IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/soundwill-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19318:1" rel="noopener">Soundwill Holdings (878 HK)</a> has entered a trading halt “pending the release of an announcement relating to inside information and pursuant to the Codes on Takeovers and Mergers.” </li>
<li>It is likely that the controlling shareholder (Foo Family Trust), representing 74.94% of outstanding shares, is seeking to launch a privatisation through a Bermuda scheme. </li>
<li>While no disinterested shareholder holds a blocking stake, the headcount test necessitates an attractive offer. We estimate a potential offer price range of HK$7.53-19.44.</li>
</ul>



Soundwill Holdings (878 HK) has entered a trading halt “pending the release of an announcement relating to inside information and pursuant to the Codes on Takeovers and Mergers.” 
It is likely that the controlling shareholder (Foo Family Trust), representing 74.94% of outstanding shares, is seeking to launch a privatisation through a Bermuda scheme. 
While no disinterested shareholder holds a blocking stake, the headcount test necessitates an attractive offer. We estimate a potential offer price range of HK$7.53-19.44.


Soundwill Holdings (878 HK): Privatisation from the Controlling Shareholder?

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Keisei Electric Railway Co / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Remain BULLISH <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keisei-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10876:1" rel="noopener">Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP) </a> with low conviction. This is buying on narrative rather than fundamentals but there is no need to not get involved.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vitasoy-intl-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2807:1" rel="noopener">Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK)</a>'s share price run up is excessive as Philip Ng and<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yeo-hiap-seng-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9051:1" rel="noopener">Yeo Hiap Seng (YHS SP)</a> over-extend their hand.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks (1973 JP)</a> has yet to trade below terms. The premium is small, perhaps reflecting the risk NEC will lower the minimum threshold. But there is still a fight here.</li>
</ul>


Remain BULLISH Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)  with low conviction. This is buying on narrative rather than fundamentals but there is no need to not get involved.

Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK)'s share price run up is excessive as Philip Ng andYeo Hiap Seng (YHS SP) over-extend their hand.

Nec Networks (1973 JP) has yet to trade below terms. The premium is small, perhaps reflecting the risk NEC will lower the minimum threshold. But there is still a fight here.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric Railway, Vitasoy, NEC Network, ESR Group

<ul>
<li>Yesterday, beverage maker <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vitasoy-intl-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2807:1" rel="noopener">Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK)</a> <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/1126/2024112600161.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a 1H25E (Mar Y/E) net profit of HK$171mn, a 4.8% gain yoy. An interim dividend of HK$0.04/share (HK$0.014/share in 1H24), was <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/1126/2024112600167.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">declared</a>.</li>
<li>What was absent from the announcement/briefing was any comment on Philip Ng Chee-tat's and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yeo-hiap-seng-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9051:1" rel="noopener">Yeo Hiap Seng (YHS SP)</a>'s recent buying in Vitasoy.</li>
<li>Ng, the younger brother of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-land-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17323:1" rel="noopener">Sino Land (83 HK)</a>'s chairman Robert Ng Chee-siong, indirectly holds 12.26%, up from 5.22% on the 7th October. The share price is up 104% since.</li>
</ul>


Yesterday, beverage maker Vitasoy Intl Holdings (345 HK) announced a 1H25E (Mar Y/E) net profit of HK$171mn, a 4.8% gain yoy. An interim dividend of HK$0.04/share (HK$0.014/share in 1H24), was declared.
What was absent from the announcement/briefing was any comment on Philip Ng Chee-tat's and Yeo Hiap Seng (YHS SP)'s recent buying in Vitasoy.
Ng, the younger brother of Sino Land (83 HK)'s chairman Robert Ng Chee-siong, indirectly holds 12.26%, up from 5.22% on the 7th October. The share price is up 104% since.


