SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Oct 11 to Oct 17, with S$144 million of net institutional outflow, partially reversing the preceding 10 sessions of S$251 million net inflow.</li><li>This has brought net institutional flow in the 2024 year to Oct 17, back to a net outflow of S$21 million.</li><li>Leading the net institutional outflow over the five sessions through to Oct 17 were United Overseas Bank, Singapore Telecommunications, Singapore Airlines, Capitaland Ascendas REIT, Keppel, Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust, Genting Singapore, Seatrium, Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust and Jardine Matheson Holdings.</li></ul>

Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Oct 11 to Oct 17, with S$144 million of net institutional outflow, partially reversing the preceding 10 sessions of S$251 million net inflow.This has brought net institutional flow in the 2024 year to Oct 17, back to a net outflow of S$21 million.Leading the net institutional outflow over the five sessions through to Oct 17 were United Overseas Bank, Singapore Telecommunications, Singapore Airlines, Capitaland Ascendas REIT, Keppel, Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust, Genting Singapore, Seatrium, Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust and Jardine Matheson Holdings.

CNMC, Travelite, Noel Gifts and LMS Compliance directors raise stakes

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Oct 4 to Oct 10, with S$211 million of net institutional inflow, adding to the preceding five sessions of S$50 million net inflow.</li><li>Leading the net institutional inflow over the five sessions through to Oct 10 were DBS Group Holdings, Seatrium, Hongkong Land Holdings, Wilmar International, iFAST Corporation, Genting Singapore, SATS, Sembcorp Industries, Singapore Exchange and Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust.</li><li>Its 1HFY24 (ended June 30) net profit of S$0.3 million compared to a net profit of S$0.4 million for 1HFY23.</li></ul>

Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Oct 4 to Oct 10, with S$211 million of net institutional inflow, adding to the preceding five sessions of S$50 million net inflow.Leading the net institutional inflow over the five sessions through to Oct 10 were DBS Group Holdings, Seatrium, Hongkong Land Holdings, Wilmar International, iFAST Corporation, Genting Singapore, SATS, Sembcorp Industries, Singapore Exchange and Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust.Its 1HFY24 (ended June 30) net profit of S$0.3 million compared to a net profit of S$0.4 million for 1HFY23.

Substantial shareholder Thomas Clive Khoo takes his Zixin stake to above 9%

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intouch-holdings-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17638:1" rel="noopener">Intouch (INTUCH TB)</a>'s strange journey with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gulf-energy-development-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26038:1" rel="noopener">Gulf Energy (GULF TB)</a> continues. In April 2021, GULF made a surprising VTO for INTUCH. This past July, the two companies announced an amalgamation. </li>
<li>The merger was not fair to INTUCH shareholders, with an estimated earnings value destruction of ~26.5% (for FY24E). But that didn't stop shareholders overwhelmingly approving the 3rd October EGM resolutions.</li>
<li>What now? The next step  is the low-balled VTOs for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-info-service-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:947:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thaicom-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18019:1" rel="noopener">Thaicom (THCOM TB)</a>. Then amalgamation. Then, arguably, the next unorthodox development will take place.</li>
</ul>



Intouch (INTUCH TB)'s strange journey with Gulf Energy (GULF TB) continues. In April 2021, GULF made a surprising VTO for INTUCH. This past July, the two companies announced an amalgamation. 
The merger was not fair to INTUCH shareholders, with an estimated earnings value destruction of ~26.5% (for FY24E). But that didn't stop shareholders overwhelmingly approving the 3rd October EGM resolutions.
What now? The next step  is the low-balled VTOs for Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB) and Thaicom (THCOM TB). Then amalgamation. Then, arguably, the next unorthodox development will take place.


