate launch increased by 5.3% MoM in April to 17,411 units, reaching the highest level since August 2015.The deleveraging of Oxley’s balance sheet with the Chevron House sale and the planned divestment of Novotel and Mercure on Stevens, and the healthy sales momentum at Oxley’s residential projects in Singapore are expected to reduce Oxley’s risk profile in the coming months and could be potential catalysts for re-rating.  

Singapore Property – 30% Decline in Property Sales in April; Rising Inventory Remains a Concern

Real Estate Research Anayst, Rems Advisors

Vivienne Zhou Jinmiao

Real Estate Research Anayst

Rems Advisors

<div><h2>Private Residential Primary Sales Status (Excluding Executive Condominiums)</h2></div>In June 2018, the total number of private new home sold by developers decreased 42% m-o-m to 654 units. As compared to the same month last year, it fell 20%. The decline did not come as a surprise due to the expected seasonally weaker demand in school holiday month of June. As of end June 2018, the first half of the year sold a total of 4,121 units of new homes, which is only 36% of the total number of units sold in the…

Private Residential Primary Sales Status (Excluding Executive Condominiums)In June 2018, the total number of private new home sold by developers decreased 42% m-o-m to 654 units. As compared to the same month last year, it fell 20%. The decline did not come as a surprise due to the expected seasonally weaker demand in school holiday month of June. As of end June 2018, the first half of the year sold a total of 4,121 units of new homes, which is only 36% of the total number of units sold in the…

Singapore Primary Home Sales Declined 42% in Jun 18

Singapore

Singapore Land Group Limited is a premier real estate company with a diversified portfolio encompassing commercial offices, retail properties, residential developments, and hotels. The company engages in property development, investment, hotel operations, and technology services. Headquartered in Singapore, it was incorporated in 1963.

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Singapore Land (SPLG SP)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (28Oct21)

MCT reversions turning positive; AIT declining occupancies; KORE robust double-digit reversions; UOL/SPLG JV won Watten Estate en-bloc; Phils...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (10Aug21) - ECWREIT Steady as She Goes

ECWREIT steady as she goes; DASIN boosted by acquisitions; LREIT robust occupancy levels; IREIT dual-currency trading; FPL well-positioned for...

SCCM Asia Research

Singapore Property – Jump in New Supply. Upcoming Mega-Launches to Test Buyers’ Appetite.

Singapore’s Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) today released the data on property developers’ private home sales for the month of June 2019.A...

Royston Foo

Singapore Property – 30% Decline in Property Sales in April; Rising Inventory Remains a Concern

Singapore’s Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) today released the data on property developers’ private home sales for the month of April...

Royston Foo

Singapore Primary Home Sales Declined 42% in Jun 18

Private Residential Primary Sales Status (Excluding Executive Condominiums)In June 2018, the total number of private new home sold by developers...

Vivienne Zhou Jinmiao

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