Vitasoy (345 HK): Trading Rich As Ng & Yeo Hiap Seng Up Their Exposure

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maanshan-dingtai-rare-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4128:1" rel="noopener">S.F. Holding (002352 CH)</a> has launched its H Share listing at HK$32.30-36.30 per share. Pricing will be on 25 November, and the listing on 27 November.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sf-holding-h-share-listing-updates-point-to-improving-fundamentals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:166296" rel="noopener">SF Holding H Share Listing: Updates Point to Improving Fundamentals</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sf-holding-h-share-listing-ah-discount-views" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:166687" rel="noopener">SF Holding H Share Listing: AH Discount Views</a>.</li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the H Share listing range is attractive. We would participate in the listing.</li>
</ul>



S.F. Holding (002352 CH) has launched its H Share listing at HK$32.30-36.30 per share. Pricing will be on 25 November, and the listing on 27 November.
We previously discussed the listing in SF Holding H Share Listing: Updates Point to Improving Fundamentals and SF Holding H Share Listing: AH Discount Views.
Our valuation analysis suggests that the H Share listing range is attractive. We would participate in the listing.


SF Holding H Share Listing (6936 HK): Valuation Insights

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>ETF flows showed subdued activity during the week although the Southbound Connect platform had a minor outflow.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-wall-motor-co-ltd-cb302af9-398c-4d2d-ba39-023e43287eef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:128:1" rel="noopener">Great Wall Motor (2333 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-feihe-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24413:1" rel="noopener">China Feihe (6186 HK)</a> both had positive news sentiment helping their share prices rally on better earnings announcements.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-world-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7037:1" rel="noopener">New World Development (17 HK)</a> announced a major asset impairment write-down sending its stock to historic lows.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36229:1" rel="noopener">China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK)</a> disappointed on 2Q24 sales and profits.
</li>
</ul>


ETF flows showed subdued activity during the week although the Southbound Connect platform had a minor outflow.

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK) and China Feihe (6186 HK) both had positive news sentiment helping their share prices rally on better earnings announcements.


New World Development (17 HK) announced a major asset impairment write-down sending its stock to historic lows.  China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK) disappointed on 2Q24 sales and profits.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (September 7)

Hong Kong

Sino Land is a leading property developer that invests in, develops, manages, and trades residential, office, industrial, and retail properties, as well as hotels. The company also provides a full spectrum of property services, including property management, security, and car park operations. Sino Land was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong.

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Sino Land (83 HK)

Soundwill Holdings (878 HK): Privatisation from the Controlling Shareholder?

The controlling shareholder is likely considering a Bermuda scheme. While no disinterested shareholder holds a blocking stake, the headcount test...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric Railway, Vitasoy, NEC Network, ESR Group

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Vitasoy (345 HK): Trading Rich As Ng & Yeo Hiap Seng Up Their Exposure

The share price looks to have overshot after Ng over-extended his hand. Unless you believe Ng/YHS are gearing up for a takeover of Vitasoy by the...

David Blennerhassett

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (September 7)

China Feihe beat estmates for 2Q with higher profits and GW Motor substantially increased international sales of EV's. NWD will take a large asset...

David Mudd

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Soundwill Holdings (878 HK): Privatisation from the Controlling Shareholder?

The controlling shareholder is likely considering a Bermuda scheme. While no disinterested shareholder holds a blocking stake, the headcount test...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric Railway, Vitasoy, NEC Network, ESR Group

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Vitasoy (345 HK): Trading Rich As Ng & Yeo Hiap Seng Up Their Exposure

The share price looks to have overshot after Ng over-extended his hand. Unless you believe Ng/YHS are gearing up for a takeover of Vitasoy by the...

David Blennerhassett

SF Holding H Share Listing (6936 HK): Valuation Insights

SF aims to raise gross proceeds of US$705-792m. Our valuation analysis suggests that the H Share listing range is attractive. We would participate...

Arun George

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (September 7)

China Feihe beat estmates for 2Q with higher profits and GW Motor substantially increased international sales of EV's. NWD will take a large asset...

David Mudd