Singtel (Singapore Telecommunications) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Since late August, institutional investors net bought S$1.4 billion in Singapore stocks, marking a significant turnaround from the S$1.3 billion net outflow earlier in the year.</li><li>The 10 stocks with the most net institutional inflow included the STI banks and Singtel, averaging 5.2% total returns, while the remaining six stocks averaged 14.9% total returns.</li><li>On 9 Oct, Singapore’s Structured Warrants market saw its highest trading turnover since Jan 2019, driven by significant moves in the Hang Seng Index-tracking markets, while the 20 most traded Singapore stocks with significant Greater China revenue have averaged 22% total returns since Sep 20, paralleling the FTSE China A50 & CSI 300.</li></ul>

Since late August, institutional investors net bought S$1.4 billion in Singapore stocks, marking a significant turnaround from the S$1.3 billion net outflow earlier in the year.The 10 stocks with the most net institutional inflow included the STI banks and Singtel, averaging 5.2% total returns, while the remaining six stocks averaged 14.9% total returns.On 9 Oct, Singapore’s Structured Warrants market saw its highest trading turnover since Jan 2019, driven by significant moves in the Hang Seng Index-tracking markets, while the 20 most traded Singapore stocks with significant Greater China revenue have averaged 22% total returns since Sep 20, paralleling the FTSE China A50 & CSI 300.

Policy Shifts & Market Dynamics Fuel Trading Activity

<ul><li>Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Sep 20 to 26, with S$54 million of net institutional outflow, reducing total net inflows from the 20 trading sessions spanning Aug 30 (which included MSCI Index rebalancing) through to Sep 26, to S$1.165 billion.</li><li>Leading the net institutional outflow over the five sessions through to Sep 26 were Singapore Telecommunications, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings, CapitaLand Investment, Singapore Exchange, Mapletree Logistics Trust, Capitaland Ascendas REIT, City Developments, Jardine Cycle & Carriage, Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust and Mapletree Industrial Trust.</li><li>Between Sep 24 and 25, Raffles Medical Group executive chairman Loo Choon Yong acquired 2.15 million shares at S$0.89 per share.</li></ul>

Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Sep 20 to 26, with S$54 million of net institutional outflow, reducing total net inflows from the 20 trading sessions spanning Aug 30 (which included MSCI Index rebalancing) through to Sep 26, to S$1.165 billion.Leading the net institutional outflow over the five sessions through to Sep 26 were Singapore Telecommunications, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings, CapitaLand Investment, Singapore Exchange, Mapletree Logistics Trust, Capitaland Ascendas REIT, City Developments, Jardine Cycle & Carriage, Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust and Mapletree Industrial Trust.Between Sep 24 and 25, Raffles Medical Group executive chairman Loo Choon Yong acquired 2.15 million shares at S$0.89 per share.

Raffles Medical executive chairman expands interest; First REIT independent director cashes in

Singapore

Singapore Telecommunications Limited wireless telecommunication services. The Company offers diverse range of services including fixed, mobile, data, internet, TV,  and digital solutions. Singapore Telecommunications serves customers worldwide.

Singtel (Singapore Telecommunications) (ST SP)

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Singtel (Singapore Telecommunications) (ST SP)

CNMC, Travelite, Noel Gifts and LMS Compliance directors raise stakes

Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Oct 11 to Oct 17, with S$144 million of net...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Substantial shareholder Thomas Clive Khoo takes his Zixin stake to above 9%

Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Oct 4 to Oct 10, with S$211 million of net institutional...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Intouch? Or Perhaps "Out Of" Touch

INTUCH looks expensive here. But I've called INTUCH wrong after GULF entered the scene. I'd still avoid INTUCH. Both AIS and Thaicom have put...

David Blennerhassett

Policy Shifts & Market Dynamics Fuel Trading Activity

Since late August, institutional investors net bought S$1.4 billion in Singapore stocks, marking a significant turnaround from the S$1.3 billion...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Raffles Medical executive chairman expands interest; First REIT independent director cashes in

Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Sep 20 to 26, with S$54 million of net institutional...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)